Frontiers in Energy Research,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
12
Published: Oct. 24, 2024
Introduction
An
innovative
methodology
is
proposed
to
delve
into
the
pivotal
role
of
regional
distribution
networks
(RDNs)
in
fostering
low-carbon
development.
Methods
The
first
constructs
an
evaluation
framework
encompassing
various
dimensions
and
then
integrates
spherical
fuzzy
sets
(SFSs)
with
best-worst
method
(BWM),
enabling
precise
calculation
indicator
weight
parameters.
Subsequently,
we
employ
measurement
alternatives
ranking
according
compromise
solution
(MARCOS)
SFSs
process
synthesize
decision
making
information.
Results
Take
Shanghai
region
as
example,
results
show
that
C4
has
highest
performance
C10
lowest.
Discussion
In
conclusion,
this
research
presents
a
significant
step
forward
understanding
importance
RDNs
promoting
development
offers
practical
approach
for
decision-makers
assess
enhance
RDNs.
Journal of Engineering,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
2025(1)
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
Effective
electricity
consumption
planning
is
critical
for
power
distribution.
Ensuring
the
distribution
network
aligns
with
expected
demand
fluctuations
a
challenging
task
influenced
by
various
time‐related
and
seasonal
variables.
This
study
focuses
on
improving
transformer
oil
temperature
forecasting,
an
indicator
of
health,
using
neural
hierarchical
interpolation
time
series
(NHITS)
model.
The
NHITS
model’s
architecture
designed
to
handle
long‐term
forecasting
efficiently,
making
it
ideal
capturing
extended
trends
in
temperature.
It
incorporates
multirate
signal
sampling
via
MaxPool
layers
merge
predictions
across
different
scales.
proposed
methodology
involves
two
key
phases:
data
preparation
model
development.
In
phase,
(ETT)
datasets
are
used,
normalized
standard
scaler,
essential
features
such
as
external
load
selected.
During
development
trained
its
hyperparameters
optimized
optimal
performance.
evaluates
performance
under
conditions,
including
comparison
multivariate
univariate
series,
effects
short
horizons,
impact
temporal
resolution.
was
validated
ETT
dataset,
our
results
were
benchmarked
against
previous
that
employed
same
dataset
used
Informer
indicate
outperforms
model,
showing
average
decrease
51.37%
mean
squared
error
(MSE)
37.83%
absolute
(MAE).
These
findings
highlight
ability
capture
both
short‐term
characteristics
data,
promising
solution
temperatures.
Environmental Data Science,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
4
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
Abstract
Achieving
net-zero
carbon
emissions
by
2050
necessitates
the
integration
of
substantial
wind
power
capacity
into
national
grids.
However,
inherent
variability
and
uncertainty
energy
present
significant
challenges
for
grid
operators,
particularly
in
maintaining
system
stability
balance.
Accurate
short-term
forecasting
is
therefore
essential.
This
article
introduces
an
innovative
framework
regional
over
horizons
(1–6
h),
employing
a
novel
Automated
Deep
Learning
regression
called
WindDragon.
Specifically
designed
to
process
speed
maps,
WindDragon
automatically
creates
models
leveraging
Numerical
Weather
Prediction
(NWP)
data
deliver
state-of-the-art
forecasts.
We
conduct
extensive
evaluations
on
from
France
year
2020,
benchmarking
against
diverse
set
baselines,
including
both
deep
learning
traditional
methods.
The
results
demonstrate
that
achieves
improvements
forecast
accuracy
considered
highlighting
its
potential
enhancing
reliability
face
increased
integration.
Sustainability,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
17(7), P. 3239 - 3239
Published: April 5, 2025
Accurate
interval
forecasting
of
wind
power
is
crucial
for
ensuring
the
safe,
stable,
and
cost-effective
operation
grids.
In
this
paper,
we
propose
a
hybrid
deep
learning
model
day-ahead
forecasting.
The
begins
by
utilizing
Gaussian
mixture
(GMM)
to
cluster
daily
data
with
similar
distribution
patterns.
To
optimize
input
features,
feature
selection
(FS)
method
applied
remove
irrelevant
data.
empirical
wavelet
transform
(EWT)
then
employed
decompose
both
numerical
weather
prediction
(NWP)
into
frequency
components,
effectively
isolating
high-frequency
components
that
capture
inherent
randomness
volatility
A
convolutional
neural
network
(CNN)
used
extract
spatial
correlations
meteorological
while
bidirectional
gated
recurrent
unit
(BiGRU)
captures
temporal
dependencies
within
sequence.
further
enhance
accuracy,
multi-head
self-attention
mechanism
(MHSAM)
incorporated
assign
greater
weight
most
influential
elements.
This
leads
development
based
on
GMM-FS-EWT-CNN-BiGRU-MHSAM.
proposed
validated
through
comparison
benchmark
demonstrates
superior
performance.
Furthermore,
forecasts
generated
using
NPKDE
shows
new
achieves
higher
accuracy.
Neural Networks,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
184, P. 107022 - 107022
Published: Dec. 10, 2024
Wind
power
prediction
is
a
challenging
task
due
to
the
high
variability
and
uncertainty
of
wind
generation
weather
conditions.
Accurate
timely
essential
for
optimal
system
operation
planning.
In
this
paper,
we
propose
novel
Adaptive
Expert
Fusion
Model
(EFM+)
online
prediction.
EFM+
an
innovative
ensemble
model
that
integrates
strengths
XGBoost
self-attention
LSTM
models
using
dynamic
weights.
can
adapt
real-time
changes
in
conditions
data
distribution
by
updating
weights
based
on
performance
error
recent
similar
samples.
enables
Bayesian
inference
updates
with
new
data.
We
conduct
extensive
experiments
real-world
farm
dataset
evaluate
EFM+.
The
results
show
outperforms
existing
accuracy
error,
demonstrates
robustness
stability
across
various
scenarios.
also
sensitivity
ablation
analyses
assess
effects
different
components
parameters
promising
technique
handle
nonstationarity
generation.