Deterministic and probabilistic wind speed forecasting using decomposition methods: Accuracy and uncertainty
Qian Sun,
No information about this author
Jinxing Che,
No information about this author
Kun Hu
No information about this author
et al.
Renewable Energy,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 122515 - 122515
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Informer learning framework based on secondary decomposition for multi-step forecast of ultra-short term wind speed
Zihao Jin,
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Xiaomengting Fu,
No information about this author
Ling Xiang
No information about this author
et al.
Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
139, P. 109702 - 109702
Published: Nov. 22, 2024
Language: Английский
A Wind Speed Prediction Method Based on Signal Decomposition Technology Deep Learning Model
Jie Du,
No information about this author
S. C. Chen,
No information about this author
Linlin Pan
No information about this author
et al.
Energies,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
18(5), P. 1136 - 1136
Published: Feb. 25, 2025
Accurate
and
reliable
wind
speed
prediction
plays
a
significant
role
in
ensuring
the
reasonable
scheduling
of
power
resources.
However,
sequences
often
exhibit
complex
characteristics
such
as
instability
volatility,
which
create
substantial
challenges
for
prediction.
In
order
to
cope
with
these
challenges,
multi-step
method
based
on
secondary
decomposition
(SD)
techniques
deep
learning
models
is
proposed
this
paper.
First,
original
signal
was
decomposed
into
multiple
by
using
two
techniques,
multi-scale
wavelet
spectrum
analysis
(MWPSA)
variational
mode
(VMD).
Second,
model
constructed
combining
convolutional
neural
networks
(CNNs),
bidirectional
long
short-term
memory
(BiLSTM)
networks,
attention
mechanism
perform
predicting
each
sequence,
parameters
were
optimized
particle
swarm
optimization
(PSO)
algorithm.
Ultimately,
results
from
all
combined
generate
final
The
predictive
performance
evaluated
real
data
collected
farm
China.
Experimental
show
that
significantly
outperforms
other
comparison
prediction,
highlights
its
accuracy
reliability.
Language: Английский
Interpretable wind speed forecasting through two-stage decomposition with comprehensive relative importance analysis
Applied Energy,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
392, P. 126015 - 126015
Published: May 5, 2025
Language: Английский
Leveraging the Performance of Integrated Power Systems with Wind Uncertainty Using Fractional Computing-Based Hybrid Method
Fractal and Fractional,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
8(9), P. 532 - 532
Published: Sept. 11, 2024
Reactive
power
dispatch
(RPD)
in
electric
systems,
integrated
with
renewable
energy
sources,
is
gaining
popularity
among
engineers
because
of
its
vital
importance
the
planning,
designing,
and
operation
advanced
systems.
The
goal
RPD
to
upgrade
system
performance
by
minimizing
transmission
line
losses,
enhancing
voltage
profiles,
reducing
total
operating
costs
tuning
decision
variables
such
as
transformer
tap
setting,
generator’s
terminal
voltages,
capacitor
size.
But
complex,
non-linear,
dynamic
characteristics
networks,
well
presence
demand
uncertainties
non-stationary
behavior
wind
generation,
pose
a
challenging
problem
that
cannot
be
solved
efficiently
traditional
numerical
techniques.
In
this
study,
new
fractional
computing
strategy,
namely,
hybrid
particle
swarm
optimization
(FHPSO),
proposed
handle
issues
networks
plants
(WPPs)
while
incorporating
uncertainties.
To
improve
convergence
Particle
Swarm
Optimization
Gravitational
Search
Algorithm
(PSOGSA),
FHPSO
incorporates
concepts
Shannon
entropy
inside
mathematical
model
PSOGSA.
Extensive
experimentation
validates
effectiveness
best
value
objective
functions,
deviation
index
loss
minimization
standard
shows
an
improvement
percentage
61.62%,
85.44%,
86.51%,
93.15%,
84.37%,
67.31%,
61.64%,
61.13%,
8.44%,
1.899%,
respectively,
over
ALC_PSO,
FAHLCPSO,
OGSA,
ABC,
SGA,
CKHA,
NGBWCA,
KHA,
PSOGSA,
FPSOGSA
case
optimal
reactive
dispatch(ORPD)
for
IEEE
30
bus
system.
Furthermore,
stability,
robustness,
precision
designed
are
determined
using
statistical
interpretations
cumulative
distribution
function
graphs,
quantile-quantile
plots,
boxplot
illustrations,
histograms.
Language: Английский