The growth–environment nexus amid geopolitical risks: cointegration and machine learning algorithm approaches

Discover Sustainability, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 6(1)

Published: Feb. 7, 2025

Geopolitical tensions, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, ongoing Middle-Eastern wars, and post-Cold War dynamics between USA Russia, have contributed to significant global political instability. These risks disrupt economic growth, destabilize energy supply chains, foster uncertainty, often prioritizing security over environmental sustainability. Existing literature inadequately addresses how geopolitical interact with sustainability, particularly within developed economies like Canada. To bridge this gap, study examines role of per capita income on outcomes under Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) framework, explicitly incorporating as a critical determinant. Using Canadian time series data spanning from 1980 2022, research employs autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) estimation technique explore short- long-term cointegrating relationships among key variables, consumption, trade openness, foreign direct investment (FDI), ICT development, financial development. The findings confirm inverted U-shaped EKC hypothesis for Canada, indicating that growth initially exacerbates carbon emissions (CO2) before leading improvements at higher levels. are found positively contribute CO2 emissions, emphasizing their barrier achieving validate robustness, Kernel Regularized Least Squares (KRLS) machine learning approach is employed, confirming consistency results. Additionally, Toda-Yamamoto causality test identifies directional causal variables. Policy recommendations emphasize need Canada implement targeted strategies mitigate impact outcomes. Specifically, advocates for: (1) diversifying sources reduce reliance geopolitically sensitive regions, (2) investing in renewable technologies ensure sustainable (3) enhancing policies prioritize low-carbon technologies.

Language: Английский

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Geopolitical Power and Renewable Energy Futures of Developing Countries

Advances in environmental engineering and green technologies book series, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 35 - 62

Published: Feb. 21, 2025

An efficient substitute for conventional fossil fuels, renewable energy lowers dependency on imports from particular nations, lowering geopolitical risks and guaranteeing national security. The growth application of have a significant impact the environment structure consumption worldwide. With comparative examination against other Group Seven (G7) member countries, multivariate regression model was created empirical analysis, with primary focus United States Kingdom. robustness further confirmed by subsequent studies. This study also investigates moderating factor in connection between geopolitics energy. Finally, to examine dynamic interactions associated factors, vector auto built.

Language: Английский

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China’s readiness for transitioning to a low-carbon economy: mitigant and catalyst factors for a geopolitical conflict

Frontiers in Environmental Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 13

Published: Feb. 28, 2025

The transition from a carbon-intensive economy to carbon-neutral one has become critical global objective address climate change. This study examines the relationship between Low-Carbon Economic Development (LCED) and Geopolitical Risk (GPR) in China by focusing on challenges opportunities they present. We use qualitative analysis identify that rising GPR, exacerbated market instability, resource allocation conflicts, trade disputes, significantly hinders LCED progress. However, these geopolitical tensions also act as catalyst for accelerating development of renewable energy, reducing reliance traditional energy sources, fostering low-carbon technologies. Furthermore, can ameliorate GPR decreasing dependence imports, promoting international cooperation, encouraging scientific innovation. These findings suggest actionable policy recommendations support economy. research underscores potential fundamental tool resolving uniting efforts combat

Language: Английский

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Green production practices for sustainable development: Impact of geopolitical risk, renewable energy, and foreign direct investment on environmental quality

Energy & Environment, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: March 14, 2025

The latest progress summary of sustainable development goals (SDGs) in 2023 reveals that the ongoing growth pattern Asian economies is inadequate. countries are facing several challenges securing targets SDGs, and environmental degradation one major issues among them. Hence, urgent actions required to attain SDG targets. Several studies available literature have considered multiple determinants degradation. However, impact green production practices (GPP) geopolitical risk (GPR) relatively ignored particularly framework economies. Therefore, it needed propose an extensive policy for attaining objectives SDGs raising quality. Moreover, this study a pioneering attempt scrutinizes eclectic influence on carbon emissions. follows model based Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis selected countries. has utilized Panel Quantile Regression (PQR) technique analyze facts from 1990 2020. long-run evaluations reveal EKC proves valid preferred play crucial role controlling rising levels emissions whereas, foreign direct investments proven constructive elements Lastly, empirical outcomes, provides implications achieving 07, 09, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17.

Language: Английский

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Is It Feasible for China’s Resource-Based Cities to Achieve Sustainable Development? A Natural Resource Dependence Perspective

Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(4), P. 710 - 710

Published: March 26, 2025

Theoretically, regions with rich natural resources often tend to develop resource-based industries more intensively, resulting in resource-dependent land development. China’s cities exhibit certain exceptions. Natural resource dependence (NRD) plays a relatively positive role the total factor productivity change (TFPCH) these cities, primarily attributable their mature technological efficiency. However, while such impacts exist, overall effect remains limited. Many China still face challenges achieving sustainable growth. This raises key question: why have some failed achieve development? In order explore root cause of this problem, paper systematically analyses impact on TFPCH, and its governance mechanism based balanced panel data 112 from 2003 2021, using Super-SBM-DEA-Malmquist index method first stage, OLS model second stage. The main findings are as follows: First, NRD has significantly especially growing regenerating cities. empirical results further validate applicability blessing theory China. Second, government regulation dampening TFPCH which suggests that future development intervention should be moderately reduced, emphasis placed stimulating city’s own autonomous mobility endogenous drive. Third, heterogeneity show promotional is mainly realized through improvement technical Fourth, analysis moderation shows research (R&D) intensity positively moderating Through stepwise approach, reveals cannot level R&D low, it for (RB) hypothesis city. not only provide new perspectives theoretical research, but also important policy recommendations use worldwide.

Language: Английский

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