Spatiotemporal modeling of long-term PM2.5 concentrations and population exposure in Greece, using machine learning and statistical methods DOI
Anastasia Kakouri, Themistoklis Kontos, Georgios Grivas

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 958, P. 178113 - 178113

Published: Dec. 18, 2024

Language: Английский

What drives parents’ use of air quality indexes during wildfire smoke events: predictors of index knowledge, frequent checking, and following health guidance DOI Creative Commons
Catherine E. Slavik, Daniel Chapman, Stephanie E. Cleland

et al.

Population and Environment, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 47(2)

Published: April 14, 2025

Abstract Wildfire smoke poses a serious and growing health threat to communities in the United States (US), Canada, beyond. Some populations—including children—are especially susceptible. Air Quality Indexes (AQIs) can inform parents about local air quality during events offer guidance on actions that protect children. In July–August 2023, from Oregon, Washington, California, British Columbia (BC) ( n = 2100) participated an online cross-sectional study. Binary ordinal logistic regression models were used examine geographic, demographic, psychosocial predictors of three dependent variables: knowledge where check AQI information, frequent checking information wildfire seasons, adherence messages around reducing/rescheduling outdoor physical activity. Smoke-exposure analysis indicated widespread potential exposures across all four jurisdictions. Nonetheless, BC, average, less likely report knowing checked frequently, adhere than US states. Adherence did not differ by jurisdiction presence other covariates, suggesting are equally follow when they know find it it. Other consistent variables included experience with prior smoke-related impacts, risk perceptions, use internet/mobile applications as sources information. These findings indicate increased promotion AQIs may benefit some regions wildfires. Future evaluations education initiatives could help agencies share effective practices jurisdictions target interventions increase adoption.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Polluted Air from Canadian Wildfires and Cardiopulmonary Disease in the Eastern US DOI Creative Commons

Mary Maldarelli,

Hyeonjin Song,

Clayton H. Brown

et al.

JAMA Network Open, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 7(12), P. e2450759 - e2450759

Published: Dec. 13, 2024

Importance Intense wildfires affecting residential populations are increasingly frequent. However, the adverse cardiopulmonary consequences to patients from remote wildfire smoke exposure is uncertain. Objective To investigate association between originating in Western Canadian provinces with disease burden sociodemographically heterogenous Eastern US. Design, Setting, and Participants This case-only study used International Statistical Classification of Diseases Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision ( ICD-10 ) codes for diseases extracted University Maryland Medical System June 2023 vs 2018 2019. Data were analyzed September 2024. Exposures High air pollution episodes where concentration particulate matter aerodynamic diameter below 2.5 μm (PM exceeded toxic National Ambient Air Quality Standard (35 μg/m 3 (referred as “hotspot days”) on contiguous days. Main Outcomes Measures The number inpatient, ambulatory, emergency department clinical encounters during assigned hotspot days compared matching control years. Adjustments covariates comparisons groups made χ 2 tests multivariable logistic regression. Results Statewide quality analysis identified 6-8 28-30 6 an increase PM by 9.4-fold 7.4-fold, respectively, Baltimore City all other 2023. After adjusting calendar across years, cohort included 2339 (mean [SD] age, 68 [15] years; 1098 female [46.9%]; 710 Black [30.4%], 1528 White [65.3%]) 3609 2018-2019 65 1690 [46.8%]; 1181 [32.7%], 2269 [62.9%]). proportion occurring was 588 (25.1%) 806 (22.3%) years = 6.07; P .01), adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.18 (95% CI, 1.03-1.34; .02). Restricting this cardiac diseases, there a 20% encounter (aOR, 1.20; 95% 1.01-1.42; .04). Patients had greater socioeconomic advantage ADI score score, 39.1 [21.1] 41.0 [23.7]; .05). Conclusions Relevance In large medical system, we increased residents that likely associated contemporaneous smoke–based infiltration polluted or Canada up 2100 miles remotely.

Language: Английский

Citations

3

State of Wildfires 2023–24 DOI Creative Commons
Matthew W. Jones, Douglas I. Kelley, Chantelle Burton

et al.

Published: June 13, 2024

Abstract. Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of wildfires globally, with significant impacts on society environment. However, our understanding global distribution extreme fires remains skewed, primarily influenced by media coverage regional research concentration. This inaugural State Wildfires report systematically analyses fire activity worldwide, identifying events from March 2023–February 2024 season. We assess causes, predictability, attribution these to climate land use, forecast future risks under different scenarios. During 2023–24 season, 3.9 million km2 burned slightly below average previous seasons, but carbon (C) emissions were 16 % above average, totaling 2.4 Pg C. was driven record in Canadian boreal forests (over 9 times average) dampened reduced African savannahs. Notable included record-breaking wildfire extent Canada, largest recorded European Union (Greece), drought-driven western Amazonia northern parts South America, deadly Hawai’i (100 deaths) Chile (131 deaths). Over 232,000 people evacuated Canada alone, highlighting severity human impact. Our revealed that multiple drivers needed cause areas activity. In Greece a combination high weather an abundance dry fuels increased probability 4.5-fold 1.9–4.1-fold, respectively, whereas fuel load direct suppression often modulated anomalous area. The season predictable three months advance based index, had shorter predictability horizons. Formal indicated has significantly due anthropogenic change, 2.9–3.6-fold increase likelihood 20.0–28.5-fold Amazonia. By end century, similar magnitude are projected occur 2.22–9.58 more frequently emission Without mitigation, regions like Western could see up 2.9-fold events. For 2024–25 seasonal forecasts highlight moderate positive anomalies for no clear signal present forecast. represents first annual effort catalogue events, explain their occurrence, predict risks. consolidating state-of-the-art science delivering key insights relevant policymakers, disaster management services, firefighting agencies, managers, we aim enhance society’s resilience promote advances preparedness, adaptation.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

A Mixed Method Study to Explore How Maintenance Personnel Can Enhance Wildfire Smoke Resilience at Long-Term Care Facilities in the US Mountain West DOI Creative Commons

Adhieu Arok,

James Caringi,

Sarah E. Toevs

et al.

Atmosphere, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(4), P. 504 - 504

Published: April 20, 2024

Wildfire activity is increasing around the world, concurrent with climate change, and mitigation strategies for protecting vulnerable populations are desperately needed. Because inhaled particles deleterious to respiratory health, particularly among older adults co-morbidities, we engaged maintenance personnel working in long term care facilities located Western US. Our objective was identify opportunities build resilience during wildfire smoke events. We implemented a virtual workshop that addressed health impacts as well assess maintain indoor air quality. A total of 24 attended 14 participated quantitative survey. Workshop attendees found value material there enthusiasm educational resources enhancing Four months later, four staff follow-up interview. qualitative assessment revealed following themes: awareness prioritization, application knowledge, barriers, resources. Access real-time actionable quality data consistent feature across these themes. Maintenance could play key role facility’s ability prepare respond events, this study highlights potential challenges involving them building strategies.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Review period DOI Creative Commons
Matthew W. Jones, Douglas I. Kelley, Chantelle Burton

et al.

Published: June 13, 2024

Abstract. Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of wildfires globally, with significant impacts on society environment. However, our understanding global distribution extreme fires remains skewed, primarily influenced by media coverage regional research concentration. This inaugural State Wildfires report systematically analyses fire activity worldwide, identifying events from March 2023–February 2024 season. We assess causes, predictability, attribution these to climate land use, forecast future risks under different scenarios. During 2023–24 season, 3.9 million km2 burned slightly below average previous seasons, but carbon (C) emissions were 16 % above average, totaling 2.4 Pg C. was driven record in Canadian boreal forests (over 9 times average) dampened reduced African savannahs. Notable included record-breaking wildfire extent Canada, largest recorded European Union (Greece), drought-driven western Amazonia northern parts South America, deadly Hawai’i (100 deaths) Chile (131 deaths). Over 232,000 people evacuated Canada alone, highlighting severity human impact. Our revealed that multiple drivers needed cause areas activity. In Greece a combination high weather an abundance dry fuels increased probability 4.5-fold 1.9–4.1-fold, respectively, whereas fuel load direct suppression often modulated anomalous area. The season predictable three months advance based index, had shorter predictability horizons. Formal indicated has significantly due anthropogenic change, 2.9–3.6-fold increase likelihood 20.0–28.5-fold Amazonia. By end century, similar magnitude are projected occur 2.22–9.58 more frequently emission Without mitigation, regions like Western could see up 2.9-fold events. For 2024–25 seasonal forecasts highlight moderate positive anomalies for no clear signal present forecast. represents first annual effort catalogue events, explain their occurrence, predict risks. consolidating state-of-the-art science delivering key insights relevant policymakers, disaster management services, firefighting agencies, managers, we aim enhance society’s resilience promote advances preparedness, adaptation.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Comment on essd-2024-218 DOI Creative Commons

Piers M. Forster

Published: June 21, 2024

Abstract. Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of wildfires globally, with significant impacts on society environment. However, our understanding global distribution extreme fires remains skewed, primarily influenced by media coverage regional research concentration. This inaugural State Wildfires report systematically analyses fire activity worldwide, identifying events from March 2023–February 2024 season. We assess causes, predictability, attribution these to climate land use, forecast future risks under different scenarios. During 2023–24 season, 3.9 million km2 burned slightly below average previous seasons, but carbon (C) emissions were 16 % above average, totaling 2.4 Pg C. was driven record in Canadian boreal forests (over 9 times average) dampened reduced African savannahs. Notable included record-breaking wildfire extent Canada, largest recorded European Union (Greece), drought-driven western Amazonia northern parts South America, deadly Hawai’i (100 deaths) Chile (131 deaths). Over 232,000 people evacuated Canada alone, highlighting severity human impact. Our revealed that multiple drivers needed cause areas activity. In Greece a combination high weather an abundance dry fuels increased probability 4.5-fold 1.9–4.1-fold, respectively, whereas fuel load direct suppression often modulated anomalous area. The season predictable three months advance based index, had shorter predictability horizons. Formal indicated has significantly due anthropogenic change, 2.9–3.6-fold increase likelihood 20.0–28.5-fold Amazonia. By end century, similar magnitude are projected occur 2.22–9.58 more frequently emission Without mitigation, regions like Western could see up 2.9-fold events. For 2024–25 seasonal forecasts highlight moderate positive anomalies for no clear signal present forecast. represents first annual effort catalogue events, explain their occurrence, predict risks. consolidating state-of-the-art science delivering key insights relevant policymakers, disaster management services, firefighting agencies, managers, we aim enhance society’s resilience promote advances preparedness, adaptation.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Comment on essd-2024-218 DOI Creative Commons

David Carlson

Published: June 26, 2024

Abstract. Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of wildfires globally, with significant impacts on society environment. However, our understanding global distribution extreme fires remains skewed, primarily influenced by media coverage regional research concentration. This inaugural State Wildfires report systematically analyses fire activity worldwide, identifying events from March 2023–February 2024 season. We assess causes, predictability, attribution these to climate land use, forecast future risks under different scenarios. During 2023–24 season, 3.9 million km2 burned slightly below average previous seasons, but carbon (C) emissions were 16 % above average, totaling 2.4 Pg C. was driven record in Canadian boreal forests (over 9 times average) dampened reduced African savannahs. Notable included record-breaking wildfire extent Canada, largest recorded European Union (Greece), drought-driven western Amazonia northern parts South America, deadly Hawai’i (100 deaths) Chile (131 deaths). Over 232,000 people evacuated Canada alone, highlighting severity human impact. Our revealed that multiple drivers needed cause areas activity. In Greece a combination high weather an abundance dry fuels increased probability 4.5-fold 1.9–4.1-fold, respectively, whereas fuel load direct suppression often modulated anomalous area. The season predictable three months advance based index, had shorter predictability horizons. Formal indicated has significantly due anthropogenic change, 2.9–3.6-fold increase likelihood 20.0–28.5-fold Amazonia. By end century, similar magnitude are projected occur 2.22–9.58 more frequently emission Without mitigation, regions like Western could see up 2.9-fold events. For 2024–25 seasonal forecasts highlight moderate positive anomalies for no clear signal present forecast. represents first annual effort catalogue events, explain their occurrence, predict risks. consolidating state-of-the-art science delivering key insights relevant policymakers, disaster management services, firefighting agencies, managers, we aim enhance society’s resilience promote advances preparedness, adaptation.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Assessment of Supercell Storm-Induced Uprooting of Amenity Trees—Monetization of Environmental and Socio-Economic Losses DOI Creative Commons
Mirjana Ljubojević,

Bojana Buča,

Veljko Šarac

et al.

Land, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 13(9), P. 1540 - 1540

Published: Sept. 23, 2024

Amenity trees contribute to the overall quality of urban environments and are valued for their beauty benefits they bring communities. However, assessment this capital commonly concludes with considerations its vitality decorativeness. Thus, research provided a monetary losses caused by supercell storm-induced uprooting growing in three public green spaces utilized most vulnerable population (children aged 3–18 years). For these purposes, Council Tree Landscape Appraisers (CTLA) formula was applied taking into account growth parameters, species dependence, specimens’ condition location. Prices from national European nurseries were obtain appropriate base values. The results indicate that total appraised loss amounted EUR 495,864 (national) 1,528,481 (European prices). P. nigra, B. alba, T. tomentosa, F. excelsior, A. saccharinum, occidentalis, cerasifera showed lower resistance no clear species-specific responses, but there an interaction biotic, abiotic, artificial influences. Understanding complex factors influencing tree stability is crucial planners arborists mitigate storm- wind-related risks. Collaborative planning participatory management essential safeguarding both economic environmental interests ensuring safety populations outdoor spaces.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Emergency department visits in California associated with wildfire PM2.5: differing risk across individuals and communities DOI Creative Commons
Jennifer Stowell, Ian Sue Wing, Yasmin Romitti

et al.

Environmental Research Health, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 3(1), P. 015002 - 015002

Published: Nov. 26, 2024

Abstract The threats to human health from wildfires and wildfire smoke (WFS) in the United States (US) are increasing due continued climate change. A growing body of literature has documented important adverse effects WFS exposure, but there is insufficient evidence regarding how risk related exposure varies across individual or community level characteristics. To address this gap, we utilized a large nationwide database healthcare utilization claims for emergency department (ED) visits California multiple seasons (May through November, 2012–2019) quantified impacts fine particulate matter <2.5 μ m (PM 2.5 ) air pollution attributable WFS, overall among subgroups population. We aggregated daily counts ED Zip Code Tabulation Area (ZCTA) used time-stratified case-crossover design distributed lag non-linear models estimate association between relative visits. further assessed with varied defined by age, race, social vulnerability, residential conditioning (AC) prevalence. Over 7 day period, PM was associated elevated all causes (1.04% (0.32%, 1.71%)), non-accidental (2.93% (2.16%, 3.70%)), respiratory disease (15.17% (12.86%, 17.52%)), not cardiovascular diseases (1.06% (−1.88%, 4.08%)). Analysis revealed potential differences susceptibility AC prevalence, ZCTA-level Social Vulnerability Index scores. These results suggest that higher rates cause, non-accidental, heterogeneity certain subgroups. Notably, lower availability risks activity.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Spatiotemporal modeling of long-term PM2.5 concentrations and population exposure in Greece, using machine learning and statistical methods DOI
Anastasia Kakouri, Themistoklis Kontos, Georgios Grivas

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 958, P. 178113 - 178113

Published: Dec. 18, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

0