Frontiers in Remote Sensing,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
5
Published: Nov. 28, 2024
This
study
investigates
land
use
and
cover
changes
in
the
Teiči
Strict
Nature
Reserve,
Latvia,
from
1982
to
2023
models
potential
future
based
on
four
legislative
scenarios
extending
2064.
The
research
aims
assess
effectiveness
of
existing
conservation
zoning
relation
historical
projected
cover,
addressing
ongoing
debate
between
fixed
adaptable
strategies.
employs
remote
sensing
imagery,
geographical
information
system
data,
modeling
methods
analyze
predict
trends.
results
suggest
substantial
over
past
decades,
including
intensified
urbanization,
agricultural
expansion,
a
decline
peat
bogs
forested
areas.
Scenario
projections
indicate
that
continued
could
further
challenge
efficiency
current
strategies,
with
varying
outcomes
depending
measures
climate
change
impacts.
concludes
adaptive
management
variable
are
necessary
address
these
dynamic
preserve
reserve’s
ecological
integrity.
emphasize
importance
integrating
predictive
into
planning
improve
flexibility
sustainability
protected
Policy
interventions
have
substantial
effects
on
land
use
change,
providing
key
levers
for
multiple
objectives,
including
mitigating
climate
change
and
biodiversity
loss,
maintaining
food
security.
are
often
complicated,
conflicting,
subject
to
regular
change.
Despite
this,
system
models
typically
treat
policies
as
simple,
exogenous
modifications
models.
To
better
represent
the
dynamic
nature
of
policy-making,
we
develop
an
endogenous
institutional
model
that
can
be
embedded
within
models,
here
exemplified
by
agent-based
model.
Numerical
experiments
conducted
examine
institution
with
two
targeting
production
ecosystem
services.
We
find
a
clear
scope
simulation-based
exploration
emergent
processes
marginal
diminishing
effect
economic
policy
interventions,
asymmetric
spill-over
different
services,
trade-offs
between
goals.
The
possesses
potential
reveal
nuanced
patterns
important
consequences
systems.
Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
14(1)
Published: Aug. 19, 2024
With
the
global
land
use/land
cover
(LULC)
and
climate
change,
ecological
resilience
(ER)
in
typical
Karst
areas
has
become
focus
of
attention.
Its
future
development
trend
its
spatial
response
to
natural
anthropogenic
factors
are
crucial
for
understanding
changes
ecologically
fragile
human
behavior.
However,
there
is
still
a
lack
relevant
quantitative
research.
The
study
systematically
analyzed
characteristics
LULC
Southwest
China
with
over
past
20
years.
Drawing
on
landscape
ecology
research
paradigm,
potential-elasticity-stability
ER
assessment
model
was
constructed.
Revealing
heterogeneity
distribution,
annual
evolution,
under
different
scenarios
shared
socioeconomic
pathways
representative
concentration
(SSP-RCP)
future.
In
addition,
econometric
utilized
reveal
effect
mechanism
ER,
adaptive
strategies
were
proposed
promote
sustainable
China.
found
that
:
(1)
years,
showed
an
accelerated
change
trend,
decreased
declined
general,
significant
heterogeneity,
showing
distribution
pattern
"west
larger
than
east,
south
north,
reduction
west
slower
east."
(2)
Under
same
SSP
scenario,
increase
RCP
emission
concentration,
area
lowest-resilience
increased
significantly,
highest-resilience
decreased.
(3)
woodland
largest
contributor
per
unit
China,
grassland
main
type,
which
had
prominent
impact
area.
(4)
average
precipitation
normalized
difference
vegetation
index
(NDVI)
drivers
area,
economic
growth,
innovation,
optimization
industrial
structure
contributed
Overall,
integration
multi-scenario-based
modeling
not
only
provides
new
perspectives
mechanisms,
but
also
valuable
references
other
regions
around
world
achieve
development.
Journal of Resources and Ecology,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
15(5)
Published: Oct. 14, 2024
Under
the
conditions
of
climate
warming,
grassland
degradation,
frequent
sandstorms,
and
fast
increases
in
livestock
numbers,
coordinating
animal
husbandry
ecological
protection
is
an
important
issue
facing
Mongolia.
Using
Khutag-Undur
as
example,
this
study
explores
dynamic
process,
future
scenarios,
optimization
strategies
system
a
typical
Soum
Mongolia
from
2015
to
2050
under
three
socioeconomic
scenarios
CMIP
6:
SSP1-RCP2.6,
SSP2-RCP4.5,
SSP5-RCP8.5.
First,
was
deconstructed
into
subsystems:
primary
production,
secondary
herder
consumption.
Based
on
negative
feedback
mechanism
forage-livestock
balance,
dynamics
model
for
developed.
This
integrates
spatial
data
such
land
cover
NPP,
well
statistical
livestock,
income
expenditures,
sample
plot
surveys,
questionnaires.
The
used
simulate
historical
changes
(2015–2022)
forage
production
carrying
capacity,
stock,
output
Khutag-Undur,
then
forecast
those
variables
2022–2050.
Second,
most
suitable
scenario
identified
by
comparing
using
pastural
sustainability
evaluation
method.
Finally,
based
indicators
two-step
reduction
strategy
proposed.
main
conclusions
are
that
rapid
growth
numbers
places
considerable
pressure
grassland,
SSP1-RCP2.6
Soum.
However,
even
scenario,
overloading
remains
evident.
continuous
implementation
recommended
maintain
sustainable
development
conservation.
Frontiers in Remote Sensing,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
5
Published: Nov. 28, 2024
This
study
investigates
land
use
and
cover
changes
in
the
Teiči
Strict
Nature
Reserve,
Latvia,
from
1982
to
2023
models
potential
future
based
on
four
legislative
scenarios
extending
2064.
The
research
aims
assess
effectiveness
of
existing
conservation
zoning
relation
historical
projected
cover,
addressing
ongoing
debate
between
fixed
adaptable
strategies.
employs
remote
sensing
imagery,
geographical
information
system
data,
modeling
methods
analyze
predict
trends.
results
suggest
substantial
over
past
decades,
including
intensified
urbanization,
agricultural
expansion,
a
decline
peat
bogs
forested
areas.
Scenario
projections
indicate
that
continued
could
further
challenge
efficiency
current
strategies,
with
varying
outcomes
depending
measures
climate
change
impacts.
concludes
adaptive
management
variable
are
necessary
address
these
dynamic
preserve
reserve’s
ecological
integrity.
emphasize
importance
integrating
predictive
into
planning
improve
flexibility
sustainability
protected
