Two decades of climate tipping points research: Progress and outlook DOI Creative Commons
David I. Armstrong McKay

Dialogues on climate change., Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Dec. 5, 2024

The potential for nonlinear ‘surprises’ in the climate system has been recognised since 1960s. One such nonlinearity is a tipping point: when change becomes self-sustaining once forced passed threshold, triggering state shift that often abrupt and irreversible. Research on points flourished 2005, recently culminating release of Global Tipping Points Report at COP28 calls targeted assessment by Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change. Here I summarise progress our growing understanding reflect their implications action outlook future research.

Language: Английский

Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000–2100 DOI Creative Commons

Jiaying Lv,

Yifan Gao, Changqing Song

et al.

Scientific Data, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 12(1)

Published: Jan. 27, 2025

Abstract Tipping elements on Earth are components that undergo rapid and irreversible changes when climate change reaches a tipping point. They highly sensitive to variations serve as early warning signs of global change. Human activities, including pledges, significantly influence the state elements. Land external intuitive response change, making it essential identify shifts in land system. We produced 1-km system dataset for terrestrial years 2000, 2010, 2020, 2100 under pledges by integrating GCAM with modified version CLUMondo. Our includes 30 thematic categories, combining three density types ten cover types. The illustrates potential contrasting common SSP RCP scenarios. simulations demonstrate high accuracy, offering valuable insights into assessment impacts Earth.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Satellite data, information, or knowledge? Critiquing how Arctic environmental NGOs derive meaning and power from imagery DOI Creative Commons
Mia M. Bennett

Digital Geography and Society, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 100116 - 100116

Published: March 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization DOI Creative Commons
Viktoria Spaiser, Sirkku Juhola, Sara Constantino

et al.

Earth System Dynamics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(5), P. 1179 - 1206

Published: Sept. 10, 2024

Abstract. In recent years, research on normatively positive social tipping dynamics in response to the climate crisis has produced invaluable insights. contrast, relatively little attention been given potentially negative processes that might unfold due an increasingly destabilized Earth system and how they turn reinforce ecological destabilization and/or impede change. this paper, we discuss selected potential (anomie, radicalization polarization, displacement, conflict, financial destabilization) linked destabilization. We draw related understand drivers likelihood of these dynamics, their effects human societies system, for cascading interactions (e.g. food insecurity displacement) contributing systemic risks. This first attempt provide explorative conceptualization empirical account is intended motivate further into under-studied area nonetheless crucial our ability respond ensuring are not averted by ones.

Language: Английский

Citations

3
Two decades of climate tipping points research: Progress and outlook DOI Creative Commons
David I. Armstrong McKay

Dialogues on climate change., Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Dec. 5, 2024

The potential for nonlinear ‘surprises’ in the climate system has been recognised since 1960s. One such nonlinearity is a tipping point: when change becomes self-sustaining once forced passed threshold, triggering state shift that often abrupt and irreversible. Research on points flourished 2005, recently culminating release of Global Tipping Points Report at COP28 calls targeted assessment by Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change. Here I summarise progress our growing understanding reflect their implications action outlook future research.

Language: Английский

Citations

0