Telematics and Informatics, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 68, P. 101765 - 101765
Published: Dec. 22, 2021
Language: Английский
Telematics and Informatics, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 68, P. 101765 - 101765
Published: Dec. 22, 2021
Language: Английский
Chaos Solitons & Fractals, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 142, P. 110338 - 110338
Published: Oct. 3, 2020
Language: Английский
Citations
196SN Computer Science, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 2(5)
Published: July 23, 2021
Language: Английский
Citations
128Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 128, P. 102286 - 102286
Published: March 28, 2022
Language: Английский
Citations
97The European Journal of Health Economics, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 23(6), P. 917 - 940
Published: Aug. 4, 2021
The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a severe, ongoing, novel pandemic that emerged in Wuhan, China, December 2019. As of January 21, 2021, the virus had infected approximately 100 million people, causing over 2 deaths. This article analyzed several time series forecasting methods to predict spread COVID-19 during pandemic's second wave Italy (the period after October 13, 2020). autoregressive moving average (ARIMA) model, innovations state space models for exponential smoothing (ETS), neural network autoregression (NNAR) trigonometric model with Box-Cox transformation, ARMA errors, and trend seasonal components (TBATS), all their feasible hybrid combinations were employed forecast number patients hospitalized mild symptoms intensive care units (ICU). data February 2020-October 2020 extracted from website Italian Ministry Health ( www.salute.gov.it ). results showed (i) better at capturing linear, nonlinear, patterns, significantly outperforming respective single both series, (ii) numbers COVID-19-related hospitalizations ICU projected increase rapidly mid-November 2020. According estimations, necessary ordinary beds expected double 10 days triple 20 days. These predictions consistent observed trend, demonstrating may facilitate public health authorities' decision-making, especially short-term.
Language: Английский
Citations
81Informatics in Medicine Unlocked, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 20, P. 100420 - 100420
Published: Jan. 1, 2020
Epidemiological models have been used extensively to predict disease spread in large populations. Among these models, Susceptible Infectious Exposed Recovered (SEIR) is considered be a suitable model for COVID-19 predictions. However, SEIR its classical form unable quantify the impact of lockdowns. In this work, we introduce variable system equations study various degrees social distancing on disease. As case study, apply our modified initial data available (till April 9, 2020) Kingdom Saudi Arabia (KSA). Our analysis shows that with no lockdown around 2.1 million people might get infected during peak 2 months from date was first enforced KSA (March 25th). On other hand, Kingdom's current strategy partial lockdowns, predicted number infections can lowered 0.4 by September 2020. We further demonstrate stricter level curve effectively flattened KSA.
Language: Английский
Citations
74Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 28(9), P. 11672 - 11682
Published: Jan. 7, 2021
The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has seriously affected the environment, ecology, economy, society, and human health. With global epidemic dynamics becoming more serious, prediction analysis confirmed cases deaths COVID-19 become an important task. We develop artificial neural network (ANN) for modeling COVID-19. data are collected from January 20 to November 11, 2020 by World Health Organization (WHO). By introducing root mean square error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (R), absolute (MAE), statistical indicators model verified evaluated. size training test death base employed in is optimized. best simulating performance with RMSE, R, MAE realized using 7 past days' as input variables dataset. And estimated R 0.9948 0.9683, respectively. Compared different algorithms, experimental simulation shows that trainbr algorithm better than other algorithms reproducing amount deaths. This study ANN suitable predicting future. Using model, we also predict June 5, 2020. During period, new infected 0.9848, 17,554, 12,229, respectively; 0.8593, 631.8, 463.7, predicted very close actual results show continuous strict control measures should be taken prevent further spread epidemic.
Language: Английский
Citations
70Fuel, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 321, P. 124131 - 124131
Published: April 9, 2022
Language: Английский
Citations
65Neural Computing and Applications, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 34(4), P. 3135 - 3149
Published: Oct. 10, 2021
The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the economy and businesses impacted all facets of people's lives. It is critical to forecast number infected cases make accurate decisions on necessary measures control outbreak. While deep learning models have proved be effective in this context, time series augmentation can improve their performance. In paper, we use techniques create new that take into account characteristics original series, which then generate enough samples fit properly. proposed method applied context forecasting using three techniques, (1) long short-term memory, (2) gated recurrent units, (3) convolutional neural network. terms symmetric mean absolute percentage error root square measures, significantly improves performance memory networks. Also, improvement average for units. Finally, present a summary top model as well visual representation actual forecasted data each country.
Language: Английский
Citations
58IEEE Transactions on Artificial Intelligence, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 4(1), P. 44 - 59
Published: Jan. 11, 2022
The purpose of this article is to see how machine learning (ML) algorithms and applications are used in the COVID-19 inquiry for other purposes. available traditional methods international epidemic prediction, researchers authorities have given more attention simple statistical epidemiological methodologies. inadequacy absence medical testing diagnosing identifying a solution one key challenges preventing spread COVID-19. A few statistical-based improvements being strengthened answer challenge, resulting partial resolution up certain level. ML advocated wide range intelligence-based approaches, frameworks, equipment cope with issues industry. application inventive structure, such as handling relevant outbreak difficulties, has been investigated article. major goal 1) Examining impact data type nature, well obstacles processing 2) Better grasp importance intelligent approaches like pandemic. 3) development improved types prognosis. 4) effectiveness influence various strategies 5) To target on potential diagnosis order motivate academics innovate expand their knowledge research into additional COVID-19-affected industries.
Language: Английский
Citations
51Applied Sciences, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 13(12), P. 7104 - 7104
Published: June 14, 2023
Stock indices are considered to be an important indicator of financial market volatility in various countries. Therefore, the stock forecast is one challenging issues decrease uncertainty future direction markets. In recent years, many scholars attempted use different conventional statistical and deep learning methods predict indices. However, non-linear noise data will usually cause stochastic deterioration time lag results, resulting existing neural networks that do not demonstrate good prediction results. For this reason, we propose a novel framework combine gated recurrent unit (GRU) network with complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition adaptive (CEEMDAN) better accuracy, which wavelet threshold method especially used denoise high-frequency noises sub-signals exclude interference for predictions. Firstly, choose representative datasets collected from closing prices S&P500 CSI 300 evaluate proposed GRU-CEEMDAN–wavelet model. Additionally, compare improved model traditional ARIMA several modified models using gate structures. The result shows mean values MSE MAE GRU based on CEEMDAN–wavelet smallest by significance analysis. Overall, found our could improve accuracy alleviates problem.
Language: Английский
Citations
25