Global Change Biology,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
29(24), P. 7029 - 7050
Published: Sept. 14, 2023
Climate
warming,
land
use
change,
and
altered
fire
regimes
are
driving
ecological
transformations
that
can
have
critical
effects
on
Earth's
biota.
Fire
refugia-locations
burned
less
frequently
or
severely
than
their
surroundings-may
act
as
sites
of
relative
stability
during
this
period
rapid
change
by
being
resistant
to
supporting
post-fire
recovery
in
adjacent
areas.
Because
value
forest
ecosystem
persistence,
there
is
an
urgent
need
anticipate
where
refugia
most
likely
be
found
they
align
with
environmental
conditions
support
tree
recruitment.
Using
biophysical
predictors
patterns
burn
severity
from
1180
recent
events,
we
mapped
the
locations
potential
across
upland
conifer
forests
southwestern
United
States
(US)
(99,428
km2
area),
a
region
highly
vulnerable
fire-driven
transformation.
We
low
pre-fire
cover,
flat
slopes
topographic
concavities,
moderate
weather
conditions,
spring-season
burning,
areas
affected
low-
moderate-severity
within
previous
15
years
were
commonly
associated
refugia.
Based
current
(i.e.,
2021)
predicted
67.6%
18.1%
our
study
area
would
contain
under
extreme
weather,
respectively.
However,
36.4%
(moderate
weather)
31.2%
(extreme
more
common
experienced
fires,
increased
prescribed
resource
objective
fires
promote
fire-resistant
landscapes.
When
overlaid
models
recruitment,
23.2%
6.4%
classified
high
recruitment
surrounding
landscape.
These
may
disproportionately
valuable
for
sustainability,
providing
habitat
fire-sensitive
species
maintaining
persistence
increasingly
fire-prone
world.
Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
54(1), P. 63 - 83
Published: Aug. 4, 2023
Many
natural
disturbances
have
a
strong
climate
forcing,
and
concern
is
rising
about
how
ecosystems
will
respond
to
disturbance
regimes
which
they
are
not
adapted.
Novelty
can
arise
either
as
attributes
of
the
regime
(e.g.,
frequency,
severity,
duration)
shift
beyond
their
historical
ranges
variation
or
new
agents
present
historically
emerge.
How
much
novelty
ecological
systems
absorb
whether
changing
lead
novel
outcomes
determined
by
responses
communities,
also
subject
change.
Powerful
conceptual
frameworks
exist
for
anticipating
consequences
regimes,
but
these
remain
challenging
apply
in
real-world
settings.
Nonlinear
relationships
tipping
points,
feedbacks)
particular
because
disproportionate
effects.
Future
research
should
quantify
rise
assess
capacity
changes.
Novel
be
potent
catalysts
Fire Ecology,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
18(1)
Published: May 19, 2022
Abstract
Background
Forest
and
nonforest
ecosystems
of
the
western
United
States
are
experiencing
major
transformations
in
response
to
land-use
change,
climate
warming,
their
interactive
effects
with
wildland
fire.
Some
transitioning
persistent
alternative
types,
hereafter
called
“vegetation
type
conversion”
(VTC).
VTC
is
one
most
pressing
management
issues
southwestern
US,
yet
current
strategies
intervene
address
change
often
use
trial-and-error
approaches
devised
after
fact.
To
better
understand
how
manage
VTC,
we
gathered
managers,
scientists,
practitioners
from
across
US
collect
experiences
challenges,
responses,
outcomes.
Results
Participants
two
workshops
provided
11
descriptive
case
studies
61
examples
own
field
observations.
These
demonstrate
extent
complexity
ecological
reorganization
region.
High-severity
fire
was
predominant
driver
semi-arid
coniferous
forests.
By
a
large
margin,
these
forests
converted
shrubland,
fewer
conversions
native
or
non-native
herbaceous
communities.
Chaparral
sagebrush
areas
nearly
always
grasses
through
interactions
among
land
use,
climate,
Management
interventions
attempted
reverse
changes,
although
found
that
efforts
cover
only
small
portion
high-severity
burn
undergoing
VTC.
incurred
long
(>10
years)
observational
periods
prior
initiating
interventions.
Efforts
facilitate
were
rare,
but
could
spatial
areas.
Conclusions
Our
findings
underscore
conversion
common
outcome
US.
Ecosystem
managers
frontline
observers
far-reaching
potentially
making
valuable
further
developing
intervention
research
agendas.
As
its
drivers
increase
appears
increasingly
likely
many
contexts
may
require
paradigms
transition
as
well.
Approaches
include
new
models
desired
conditions,
experimentation
by
broader
implementation
adaptive
strategies.
Continuing
support
develop
science-manager
partnerships
peer
learning
groups
will
help
shape
our
ongoing
rapid
transformations.
Canadian Journal of Forest Research,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
52(10), P. 1281 - 1302
Published: June 22, 2022
Wildfire-mediated
changes
to
forests
have
prompted
numerous
studies
on
post-fire
forest
recovery
of
coniferous
forests.
Given
climate
change,
a
growing
body
work
demonstrates
that
conifer
regeneration
in
temperate
and
boreal
is
declining,
phenomenon
often
termed
“regeneration
failure.”
However,
the
definition
parameters
are
variable.
Characterization
drought
also
varies
greatly,
thus
hindering
ability
compare
results
among
areas.
This
review
discusses
new
perspectives
failure
places
these
into
context
fire
activity.
We
focus
this
three
types
where
well
documented:
western
forests,
cold
mixed-conifer
dry
pine
To
place
challenges
tree
regional
trends,
we
present
novel
analysis
summarizes
conditions
prior,
during,
following
year
large
wildfire.
demonstrate
need
assess
specific
dynamics
well-defined
metrics.
For
example,
establishment
may
historically
occur
over
longer
periods,
current
future
exacerbate
not
promote
pre-fire
structure
composition.
Many
undergoing
rapid
change
type,
magnitude,
causes
be
compared
As
such,
should
cautious
quantifying
failure”
without
providing
spatial
temporal
context.
Landscape Ecology,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
38(4), P. 933 - 947
Published: Jan. 25, 2023
Abstract
Context
Structure
is
a
central
dimension
of
forest
ecosystems
that
closely
linked
to
their
capacity
provide
ecosystem
services.
Drivers
such
as
changing
disturbance
regimes
are
increasingly
altering
structure,
but
large-scale
characterizations
structure
and
disturbance-mediated
structural
dynamics
remain
rare.
Objectives
Here,
we
characterize
patterns
in
the
horizontal
vertical
mountain
forests
test
for
presence
alternative
states.
We
investigate
factors
determining
occurrence
states
role
recovery
transitions
between
Methods
used
spaceborne
lidar
(GEDI)
across
European
Alps.
combined
GEDI-derived
metrics
with
Landsat-based
maps
related
topography,
climate,
landscape
configuration,
past
disturbances.
Results
found
two
emerged
consistently
all
types
Alps:
short,
open-canopy
(24%)
tall,
closed-canopy
(76%).
In
absence
disturbance,
occurred
at
high
elevations,
edges,
warm,
dry
sites.
Disturbances
caused
transition
conditions
approximately
50%
cases.
Within
35
years
after
72%
recovered
state,
except
submediterranean
forests,
where
slow
long-lasting
more
likely.
Conclusions
As
climate
warming
increases
disturbances
causes
thermophilization
vegetation,
could
become
likely
future.
Such
restructuring
pose
challenge
management,
have
lower
capacities
providing
important
Euro-Mediterranean Journal for Environmental Integration,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
8(3), P. 675 - 689
Published: July 10, 2023
Abstract
In
recent
years,
a
worldwide
expansion
in
the
frequency
of
large,
uncontrolled,
and
catastrophic
wildfire
events
has
occurred,
creating
drastic
social,
economic,
environmental
damage,
especially
wildland–urban
interface
(WUI)
zones.
This
damage
includes
losses
life,
infrastructure,
ecosystem
services.
The
impacts
wildfires
at
WUI
derive
from
complicated
multidimensional
interconnected
relationships
present
Anthropocene.
To
enforce
resilience
environment
human
communities
against
wildfires,
it
is
critical
to
comprehend
local
social-ecological
systems
holistically.
this
paper,
we
theoretical
framework
approach,
built
on
performance-based
engineering,
that
envisioned
be
stepping
stone
towards
resilience.
attain
objective,
performance
benchmarking
design
disaggregated
into
explicit
components
rigorous
mathematical
framework.
They
are
linked
causal
inference
chain,
providing
an
integrated
picture
enabling
decision
analysis
identify
optimal
management
strategies
based
quantitative
parameters.
proposed
developed
total
probability
theorem
divides
risk
assessment
single
parts,
particular
(1)
hazard
(wildfire)
analysis,
(2)
impact
characterization,
(3)
interaction
(4)
(5)
(6)
loss
analysis.
Therefore,
can
applied
by
emergency
agencies
directly
assess
society
recovery
after
wildfire,
making
policy-making
more
effective.
Remote Sensing of Environment,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
286, P. 113441 - 113441
Published: Jan. 2, 2023
Wildfire
disturbances
can
profoundly
impact
many
aspects
of
both
ecosystem
functioning
and
resilience.
This
study
proposes
a
satellite-based
approach
to
assess
resilience
wildfires
based
on
post-fire
trajectories
four
key
functional
dimensions
ecosystems
related
carbon,
water,
energy
exchanges:
(i)
vegetation
primary
production;
(ii)
soil
water
content;
(iii)
land
surface
albedo;
(iv)
sensible
heat.
For
each
dimension,
several
metrics
extracted
from
satellite
image
time-series,
at
the
short,
medium
long-term,
describe
resistance
(the
ability
withstand
environmental
disturbances)
recovery
pull
back
towards
equilibrium).
We
used
MODIS
data
for
2000–2018
analyze
after
2005
in
NW
Iberian
Peninsula.
Primary
production
exhibited
low
resistance,
with
abrupt
breaks
immediately
fire,
but
rapid
recoveries,
starting
within
six
months
fire
reaching
stable
pre-fire
levels
two
years
after.
Loss
content
showed
slightly
higher
slower
more
gradual
recoveries
than
production.
On
other
hand,
albedo
varying
recovery,
often
followed
by
increases
above
first
years,
sometimes
effects
that
persisted
years.
Finally,
wildfire
heat
were
generally
transient,
dissipate
one
year
overall
recoveries.
Our
was
able
successfully
depict
features
processes
different
timeframes.
The
added
value
our
multi-indicator
analyzing
highlighted
independence
complementarity
among
proposed
indicators
targeting
functioning.
argue
such
approaches
provide
an
enhanced
characterization
disturbances,
ultimately
upholding
promising
implications
management
Ecological Indicators,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
160, P. 111836 - 111836
Published: March 1, 2024
The
Plateau
Lake
Area
in
Central
Yunnan
has
undergone
agglomerated
socio-economic
development.
At
the
same
time,
its
fragile
ecosystems,
complex
ecological
problems,
and
rapid
urbanization
have
continued
to
challenge
security
led
prominent
contradictions
between
protection
Herein,
natural
geographic
information
kilometer
grid
data
associated
with
were
used
measure
resilience
(ER)
level
(UL)
2000,
2010,
2019,
spatial–temporal
features
of
ER
elucidated.
impacts
on
at
raster
zoning
scales
by
using
optimal
parameters-based
geographical
detector
(OPGD)
model.
results
indicate
that
central
urban
areas
Kunming
decrease,
plateau
lake
regions
showing
low
ER.
Furthermore,
hindered
ER,
influence
increased
significantly
from
2010
2019.
Although
negative
effect
land
was
most
significant,
aggregation
population
economy
did
not
inevitably
lead
dominant
drivers
varied
across
districts
counties,
depending
their
development
status.
Based
these
results,
strategies
enhance
under
differentiated
paths
explored
serve
as
a
decision-making
foundation
for
territorial
governance.
Trends in Ecology & Evolution,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
39(8), P. 706 - 715
Published: March 25, 2024
Resilience
and
vulnerability
are
important
concepts
to
understand,
anticipate,
manage
global
change
impacts
on
forest
ecosystems.
However,
they
often
used
confusingly
inconsistently,
hampering
a
synthetic
understanding
of
change,
impeding
communication
with
managers
policy-makers.
Both
powerful
have
complementary
strengths,
reflecting
their
different
history,
methodological
approach,
components,
spatiotemporal
focus.
assessments
address
the
temporal
response
disturbance
mechanisms
driving
it.
Vulnerability
focus
spatial
patterns
exposure
susceptibility,
explicitly
adaptive
capacity
stakeholder
preferences.
We
suggest
applying
distinct
resilience
where
provide
particular
leverage,
deduce
number
lessons
learned
facilitate
next
generation
assessments.