The Risk Analysis of Cart Development Based on Dynamic Bayesian Networks DOI Creative Commons
Junjun Liu, Jun Yu

Research Square (Research Square), Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 15, 2025

Abstract To address the issues of multiple uncertainties, complex structures, and unpredictability during development trolley, this paper proposes a risk analysis method for trolley based on dynamic Bayesian networks. First, extensive relevant literature applying rough set reduction theory optimization, factor checklist with 5 primary indicators 16 secondary is constructed. Next, network model established by introducing time dimension. Fuzzy expert scoring are used to quantify probabilities nodes, Leaky Noisy-or Gate expansion applied correct conditional probabilities. Finally, performed using bidirectional inference function network. The time-series variation curve obtained through case analysis. By reverse reasoning, key factors occurrence identified, corresponding response strategies proposed. research results provide new approach analyzing effectively controlling risks associated development.

Language: Английский

A fuzzy evidential reasoning-based model for evaluating resilience of ports to typhoons DOI
Chengpeng Wan,

Jupeng Yuan,

Desheng Cao

et al.

Transportation Research Part D Transport and Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 133, P. 104228 - 104228

Published: June 8, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

9
Trends of digitalization, intelligence and greening of global shipping industry based on CiteSpace Knowledge Graph DOI
Jihong Chen,

Xitao Zhang,

Lang Xu

et al.

Ocean & Coastal Management, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 255, P. 107206 - 107206

Published: June 14, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

9
A novel object-oriented Bayesian network on risk assessment of sea lanes of communication DOI
Hanwen Fan, Jing Lyu,

Xuzhuo He

et al.

Ocean Engineering, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 300, P. 117347 - 117347

Published: March 14, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

8
A risk assessment of an autonomous navigation system for a maritime autonomous surface ship DOI Creative Commons
Aleksi Laakso, Meriam Chaal, Osiris A. Valdez Banda

et al.

Journal of Marine Engineering & Technology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 1 - 17

Published: Jan. 31, 2025

thorough reformation in multiple domains, one of which is ship navigation and operation. Significant efforts have recently been targeted towards the research development

Language: Английский

Citations

1
A data-driven Bayesian model for evaluating the duration of detention of ships in PSC inspections DOI Open Access
Zhisen Yang, Qing Yu, Zaili Yang

et al.

Transportation Research Part E Logistics and Transportation Review, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 181, P. 103371 - 103371

Published: Dec. 3, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

17
How do navy escorts influence piracy risk in East Africa? A Bayesian network approach DOI
Hanwen Fan, Zheng Chang,

Haiying Jia

et al.

Risk Analysis, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 44(9), P. 2025 - 2045

Published: March 1, 2024

Abstract Navy escorts are considered crucial in countering illegal piracy attacks. In this paper, a novel approach is developed to investigate the effect of navy on incidents by models based two enhanced Tree‐Augmented Naïve (TAN) Bayesian networks. This offers systematic investigation into various factors that influence pirate activities, and helps identify changes attack behaviors when confronted assess effectiveness anti‐piracy measures. An empirical study conducted utilizing unique data set compiled from multiple sources 2000 2019. The evidence shows there was gradual reduction incidence attacks East Africa following implementation 2009, but with surge 2010 2011. is, thus, divided time periods at point 2009 facilitate robust comprehensive analysis, resulting development TAN models. Meanwhile, geographical distribution has shifted international waters port areas territorial waters. We argue shift could be attributed calculating behavior pirates they encounter external pressures. Finally, Shapely introduced evaluate potential implemented risk management strategies Game Theory perspective. new insights promotion contributes framework for assessing risks uncertain dynamic environments.

Language: Английский

Citations

6
Quantitative analysis of maritime piracy at global and regional scales to improve maritime security DOI
Yang Zhang,

Yujia Zhai,

Shanshan Fu

et al.

Ocean & Coastal Management, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 248, P. 106968 - 106968

Published: Dec. 12, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

13
Maritime transportation risk assessment: A multilevel node relationship-based fuzzy bayesian network DOI
Jing Liang, Jingpeng Liu

Ocean Engineering, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 312, P. 119204 - 119204

Published: Sept. 7, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

5
Bayesian network modelling for navigation status control of cargo ships in the Three Gorges Waterway DOI
Xueqian Xu, Bing Wu, Jie Man

et al.

Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 245, P. 110018 - 110018

Published: Feb. 13, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

4
Research on Scenario Extrapolation and Emergency Decision-Making for Fire and Explosion Accidents at University Laboratories Based on BN-CBR DOI
Jie Liu, Fei Cai,

Wanqing Wang

et al.

Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 253, P. 110579 - 110579

Published: Oct. 10, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

4