Forecasting the electric power load based on a novel prediction model coupled with accumulative time-delay effects and periodic fluctuation characteristics
Junjie Wang,
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Wenyu Huang,
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Yuanping Ding
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et al.
Energy,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 134518 - 134518
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
Language: Английский
InfoCAVB-MemoryFormer: Forecasting of wind and photovoltaic power through the interaction of data reconstruction and data augmentation
Mingwei Zhong,
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J.M. Fan,
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Jianqiang Luo
No information about this author
et al.
Applied Energy,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
371, P. 123745 - 123745
Published: June 20, 2024
Language: Английский
ShuffleTransformerMulti-headAttentionNet network for user load forecasting
Linfei Yin,
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Linyi Ju
No information about this author
Energy,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 135537 - 135537
Published: March 1, 2025
Language: Английский
A probabilistic load forecasting method for multi-energy loads based on inflection point optimization and integrated feature screening
Energy,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 136391 - 136391
Published: May 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Similar Day Theory and BWO-VMD
Qi Cheng,
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Jing Shi,
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S.‐W. Grace Cheng
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et al.
Energies,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
18(9), P. 2358 - 2358
Published: May 6, 2025
Short-term
power
load
forecasting
at
the
regional
level
is
essential
for
maintaining
grid
stability
and
optimizing
generation,
consumption,
maintenance
scheduling.
Considering
temporal,
periodic,
nonlinear
characteristics
of
load,
a
novel
short-term
method
proposed
in
this
paper.
First,
Random
Forest
importance
ranking
applied
to
select
similar
days
weighted
eigenspace
coordinate
system
established
measure
similarity.
The
daily
sequence
then
decomposed
into
high-,
medium-,
low-frequency
components
using
Variational
Mode
Decomposition
(VMD).
high-frequency
component
predicted
day
averaging
method,
while
neural
networks
are
employed
medium
components,
leveraging
historical
similar-day
data,
respectively.
This
multi-faceted
approach
enhances
accuracy
granularity
pattern
analysis.
final
forecast
obtained
by
summing
predictions
these
components.
case
study
demonstrates
that
model
outperforms
LSTM,
GRU,
CNN,
TCN
Transformer,
with
an
RMSE
660.54
MW
MAPE
7.81%,
also
exhibiting
fast
computational
speed
low
CPU
usage.
Language: Английский
Long-term load forecasting for Smart Grid
Engineering Research Express,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
6(4), P. 045339 - 045339
Published: Nov. 6, 2024
Abstract
The
load
forecasting
problem
is
a
complicated
non-linear
connected
with
the
weather,
economy,
and
other
complex
factors.
For
electrical
power
systems,
long-term
provides
valuable
information
for
scheduling
maintenance,
evaluating
adequacy,
managing
limited
energy
supplies.
A
future
generating,
transmission,
distribution
facility’s
development
planning
process
begins
demand
forecasting.
of
advanced
metering
infrastructure
(AMI)
has
greatly
expanded
amount
real-time
data
collection
on
large-scale
electricity
consumption.
techniques
have
changed
significantly
as
result
utilization
this
vast
smart
meter
data.
This
study
suggests
numerous
approaches
using
smart-metered
from
an
actual
system
NIT
Patna
campus.
Data
pre-processing
converting
unprocessed
into
suitable
format
by
eliminating
possible
errors
caused
lost
or
interrupted
communications,
presence
noise
outliers,
duplicate
incorrect
data,
etc.
model
trained
historical
significant
climatic
variables
discovered
through
correlation
analysis.
With
minimum
MAPE
RMSE
every
testing
scenario,
proposed
artificial
neural
network
yields
greatest
performance
used
efficacy
technique
been
comparison
acquired
results
various
alternative
methods.
Language: Английский