Assessing climate change impacts on extreme hydrological characteristics of reservoir inflow in Tianshan Mountain Range, China DOI Creative Commons
Xiaobo Yun, Jianwen Wang,

Hongjun Bao

et al.

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(1)

Published: April 28, 2025

The hydrological extremes, caused by increasing regional extreme precipitation and melting glaciers or snow under climate change, pose a major challenge to reservoir management in Tianshan Mountain Range of China. Modeling assessment extremes are important measures ensure the safety operations water resources. However, insufficient faced reservoirs has limited development flood risk early warning methods for mountain reservoirs. To this end, based on VIC-CAS-R model that coupled with glacier snowmelt modules, study analyzed evaluated changing characteristics streamflow selected from 1961 2014, Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI) Mann-Kendall test were used identify as well trends. result indicated (1) showed segmented change trend "increasing-decreasing-increasing"; (2) notable variations temporal spatial distribution, located western area decrease wet (up 70.8%) an increase dry 73.9%), while eastern region experienced simultaneous 119.8%). These insights help deepen comprehension induced reservoirs, provide support predicting other arid inland regions.

Language: Английский

Assessing climate change impacts on extreme hydrological characteristics of reservoir inflow in Tianshan Mountain Range, China DOI Creative Commons
Xiaobo Yun, Jianwen Wang,

Hongjun Bao

et al.

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(1)

Published: April 28, 2025

The hydrological extremes, caused by increasing regional extreme precipitation and melting glaciers or snow under climate change, pose a major challenge to reservoir management in Tianshan Mountain Range of China. Modeling assessment extremes are important measures ensure the safety operations water resources. However, insufficient faced reservoirs has limited development flood risk early warning methods for mountain reservoirs. To this end, based on VIC-CAS-R model that coupled with glacier snowmelt modules, study analyzed evaluated changing characteristics streamflow selected from 1961 2014, Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI) Mann-Kendall test were used identify as well trends. result indicated (1) showed segmented change trend "increasing-decreasing-increasing"; (2) notable variations temporal spatial distribution, located western area decrease wet (up 70.8%) an increase dry 73.9%), while eastern region experienced simultaneous 119.8%). These insights help deepen comprehension induced reservoirs, provide support predicting other arid inland regions.

Language: Английский

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