Anthropogenic Disturbance and Climate Change Impacts on the Suitable Habitat of Sphenomorphus incognitus in China

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(1)

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Estimating the impacts of anthropogenic activities and climate change on species' spatial distributions is crucial for conservation. In this study, based 62 valid occurrence records Sphenomorphus incognitus 24 environmental factors (19 factors, 4 topographic 1 human activity factor), we utilized biomod2 combined model platform to predict suitable habitats S. under two current scenarios (Scenario 1: natural state; Scenario 2: interference state) future (SSP1-2.6 SSP5-8.5) in 2050s 2090s. The mean true skill statistic (TSS) area receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) suggested that ensemble yield more precise predictions than those individual models. Rainfall slope were identified as most important influencing distribution. Human disturbance has significantly reduced habitat by 44.13 × 104 km2, which a decrease 23.95% compared conditions. Spatial analysis revealed substantial fragmentation due activities. incorporation into exhibits divergent trends. Two distinct have been identified, each results reduction region 29.58 km2 an increase 27.04 respectively, year 2090. primary influence persists centroid shifted toward southeast SSP1-2.6 northwest SSP5-8.5. Our findings highlight significant impact emphasize need conservation measures. Future research should incorporate additional socioeconomic data further investigate effects species.

Language: Английский

---

Predicting current and future potential distribution of Changnienia amoena in China under global climate change

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(1)

Published: May 21, 2025

Language: Английский

---

Assessment of Suitable Habitats and Identification of Key Protection Areas for Polyplectron katsumatae in Jianfengling, Hainan Province, China

Life, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(5), P. 826 - 826

Published: May 21, 2025

Polyplectron katsumatae is a rare and endangered species endemic to Hainan, China. It has long been regarded as subspecies of the widely distributed Grey Peacock-Pheasant (Polyplectron bicalcaratum), classification that resulted in paucity targeted conservation studies rendered efforts protect restore its populations habitats exceedingly challenging. In this study, Jianfengling section Hainan Tropical Rainforest National Park was designated research area. We comprehensively utilized infrared camera monitoring data for P. other species, alongside habitat environmental factor obtained through multiple approaches. An ensemble distribution model (ESDM) employed evaluate suitability four ground-dwelling bird including katsumatae, investigate their preferences competitive interactions during selection. Subsequently, Marxan applied identify key protection areas katsumatae. The results indicate suitable primarily central, eastern, certain southern study region, with low spatial overlap minimal competition from three species. However, due anthropogenic disturbances inherently stringent requirements overall area limited, exhibiting concentrated fragmented, small patches within it. Our recommends designating eastern regions thereby providing robust baseline environment policy support recovery populations.

Language: Английский

---

Range contraction and expansion of the African buffalo under climate change scenarios

Biodiversity, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 1 - 15

Published: Nov. 19, 2024

Climate change is one of the leading causes global biodiversity declines and extinctions. Yet knowledge its impact on African buffalo distribution continent lacking. In this study, we apply ensemble species modelling to predict two coarsely defined functional groups under current future climate scenarios (Shared Socioeconmic Pathway, SSP245 SSP585 in 2100) estimate habitat representation within protected areas. Model predictions indicate significant range contraction expansion savanna forest groups, respectively. Also, proportion suitable habitats for both represented poorly areas, with coverage expected decline further. Our findings reveal plausible implications conservation zoonotic diseases. Overall, climate-based approach could be applied model subspecies at local geographical scales countries adequately sampled occurrence data support decision-making.

Language: Английский

---

How safe are vulture safe zones in Indian subcontinent: A climate change perspective

Journal for Nature Conservation, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 126791 - 126791

Published: Dec. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

---