
Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(1)
Published: March 25, 2025
Amid global climate change, the pursuit of low-carbon development has become a unified international goal. The Qinba Mountain region plays an important role in maintaining China's ecological security, making spatial zoning tailored for carbon neutrality vital local sustainable development. Using land use and socioeconomic data from 2000 to 2020 81 county-level units, neutral framework was developed, considering natural, economic, resource factors. This study further integrated spatiotemporal dynamics index multi-scenario predictions future emission (CE) zoning. results revealed that had overall positive net-carbon trend without significant deficits, central faced increased CE northern weak carrying capacity. predicted continued decrease under scenario reached 30.55 million t by 2060, with only nine units failing reach their peaking 2030. Five different zones were identified: sink functional zone, stabilization high-carbon control zone source optimization zone. Tailored strategies each proposed enhance regional environment contribute green These findings offer insights into achieving regions or cities.
Language: Английский