International Journal of Disaster Risk Science,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Dec. 9, 2024
Abstract
Current
simulation
models
considerably
underestimate
local-scale,
short-duration
extreme
precipitation
induced
by
tropical
cyclones
(TCs).
This
problem
needs
to
be
addressed
establish
active
response
policies
for
TC-induced
disasters.
Taking
Shanghai,
a
coastal
megacity,
as
study
area
and
based
on
the
observations
from
192
meteorological
stations
in
city
during
2005–2018,
this
optimized
parameterized
Tropical
Cyclone
Precipitation
Model
(TCPM)
initially
designed
TCs
at
national
scale
(China)
local
or
regional
scales
using
machine
learning
(ML)
methods,
including
random
forest
(RF),
gradient
boosting
(XGBoost),
ensemble
(EL)
algorithms.
The
TCPM-ML
was
applied
multiple
temporal
hazard
assessment.
results
show
that:
(1)
not
only
improved
TCPM
performance
simulating
hourly
precipitations,
but
also
preserved
physical
meaning
of
results,
contrary
ML
methods;
(2)
Machine
algorithms
enhanced
ability
reproduce
observations,
although
precipitations
remained
slightly
underestimated;
(3)
Best
obtained
with
XGBoost
EL
Combining
strengths
both
RF,
algorithm
yielded
best
overall
performance.
provides
essential
model
support
TC
disaster
risk
assessment
China.
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
17(1)
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
Abstract
Anticipating
climate
impacts
and
risks
in
present
or
future
climates
requires
predicting
the
statistics
of
high‐impact
weather
events
at
fine‐scales.
Direct
numerical
simulations
fine‐scale
are
computationally
too
expensive
for
many
applications.
While
deterministic‐based
(deep‐learning
statistical)
downscaling
low‐resolution
several
orders
magnitude
faster
than
direct
simulations,
it
suffers
from
limitations.
These
limitations
include
tendency
to
regress
mean,
which
produces
excessively
smooth
predictions
underestimates
extreme
events.
They
also
fail
preserve
statistical
measures
that
key
research.
We
use
a
conditional
GAN
(cGAN)
architecture
downscale
daily
precipitation
as
Regional
Climate
Model
(RCM)
emulator.
The
cGAN
generates
plausible
residuals
on
top
predictable
expectation
state
produced
by
deterministic
deep
learning
algorithm.
skill
cGANs
is
highly
sensitive
hyperparameter
known
weight
adversarial
loss
(),
where
value
required
accurate
results
varies
with
season
performance
metric,
casting
doubt
reliability
usually
implemented.
However,
applying
simple
intensity
constraint
function,
possible
obtain
reliable
across
spanning
two
magnitude.
CGANs
considerably
more
skillful
capturing
climatological
statistics,
including
distribution
spatial
characteristics
With
this
modification,
we
expect
be
readily
transferable
other
applications
time
periods,
making
them
useful
generator
representing
event
climates.
Atmosphere,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
16(2), P. 229 - 229
Published: Feb. 18, 2025
Climate
projections
based
on
global
climate
models
(GCMs)
are
generally
subject
to
large
uncertainties,
as
the
only
reflect
local
in
past
a
limited
extent.
Statistical
downscaling
is
most
cost-effective
approach
identify
systematic
biases
of
GCMs
from
and
eliminate
them
projections.
This
study
seeks
evaluate
effectiveness
capturing
climatic
characteristics
at
river
basin
district
scale
by
applying
gridded
statistical
techniques
using
regional
datasets.
The
historical
observational
datasets
E-OBS
GloH2O
were
selected
downscale
raw
data
17
~1°
grid
cells
0.25°
resolution.
dataset
supported
dense
network
meteorological
stations
Europe,
while
covering
all
continents.
results
show
that
suitability
varies
depending
parameter.
revealed
advantages
performance
representing
during
period
emphasized
crucial
role
for
good
depiction.
Such
an
provides
possibility
assess
relative
high-resolution
reanalysis
datasets,
generating
statistically
downscaled
best
ranked
GCMs.
strategies
used
this
can
help
appropriate
assemble
right
ensemble
specific
studies.
Earth system science data,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
17(4), P. 1501 - 1514
Published: April 11, 2025
Abstract.
The
long-term
and
reliable
meteorological
reanalysis
dataset
with
high
spatial–temporal
resolution
is
crucial
for
various
hydrological
applications,
especially
in
regions
or
periods
scarce
situ
observations
limited
open-access
data.
Based
on
the
fifth-generation
(ERA5,
produced
by
European
Centre
Medium-Range
Weather
Forecasts,
0.25°×0.25°,
since
1940)
CLDAS
(China
Meteorological
Administration
Land
Data
Assimilation
System,
0.0625°×0.0625°,
2008),
we
propose
a
novel
downscaling
method
Geopotential-guided
Attention
Network
(GeoAN),
leveraging
spatial
of
extended
historical
coverage
ERA5,
produce
daily
multi-variable
(2
m
temperature,
surface
pressure,
10
wind
speed)
MDG625.
MDG625
(0.0625°
Dataset
derived
GeoAN)
covers
most
Asia
from
0.125°
S
to
64.875°
N
60.125
160.125°
E,
contains
data
starting
1940.
Compared
other
methods,
GeoAN
shows
better
performance
R2
speed
reach
0.990,
0.998,
0.781,
respectively).
demonstrates
superior
continuity
consistency
both
temporal
perspectives.
We
anticipate
that
this
dataset,
MDG625,
will
aid
climate
studies
contribute
improving
accuracy
products
1940s.
(Song
et
al.,
2024)
presented
at
https://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.17408,
code
can
be
found
https://github.com/songzijiang/GeoAN
(last
access:
8
April
2025).
Scientific Data,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
12(1)
Published: April 30, 2025
Global
warming
has
intensified
extreme
weather
events,
posing
challenges
to
regional
climate
and
hydro-ecological
systems.
To
address
the
low-resolution
limitations
of
current
multi-climate
variables
potential
evapotranspiration
(PET),
this
study
develops
a
super-resolution
fusion
framework
based
on
deep
residual
attention
mechanisms,
establishing
China's
10-km
resolution
multi-model-multi-scenario
high-resolution
PET
dataset
(SRCPCN10).
The
Residual
Channel
Attention
Network
(RCAN)
demonstrates
exceptional
downscaling
performance
for
temperature,
radiation,
pressure
(R2/KGE
>
0.99),
while
precipitation
exhibits
significantly
lower
accuracy
(R2
=
0.897)
due
spatial
discontinuity.
findings
reveal
distinct
emission-gradient
responses
in
future
under
SSP
scenarios,
with
increases
escalating
alongside
radiative
forcing
intensification.
comparison
annual
mean
differences
between
original
CMIP6
downscaled
data
showed
excellent
agreement,
most
indices
differing
by
less
than
1%.
This
work
overcomes
traditional
limitations,
providing
kilometer-scale
multivariate
watershed
hydrological
modeling,
agricultural
risk
assessment,
carbon-neutral
pathway
optimization,
enhancing
precision
adaptation
strategies.
Remote Sensing,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
17(4), P. 587 - 587
Published: Feb. 8, 2025
Sea
surface
wind
(SSW)
plays
a
pivotal
role
in
numerous
research
endeavors
pertaining
to
meteorology
and
oceanography.
SSW
fields
derived
from
remote
sensing
have
been
widely
applied;
however,
regional
local
studies
require
higher-spatial-resolution
identify
refined
details.
Most
of
the
existing
based
on
deep
learning
constructed
mappings
low-resolution
inputs
high-resolution
downscaled
estimates.
However,
these
methods
failed
capture
relationships
between
multiple
variables
as
revealed
by
physical
processes.
Therefore,
this
paper
proposes
spatial
downscaling
approach
for
satellite
sea
that
employs
soft-sharing
multi-task
learning.
temperature
water
vapor
are
included
auxiliary
SSW,
considering
close
correlation
principles
data
availability.
The
is
designed
an
task
integrated
into
network
with
generative
adversarial
dual
regression
structures.
proposed
achieves
flexible
parameter
sharing
information
exchange
tasks
through
mechanism
bridge
modules.
Comprehensive
experiments
were
conducted
WindSat
products
at
0.25°
Remote
Sensing
Systems.
experimental
results
validate
outstanding
capability
methodology
respect
precision
comparison
buoy
measurements
reconstruction
quality.