Using System-Inspired Metrics to Improve Water Quality Prediction in Stratified Lakes DOI Open Access
Kamilla Kurucz, Cayelan C. Carey, Peisheng Huang

et al.

Authorea (Authorea), Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Dec. 10, 2023

Despite the growing use of Aquatic Ecosystem Models (AEMs) for lake modelling, there is currently no widely applicable framework their configuration, calibration, and evaluation. To date, calibration generally based on direct data comparison observed vs. modelled state variables using standard statistical techniques, however, this approach may not give a complete picture model’s ability to capture system-scale behaviour that prevalent in observations, but which be important resource management. The aim study compare performance ‘naïve’ ‘system-inspired’ new augments state-based with range system-inspired metrics (e.g. thermocline depth, metalimnetic oxygen minima), an effort increase coherence between simulated natural ecosystems. This was achieved by applying coupled physical-biogeochemical model focal site simulate temperature dissolved oxygen. calibrated according modelling convention, formal techniques. There clear improvement simulation parameters optimised additional metrics, helped focus aspects system relevant reservoir management, such as minima. Extending models nutrient cycling, algal blooms, greenhouse gas emissions has potential greatly improve prediction complex ecosystem dynamics.

Language: Английский

Climate change impact on sub-tropical lakes – Lake Kinneret as a case study DOI
Shajar Regev, Yohay Carmel, Dirk Schlabing

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 921, P. 171163 - 171163

Published: Feb. 23, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

5

Using ecosystem models to inform ecosystem-based fisheries management in Europe: a review of the policy landscape and related stakeholder needs DOI Creative Commons

Ana Rodriguez-Perez,

Athanassios C. Tsikliras, Gideon Gal

et al.

Frontiers in Marine Science, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 10

Published: Oct. 3, 2023

The need to implement an ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) is enshrined in numerous regulations and strategies, at both global European level. In practice, it challenging EBFM because requires a complex evaluation of interlinked effects environmental climate forcing on multi-species interactions, habitat status human activities. Ecosystem models are one the most critical research tools inform EBFM, they can integrate wide variety data, examine multiple ecosystem make forecasts based specific scenarios. However, despite clear progress marine modelling, many do not address policy goals targets, which hinders uptake policy. this paper, we review policies implementing bodies directly or indirectly have repercussion implementation EBFM. Moreover, highlight stakeholder needs related waters, could help address. We commitments that drive these concerns raised by stakeholders during survey dedicated workshop. Key topics concern were change; bycatch; protected areas/fisheries restricted areas; reducing impacts trawling. Stakeholders also provided questions Scenario data results visualizations, as well barriers using for decision-making discussed. A close involvement scenario development designing graphical outputs important, overcome some main hinder scenarios, including lack understanding benefits limits models; insufficient interaction with stakeholders; inadequate characterization uncertainties.

Language: Английский

Citations

10

Towards a generic model evaluation metric for non-normally distributed measurements in water quality and ecosystem models DOI Creative Commons
Tianyu Fu, Chen Zhang

Ecological Informatics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 80, P. 102470 - 102470

Published: Jan. 14, 2024

Model evaluation is a crucial process in model development and quantified metrics play pivotal role calibration validation. However, current water quality ecosystem models, conventional are derived from hydrological models often overlook the non-normal distribution of ecological state variables. In this study, we proposed series that consider distributions by modifying components Kling-Gupta efficiency. Subsequently, tested existing newly using four different synthetic datasets actual simulation case total phosphorus, chlorophyll a, dissolved oxygen concentrations. The results demonstrate metric, Fu-Zhang efficiency, which replaces ratio standard deviations with interquartile ranges to measure dispersion similarity, more suitable for evaluating lots outliers measurements. Our study reveals hidden perils integrated calls comprehensive feasible quantitative frameworks drive next paradigm shift.

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Modeling climate impacts on ecosystem services in an anthropized coastal lagoon for effective planning and adaptation DOI
Inmaculada C. Jiménez-Navarro, Adrián López-Ballesteros, Jorrit P. Mesman

et al.

Climatic Change, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 178(5)

Published: April 24, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Using System‐Inspired Metrics to Improve Water Quality Prediction in Stratified Lakes DOI Creative Commons
Kamilla Kurucz, Cayelan C. Carey, Peisheng Huang

et al.

Water Resources Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 60(8)

Published: Aug. 1, 2024

Abstract Despite the growing use of Aquatic Ecosystem Models for lake modeling, there is currently no widely applicable framework their configuration, calibration, and evaluation. Calibration generally based on direct data comparison observed versus modeled state variables using standard statistical techniques, however, this approach may not give a complete picture model's ability to capture system‐scale behavior that easily perceivable in observations, but which be important resource management. The aim study compare performance “naïve” calibration “system‐inspired” an augments state‐based with range system‐inspired metrics (e.g., thermocline depth, metalimnetic oxygen minima), increase coherence between simulated natural ecosystems. A coupled physical‐biogeochemical model was applied focal site simulate two key state‐variables: water temperature dissolved oxygen. calibrated according new modeling convention, formal techniques. There improvement simulation parameters optimized additional metrics, helped reduce uncertainty predicting aspects system relevant reservoir management, such as occurrence minima. Extending when calibrating models has potential improve fidelity capturing more complex ecosystem dynamics.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Nutrient retention in a small reservoir under changed variability of inflow nutrient concentration DOI
Maria Determann, Andréas Musolff, Marieke A. Frassl

et al.

Inland Waters, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 13(4), P. 560 - 575

Published: Oct. 2, 2023

Within freshwater networks, lakes and reservoirs are reactors that modify nutrient dynamics. Their functioning is based on an interplay of hydrological biogeochemical processes, rendering them vulnerable to climate change. Future changes in catchment characteristics likely alter the timing magnitude concentrations discharge. This study investigated impact changing variability lake reservoir We examined intraannual retention analyzed role reconfiguring nutrients. Utilizing 1D model GOTM-WET, we simulated processing a mesotrophic reservoir. Further, performed scenario simulations by modifying inflow nitrogen phosphorus concentrations. Our findings indicate removed ∼4% ∼12% total (TN) (TP), respectively. Particulate fractions were retained efficiently, but there was net export dissolved organic fractions. Regarding mixing stratification periods, however, observed during certain years. During stratification, outflow concentration remained relatively unchanged for TN TP compared Conversely, phosphate nitrate increased because in-lake assimilation influence events. With increasing decreased removal reservoir, concentration. By evaluating lake's capacity attenuate inflows under altered conditions, opportunities improve monitoring evaluate potential peaks downstream drinking water resources ecosystems.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Use of Process-Based Coupled Ecological-Hydrodynamic Models to Support Lake Water Ecosystem Service Protection Planning at the Regional Scale DOI
Andrea Fenocchi,

Nicolò Pella,

Diego Copetti

et al.

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Regional protection plans for lake waters are based on water quality targets, typically expressed in terms of total phosphorus (TP) concentrations, usually the depth-averaged ones at spring mixing temperate environments. These concentrations commonly used lack direct estimations to determine external loading through Vollenweider-OECD steady-state empirical models. models also estimate in-lake following hypothetical load reductions. Such approaches have several limitations and often given inaccurate results. Process-based coupled ecological-hydrodynamic offer a much wider perspective, solving many these issues. However, their application has been up now restricted individual lakes due calibration effort data availability burdens. In this study, we developed simplified process-based model QWET over 9 Northern Italy, making use ParSAC automatic tool feeding only with available from public monitoring. Models were calibrated past observations, simulating nutrient reduction scenarios future decades. The advantages regional planning identified practical application, determining strengths limits employed approach different features. Obtained results analysed considering specific case study.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Use of Process-Based Coupled Ecological-Hydrodynamic Models to Support Lake Water Ecosystem Service Protection Planning at the Regional Scale DOI
Andrea Fenocchi,

Nicolò Pella,

Diego Copetti

et al.

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Dining in danger: Resolving adaptive fish behavior increases realism of modeled ecosystem dynamics DOI Creative Commons
Nicolas Azaña Schnedler‐Meyer, Tobias Kuhlmann Andersen

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 14(8)

Published: Aug. 1, 2024

Abstract Animals occupying higher trophic levels can have disproportionately large influence on ecosystem structure and functioning, owning to intricate behavioral responses their environment, but the effects of adaptations aquatic dynamics are underrepresented, especially in model studies. Here, we explore how adaptive behavior fish affect aquatics ecosystems. We frame context central trade‐off between feeding predation, calculating optimal level determined by ambient food availability predation risk. To whole‐ecosystem consequences behavior, embed our within Water Ecosystems Tool (WET), a contemporary end‐to‐end model. The principle optimality provides robust mechanistic framework for representing animal that is relevant complex models, provide stabilizing effect dynamics. predicts an emergent functional response similar Holling type III, with richer more rigorous theoretical foundation. show works stabilize web compared control no changing strength underlying has profound structure. Furthermore, demonstrate including allows overall realistic system environmental perturbation form nutrient enhancement. discuss structuring real ecosystems, approaches like this one may benefit ecological modeling. Our study further highlights approach based concepts from ecology be successfully implemented operational models resulting improved descriptive power.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Use of process-based coupled ecological-hydrodynamic models to support lake water ecosystem service protection planning at the regional scale DOI Creative Commons
Andrea Fenocchi,

Nicolò Pella,

Diego Copetti

et al.

Journal of Contaminant Hydrology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 268, P. 104469 - 104469

Published: Nov. 26, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

0