Estimating behavioural relaxation induced by COVID-19 vaccines in the first months of their rollout DOI Creative Commons
Yuhan Li, Nicolò Gozzi, Nicola Perra

et al.

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Nov. 7, 2024

Abstract The initial rollout of COVID-19 vaccines has been challenged by logistical issues, limited availability doses, scarce healthcare capacity, spotty acceptance, and variants concern. Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have critical to support these phases. However, may prompted behavioural relaxation, potentially reducing NPIs adherence. Epidemic models explored this phenomenon, but they not validated against data. Moreover, recent surveys provide conflicting results on the matter. extent relaxation induced is still unclear. Here, we aim study phenomenon in four regions. We implement five realistic epidemic which include age structure, multiple virus strains, NPIs, vaccinations. One acts as a baseline, while others extend it including different mechanisms. First, calibrate baseline model run counterfactual scenarios quantify impact vaccinations NPIs. Our confirm role both infection mortality rates. Second, compare them each other using metrics. Including leads better fit weekly deaths three improvements are 2 − 10% reduction weighted mean absolute percentage errors gains generally offset models’ increased complexity. Overall, do find clear signs deaths. Furthermore, our suggest that if occurred, involved only firm minority population. work contributes retrospective validation developed amid Pandemic underscores issue non-identifiability complex social

Language: Английский

Unlocking the power of snailstep application: A smartphone-based way to improve walking and urban health DOI
Borhan Sepehri, Mohammad Anvar Adibhesami,

Amirmohamad Parvanehdehkordi

et al.

Journal of Transport & Health, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 41, P. 102001 - 102001

Published: Feb. 4, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

1

The effect of COVID-19 on older pedestrian road safety: A holistic analysis through pandemic phases DOI Creative Commons
Daniel Gálvez-Pérez, Begoña Guirao,

David del-Villar-Juez

et al.

Journal of Transport & Health, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 41, P. 101986 - 101986

Published: Jan. 18, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Mapping COVID-19's potential infection risk based on land use characteristics: A case study of commercial activities in two Egyptian cities DOI Creative Commons
Karim I. Abdrabo, Mahmoud Mabrouk, Haoying Han

et al.

Heliyon, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 10(2), P. e24702 - e24702

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

The contagious COVID-19 has recently emerged and evolved into a world-threatening pandemic outbreak. After pursuing rigorous prophylactic measures two years ago, most activities globally reopened despite the emergence of lethal genetic strains. In this context, assessing mapping activity characteristics-based hot spot regions facilitating infectious transmission is essential. Hence, our research question is: How can potential hotspots risk be defined intra-cities based on spatial planning commercial in particular? research, Zayed October cities, Egypt, characterized by various activities, were selected as testbeds. First, we analyzed each activity's morphological characteristics infection Centre for Disease Control Prevention (CDCP) criteria Kriging Interpolation method. Then, using Google Mobility, previous reports, semi-structured interviews, points interest population flow combined with last step interrelated horizontal layers determining hotspots. A validation study compared generated map, cases, land use distribution logistic regression (LR) Pearson coefficients (rxy). Through visual analytics, findings indicate central areas both including incompatible concentrated have high-risk peaks (LR = 0.903, rxy 0.78) medium urban density districts, indicating that alone insufficient public health reduction. Health perspective-based configuration advised assessment tool along appropriate decision-making shaping pandemic-resilient cities.

Language: Английский

Citations

3

Estimating behavioural relaxation induced by COVID-19 vaccines in the first months of their rollout DOI Creative Commons
Yuhan Li, Nicolò Gozzi, Nicola Perra

et al.

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Nov. 7, 2024

Abstract The initial rollout of COVID-19 vaccines has been challenged by logistical issues, limited availability doses, scarce healthcare capacity, spotty acceptance, and variants concern. Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have critical to support these phases. However, may prompted behavioural relaxation, potentially reducing NPIs adherence. Epidemic models explored this phenomenon, but they not validated against data. Moreover, recent surveys provide conflicting results on the matter. extent relaxation induced is still unclear. Here, we aim study phenomenon in four regions. We implement five realistic epidemic which include age structure, multiple virus strains, NPIs, vaccinations. One acts as a baseline, while others extend it including different mechanisms. First, calibrate baseline model run counterfactual scenarios quantify impact vaccinations NPIs. Our confirm role both infection mortality rates. Second, compare them each other using metrics. Including leads better fit weekly deaths three improvements are 2 − 10% reduction weighted mean absolute percentage errors gains generally offset models’ increased complexity. Overall, do find clear signs deaths. Furthermore, our suggest that if occurred, involved only firm minority population. work contributes retrospective validation developed amid Pandemic underscores issue non-identifiability complex social

Language: Английский

Citations

0