Future Increase in Post‐Drought Precipitation With a Stronger Response to Warming DOI Creative Commons
Mingming Zhu, Liang Gao, Qikang Zhao

et al.

Geophysical Research Letters, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 51(18)

Published: Sept. 25, 2024

Abstract According to observational evidence and climate model projections, the frequency intensity of rapid shift from drought pluvial (rapid dry‒wet alternation, RDWA) increases as warming intensifies. Given that post‐drought precipitation is a key cause RDWA, this study focuses on changes in precipitation. Climate projections indicate mean will increase by 15.3% during 2071–2100 under Shared Socio‐economic Pathway (SSP) 585 scenario. The scenario‐averaged response rate (4.6%/K) global significantly greater than general (2.7%/K). Furthermore, there be an proportion land area experiencing maximum autumn. extreme 20.5% SSP585, exacerbating severity RDWA warmer world. thermodynamic (precipitable water) dynamic (atmospheric vertical velocity) components are both conducive future

Language: Английский

Enhancing Urban Resilience: Opportunities and Challenges in Adapting to Natural Disasters in Indonesian Cities DOI Open Access
Mirza Fuady,

Buraida Buraida,

M. Andrian Kevin

et al.

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 17(4), P. 1632 - 1632

Published: Feb. 16, 2025

This study identifies the key challenges and opportunities for enhancing urban resilience in Indonesia, focusing on implementation of green city concepts as a strategic solution to improve sustainability. Case studies Banda Aceh, Jakarta, Surabaya demonstrate potential limitations this approach addressing critical issues such flooding, coastal erosion, heat island effects. A systematic literature review (SLR) policy analysis related were employed, along with an evaluation initiatives implemented several major cities across Indonesia. Findings reveal that inadequate infrastructure, rapid urbanization, limited budgets constitute obstacles adopting sustainable solutions. However, significant exist through collaborative efforts between government, society, private sector. These include application environmentally friendly technologies, development robust early warning systems, adaptive planning strategies. concludes strengthening necessitates cross-sector collaboration, investments resilient increased public awareness involvement mitigating disaster risks climate change.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Trends in Hydrological Fluxes During Extreme Heat Events and Strategies for Mitigation DOI
Xuan Yu, Kunlong He, Luca Brocca

et al.

Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 132898 - 132898

Published: Feb. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
The role of karstic soil-rock structures on subsurface stormflow dynamics in southwest China DOI

Weihan Liu,

Xi Chen, Lichun Wang

et al.

Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 133126 - 133126

Published: March 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Integration of the vegetation phenology module improves ecohydrological simulation by the SWAT-Carbon model DOI Creative Commons

Mingwei Li,

Shouzhi Chen, Fanghua Hao

et al.

Hydrology and earth system sciences, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 29(8), P. 2081 - 2095

Published: April 25, 2025

Abstract. Vegetation phenology and hydrological cycles closely interact from leaf species levels to watershed global scales. As one of the most sensitive biological indicators climate change, vegetation is essential be simulated accurately in models. Although Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) has been widely used for estimating cycles, its lack integration with module led substantial uncertainties. In this study, we developed a process-based coupled it SWAT-Carbon model investigate effects dynamics on runoff upper reaches Jinsha River China. The modified showed reasonable performance simulation, root mean square error (RMSE) 9.89 d start season (SOS) 7.51 end (EOS). Simulations both were also substantially improved compared original model. Specifically, simulation area index significantly coefficient determination (R2) increasing by 0.62, Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) 2.45, absolute percent bias (PBIAS) decreasing 69.0 % average. Additionally, daily notable improvement, particularly June October, R2 rising 0.22 NSE 0.43 Our findings highlight importance integrating into models enhance modeling performance.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Substantial increases in compound climate extremes and associated socio-economic exposure across China under future climate change DOI Creative Commons
Fang Pei, Taihua Wang, Dawen Yang

et al.

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 8(1)

Published: Jan. 14, 2025

Under climate change, China faces intensifying compound extreme events with serious socio-economic ramifications, yet their future variations remain poorly understood. Here, we estimate historical hotspots and changes of two typical events, i.e., sequential heatwave precipitation (SHP) concurrent drought (CDH) across China, leveraging a bivariate bias correction method to adjust projections from global models. Results show substantial increases in frequency, duration, magnitude for both the durations projected double nationwide. The are more evident under higher emission scenarios, could be largely underestimated if neglecting variable dependence during process. will escalate exposure China's major urban clusters, among which Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao face highest risk. Our findings underscore necessity carbon controls, call adaptive measures mitigate threats induced by rising hazards changing climate.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Disproportionate increase of flood-exposed population in Chinese cities under urban expansion and climate variation DOI Creative Commons
Zhenyan She, Zhiyong Liu, Huayang Cai

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 172, P. 113314 - 113314

Published: March 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Future Increase in Post‐Drought Precipitation With a Stronger Response to Warming DOI Creative Commons
Mingming Zhu, Liang Gao, Qikang Zhao

et al.

Geophysical Research Letters, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 51(18)

Published: Sept. 25, 2024

Abstract According to observational evidence and climate model projections, the frequency intensity of rapid shift from drought pluvial (rapid dry‒wet alternation, RDWA) increases as warming intensifies. Given that post‐drought precipitation is a key cause RDWA, this study focuses on changes in precipitation. Climate projections indicate mean will increase by 15.3% during 2071–2100 under Shared Socio‐economic Pathway (SSP) 585 scenario. The scenario‐averaged response rate (4.6%/K) global significantly greater than general (2.7%/K). Furthermore, there be an proportion land area experiencing maximum autumn. extreme 20.5% SSP585, exacerbating severity RDWA warmer world. thermodynamic (precipitable water) dynamic (atmospheric vertical velocity) components are both conducive future

Language: Английский

Citations

1