The 2024 state of the climate report: Perilous times on planet Earth

BioScience, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Oct. 8, 2024

Language: Английский

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Challenges and Opportunities in the Use of Nature-Based Solutions for Urban Adaptation

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 15(9), P. 7243 - 7243

Published: April 26, 2023

The concept of nature-based solutions (NbS) has been endorsed by multiple international organizations as one the priority approaches to address climate-related challenges. These are versatile, and can simultaneously challenges such climate impacts, public health, inequality, biodiversity crisis, being uniquely suited for urban adaptation. NbS particularly relevant in developing world, where strategies should be self-reliant possible, reducing need technological processes that require expensive complex maintenance. also promote political, societal, cultural, ultimately, systems change. purpose this paper is present a literature review on use adaptation, identifying main opportunities, challenges, and, most specifically, knowledge gaps, which addressed subsequent research. identifies four types gaps adaptation: future uncertainty, lack site-specific technical design criteria, governance strategies, effectiveness assessment evaluation. To overcome local governments’ limitations, specific implementation structures considered, centered transfer within transdisciplinary participatory framework. developed partnership with planning entities, seeking consolidate these policies support social resilience institutional capacity. Therefore, adaptation initiated pilot projects urgency implementation, while allowing practices time adjust, building capacity at level, filling through effectiveness. climate-resilience tree species adequate was identified gap NbS.

Language: Английский

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The Fragile State of Industrial Agriculture: Estimating Crop Yield Reductions in a Global Catastrophic Infrastructure Loss Scenario

Global Challenges, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 8(1)

Published: Dec. 20, 2023

Modern civilization relies on a complex, globally interconnected industrial agriculture system to produce food. Its unprecedented yields hinge external inputs like machinery, fertilizers, and pesticides, rendering it vulnerable disruptions in production international trade. Such disruption could be caused by large-scale damage the electrical grid. Solar storms, nuclear detonations upper atmosphere, pandemics, or cyber-attacks, cause this severe infrastructure. To assess impact of such global catastrophic infrastructure loss major food crops (corn, rice, soybean, wheat), we employ generalized linear model. The predictions show crop-specific yield reduction between 15% 37% phase 1, year after catastrophe, assuming rationed use fuel stocks. In 2, when all stocks are depleted, decrease 35%-48%. Soybean is less affected while experience strong declines 2. Europe, North South America, parts India, China, Indonesia face reductions, potentially up 75%, most African countries affected. These findings underscore necessity for preparation highlighting vulnerability system.

Language: Английский

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The Human Ecology of Overshoot: Why a Major ‘Population Correction’ Is Inevitable

World, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 4(3), P. 509 - 527

Published: Aug. 11, 2023

Homo sapiens has evolved to reproduce exponentially, expand geographically, and consume all available resources. For most of humanity’s evolutionary history, such expansionist tendencies have been countered by negative feedback. However, the scientific revolution use fossil fuels reduced many forms feedback, enabling us realize our full potential for exponential growth. This natural capacity is being reinforced growth-oriented neoliberal economics—nurture complements nature. Problem: human enterprise a ‘dissipative structure’ sub-system ecosphere—it can grow maintain itself only consuming dissipating energy resources extracted from its host system, ecosphere, discharging waste back into host. The population increase one eight billion, >100-fold expansion real GWP in just two centuries on finite planet, thus propelled modern techno-industrial society state advanced overshoot. We are polluting biophysical basis own existence. Climate change best-known symptom overshoot, but mainstream ‘solutions’ will actually accelerate climate disruption worsen Humanity exhibiting characteristic dynamics one-off boom–bust cycle. global economy inevitably contract humanity suffer major ‘correction’ this century.

Language: Английский

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The Story of Futures Studies: An Interdisciplinary Field Rooted in Social Sciences

Social Sciences, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 12(3), P. 192 - 192

Published: March 21, 2023

This article presents the almost century-long history of development futures studies in a comprehensive review. Futures studies, rooted sociology and policy sciences, had become an academic discipline by 1960s. One major global communities representing discipline, World Studies Federation (WFSF), celebrates its 50th anniversary 2023. In 1970s, focus was placed on discourses problems preferred futures. then developed institutional community mature 1980s 1990s. Futurists already mutually shared theoretical perspectives, objectives, ethics, methods, produced empirical results. A wide range publications at that time synthesized foundations preceding results studies. From turn millennium, active discourse took place forthcoming role By time, theoretical, methodological, practical knowledge also appeared internationally well-documented curricula. Since around 2010, has been characterized foresight projects. Based notable trends identified research gaps, this formulates up-to-date expectations directions within which might develop future.

Language: Английский

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Enhancing the horizon scanning utility of futures-oriented systematic and scoping reviews

Futures, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 158, P. 103340 - 103340

Published: Feb. 23, 2024

Language: Английский

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Population and food systems: what does the future hold?

Population and Environment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 45(3)

Published: Sept. 1, 2023

Language: Английский

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Science education for growing networks of critique and altruism: striving for increased social justice and environmental vitality

International Journal of Science Education, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 1 - 22

Published: Feb. 4, 2025

Language: Английский

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How we could survive in a post-collapse world

Discover Global Society, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 3(1)

Published: March 31, 2025

Abstract The potential for societal collapse has become a pressing concern as the impacts of climate change intensify, threatening global stability. This paper explores multifaceted risks collapse, emphasizing interconnected environmental, economic, and geopolitical pressures that contribute to vulnerability. By examining historical collapses, such those Roman Empire Maya civilization, alongside contemporary examples like Syria, Venezuela, Yemen, highlights unique challenges current crisis. Unlike past localized today's crisis is unprecedented in its speed scale, raising critical questions about adaptability modern societies. study proposes adaptive strategies, including fostering local self-sufficiency, building resilient community networks, embracing uncertainty central survival deeply altered world. It argues while lessons provide valuable insights, new approaches are needed navigate complexities Anthropocene. Ultimately, underscores urgency reimagining resilience confront an era defined by profound environmental upheaval uncertainty.

Language: Английский

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Doughnuts for strategies: A tool for an emerging sustainable welfare paradigm

European Journal of Social Security, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 25(4), P. 367 - 387

Published: Oct. 10, 2023

The Degrowth Doughnut (a modification of the original visualization boundaries and foundations created by economist Kate Raworth) can be considered a tool for assessing current environmental social capacity country to transform into an ecologically socially sustainable modus operandi. Its sufficiently rich set criteria, including cultural, socio-economic biophysical indicators, gives us overall picture problems dealt with strengths build on in immediate future. simple boundary-threshold structure presents limiting aspirational targets single image. As such, it is also that aid eco-social policymaking prioritize decisions seek synergies between choices made. This research will present Hungarian use as case study when applied aims expected impacts Hungary’s operational National Clean Development Strategy. We illustrate degrowth-relevant priorities assess adequacy responses proposed Strategy, providing critical analysis national policy options. Behind such climate sustainability strategies are always wealth important value moral considerations. Is there safe just operating space minds policymakers? To what extent, if at all, fundamental principles post-growth theories incorporated strategy? believe like this provide inspiration further practical application elsewhere.

Language: Английский

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