Abstract.
Hydrometeorological
forecasting
is
crucial
for
managing
water
resources
and
mitigating
the
impacts
of
extreme
hydrologic
events.
At
sub-seasonal
scales,
readily
available
hydrometeorological
forecast
products
often
exhibit
large
uncertainties
insufficient
accuracies
to
support
decision
making.
We
propose
a
deep
learning
based
modelling
framework
joint
precipitation
streamflow
forecasts
lead
time
up
30
days.
This
achieved
by
coupling
(1)
convolutional
neural
network
(CNN)
architecture
with
ResNet
blocks
statistically
downscaling
ECMWF
raw
(2)
hybrid
model
integrating
conceptual
Xin’anjiang
(XAJ)
long-short
term
memory
(LSTM)
forecasting.
The
CNN
incorporates
specialized
loss
function
that
combines
continuous
form
threat
score
mean
absolute
error.
Applying
modeling
source
region
Yangtze
River
Basin,
results
indicate
CNN-based
exhibits
~13
%
~10
less
RMSE
than
quantile
mapping
(QM)
forecasts,
respectively,
averaged
over
30-day
time.
Similarly,
achieves
~2
~5
lower
QM
events
above
90th
percentile
historic
daily
precipitation.
Using
these
as
meteorological
drivers
XAJ-LSTM
model,
we
found
forecasted
flood
peaks
driven
have
18
%–32
relative
errors
13
%–22
compared
those
forecasts.
However,
standalone
XAJ
shows
marginal
improvements,
or
in
some
cases,
no
improvement
at
all,
same
enhanced
highlights
importance
understanding
effectiveness
part
chain.
Our
study
expected
provide
implications
leveraging
advanced
AI
techniques
enhance
accuracy
operational
efficiency
effective
management
disaster
preparedness.
Atmospheric Environment,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
326, P. 120461 - 120461
Published: March 18, 2024
This
study
aims
to
enhance
the
accuracy
of
Weather
Research
and
Forecasting
model
coupled
with
Chemistry
(WRF-Chem)
in
forecasting
Asian
dust
storms
(ADSs)
by
using
micro-Genetic
Algorithm
(μGA).
We
developed
an
optimization
system---the
WRF-Chem-μGA
system---to
seek
optimal
combination
planetary
boundary
layer
(PBL)
land
surface
parameterization
schemes,
which
are
crucial
for
numerical
forecast
storms.
The
was
conducted
concerning
meteorological
air
quality
variables,
i.e.,
aerosol
optical
depth,
PBL
height,
2
m
temperature,
relative
humidity,
10
wind
speed,
simultaneously
three
ADS
cases
over
domain,
including
South
Korea.
Among
a
total
32
available
combinations
physical
scheme
options
(8
from
4
schemes),
optimized
set
through
system
consists
Asymmetrical
Convective
Model
version
(ACM2)
Noah
Multiple
Parameterization
(Noah-MP)
scheme.
showed
improvement
ratio
up
22.5
%
terms
normalized
RMSE
all
compared
various
non-optimized
sets
schemes
two
additional
cases.
proposed
this
can
be
used
comprehensively
forecasts
problems
East
region,
WRF-Chem
model.
Hydrology and earth system sciences,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
29(8), P. 2023 - 2042
Published: April 22, 2025
Abstract.
Hydrometeorological
forecasting
is
crucial
for
managing
water
resources
and
mitigating
the
impacts
of
hydrological
extremes.
At
sub-seasonal
scales,
readily
available
hydrometeorological
forecast
products
often
exhibit
large
uncertainties
insufficient
accuracies
to
support
decision-making.
We
propose
a
deep-learning-based
modelling
framework
joint
precipitation
streamflow
ensemble
forecasts
lead
time
up
30
d.
This
achieved
by
coupling
(1)
an
enhanced
convolutional
neural
network
(CNN)
models
with
ResNet
blocks
specialized
loss
function
statistically
downscaling
European
Centre
Medium-Range
Forecasts
(ECMWF)
(2)
hybrid
hydrologic
model
integrating
conceptual
Xin'anjiang
(XAJ)
long
short-term
memory
(LSTM)
(XAJ-LSTM).
Applying
source
region
Yangtze
River
Basin,
results
indicate
that
CNN-based
exhibits
∼34
%
∼26
less
root
mean
squared
error
(RMSE)
than
raw
ECMWF
quantile
mapping
(QM)
forecasts,
respectively,
averaged
over
d
time.
Similarly,
CNN
achieves
approximately
6
10
lower
RMSE
QM
heavy
events.
Using
these
as
meteorological
forcing
XAJ-LSTM
model,
we
found
forecasted
flood
peaks
driven
have
16
%–33
relative
errors
20
%–31
compared
those
forecasts.
However,
standalone
XAJ
shows
only
marginal
improvements
same
highlights
importance
understanding
effectiveness
part
chain.
Our
study
expected
provide
implications
leveraging
advanced
AI
techniques
enhance
accuracy
operational
efficiency
effective
management
disaster
preparedness.