International Journal of Green Energy, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 1 - 19
Published: Dec. 29, 2024
This study employs a risk spillover measurement method based on CEEMDAN-SE, GARCHSK, and TVP-VAR-DY models to assess among 11 sub-sectors in China's energy market, such as coal, oil, thermal power, new vehicles. The sector index return is decomposed into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) reconstructed high, medium, low-frequency sequences. GARCHSK model calculates conditional mean, variances, skewness, kurtosis sequences for these sequences, which are then integrated the evaluate return, volatility, higher-order moment spillovers. Empirical findings highlight significant time-varying effects, with volatility spillovers surpassing average total skewness New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Electric Power Grid (EPG) sectors act major transmitters, while primary receivers vary by frequency order. Regulatory authorities should develop real-time surveillance mechanism monitor transfer of risks between NEV EPG sector. It essential foster inter-industry cooperation facilitate better resource allocation swift response emerging challenges. Furthermore, policymakers focus bolstering resilience pivotal employing dynamic management strategies providing appropriate incentives.
Language: Английский