Identifying gaps in nature reserves by integrating future ecosystem service priority areas DOI Creative Commons

Minyi Gao,

Yimin Chen,

Bing-Bing Zhou

et al.

Landscape Ecology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 40(1)

Published: Dec. 29, 2024

Incorporating ecosystem services (ES) into nature reserves (NR) planning has significant impacts on the environment and human wellbeing. However, effects of uncertain future socio-environmental dynamics ES conservation gaps in existing NR are unclear. The present study aims to integrate multiple quantify with NR. We first presented a methodological scheme assess under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Representative Concentration (SSP-RCP) scenarios Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) China during from 2015 2100. then employed representativeness–vulnerability framework identify priority areas within YREB. Except for SSP1-1.9 SSP4-3.4, all projected an increase service value (ESV). SSP3-7.0 SSP4-3.4 were expected induce largest ESV changes, increases 6.35% decreases 6.08%, respectively, 2015–2100. By integrating changes planning, we identified at different time points Through overlay analysis, derived bottom-line across timeframes. mainly distributed eastern Sichuan, western Guizhou, Hubei, southern Jiangsu, covering 8.62% Notably, only 4.81% YREB overlap areas. Our analyses reveal between potential when considering ES. emphasize need define based various address uncertainties complexities.

Language: Английский

A Prediction–Interaction–Driving Framework for Ecosystem Services Under Climate Change and Human Activities: A Case Study of Zoigê County DOI Creative Commons
Wanting Zeng, Li He, Zhengwei He

et al.

Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(3), P. 441 - 441

Published: Feb. 20, 2025

Under climate change and human activities, ecosystem service (ES) research lacks systematic approaches scientific depth. This study develops a comprehensive framework integrating advanced models to predict ESs, analyze interactions, identify key drivers, assess spatial effects on the Zoigê Plateau. The results indicate following: (1) From 2000 2020 across three 2040 scenarios, water conservation (WC) improves, while carbon storage (CS) habitat quality (HQ) decline, leading overall ES degradation. Core areas face rising degradation risks from 9% 29% under increasing environmental stress (SSP119 SSP585). (2) importance follows HQ > CS SC WC, with bivariate interactions outperforming single-factor effects. Future scenarios show weakened correlating higher ecological stress, indicating stability risks. (3) Land use (>40% explanatory power) is primary driver, urban expansion, slope, evapotranspiration, precipitation contribute (6–12%). (4) drivers showed weak patterns but became more stable future suggesting stronger control. provides methodological paradigm for analysis supports planning in alpine wetland–grassland regions.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
A novel multi-hazard risk assessment framework for coastal cities under climate change DOI Creative Commons
Emilio Laiño, Ignacio Toledo, L. Aragonés

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 954, P. 176638 - 176638

Published: Oct. 2, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

6
Assessment of regional Ecosystem Service Bundles coupling climate and land use changes DOI Creative Commons
Hao Su, Mingxi Du, Qiuyu Liu

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 169, P. 112844 - 112844

Published: Nov. 16, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

6
Allocation of carbon emissions from public buildings in China under the shared socioeconomic pathways: a tertiary industry perspective DOI
Lei Gan,

Zheng Lü,

Weiguang Cai

et al.

Environment Development and Sustainability, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 22, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Impacts of rice–crayfish co-culture on ecosystem service trade-offs/synergies in agricultural watersheds: A case exploration in Sihu Lake Basin, China DOI Creative Commons
Huanyu Zhang,

Ling Wang,

Shuqi Jiang

et al.

Agricultural Water Management, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 310, P. 109389 - 109389

Published: Feb. 21, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Ecosystem service bundles under SSP-RCP and local scenarios: A pathway to comprehensive spatial planning for sustainability DOI Creative Commons
Shihao Zhou, Yuanqi Qu, Yixiang Wang

et al.

Resources Environment and Sustainability, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 100211 - 100211

Published: March 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Forecasting and Evaluation of Ecosystem Services Supply-Demand Under SSP-RCP Scenarios in the Henan Segment of the Yellow River Basin, China DOI Creative Commons
Chaokun Wang,

Yujie Chang,

Binbin Guo

et al.

Remote Sensing, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 17(6), P. 1067 - 1067

Published: March 18, 2025

Equilibrating the supply and demand for ecosystem services (ESs) is essential sustainable development. Nonetheless, elements like policy modifications, land utilization, climate change are profoundly transforming dynamics of service (ESSD). As a result, there an imperative necessity to methodically evaluate predict these alterations by including both social environmental elements. This study utilized Henan region Yellow River Basin (HYRB) as case forecast in three ESs—water production (WY), carbon storage (CS), food (FP)—under scenarios 2030 2050, grounded SSP-RCP framework. We further evaluated supply–demand equilibrium at grid county degrees. The results indicate following key findings: (1) From 2020 significant spatial differences services. While CS FP exceeds demand, WY falls short. (2) ratios projected decline under all scenarios, whereas expected continue growing. Surplus areas aggregated northwest, southwest, central areas, while surpluses found eastern northern plains. Deficits primarily located urban areas. (3) dominant patterns matching also vary. exhibit high–low agglomeration patterns, particularly northwest southwest mountain regions, shows low–low agglomeration, mainly These findings enhance comprehension ESSD, serving foundation preservation advancement Basin, China.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Distribution Patterns of Platycodon grandiflorus From the Last Interglacial Period to the Future by Ecological Niche Modeling DOI Creative Commons

C. Li,

Xin‐Tong Xie,

Tuo Shi

et al.

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(4)

Published: March 30, 2025

ABSTRACT Global climate change may represent a significant threat to the distribution and quality of medicinal plants, altering cultivation areas compromising medical materials. Platycodon grandiflorus , traditional Chinese herb, has millennia‐long culinary use history in East Asia. Given its escalating demand, accurately evaluating changes under different scenarios predicting potential are imperative for ensuring conservation sustainable utilization. By integrating MaxEnt with ArcGIS, this study advances previous approaches by incorporating historical, present, future data model dynamics P. across China. The results indicated: (1) species' strongly correlates environmental variables, particularly bio13, prec07, prec09, tmin07, whose cumulative value percent contribution was 78.5%; (2) centroids geographic during LIG, LGM, MH periods were situated further westward compared present distribution, substantial contraction observed highly suitable habitats throughout these historical periods; (3) Under climatic conditions, overall habitat encompasses 4,185,964 km 2 constituting one‐third expanse, predominantly concentrated central, southern, northeastern China; (4) Future predict that total will expand varying degrees (7% increase on average), albeit reductions (3% decrease average); (5) is likely move toward higher latitudes due changes. Our findings fill critical knowledge gap quantifying impact . These offer crucial insights developing effective strategies, promoting utilization, establishing standardized protocols resources.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Urban Spatial Management and Planning Based on the Interactions Between Ecosystem Services: A Case Study of the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Urban Agglomeration DOI Creative Commons
Yue Hu,

Xixi Xu,

Xuening Huang

et al.

Remote Sensing, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 17(7), P. 1258 - 1258

Published: April 2, 2025

Understanding the intricate relationships among ecosystem services (ESs) and clarifying their driving factors are essential prerequisites for establishing effective management strategies. Therefore, we plotted spatial-temporal distribution of five ESs in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) urban agglomeration analyzed interactions terms trade-offs, synergies, bundles. We identified primary drivers impacting proposed recommendations spatial planning. The result revealed that (1) between 2000 2020, supply soil conservation increased most, by 52.56%, habitat quality decreased 6.92%; (2) four ES pairs were synergies six exhibited with three showing two trade-offs; (3) main influencing forces precipitation, cropland area ratio, forest ratio; (4) analysis determined exhibiting decreasing should be prioritized management, suggesting planning ecosystems based on Thus, this study provides guidance regional management.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of ecosystem services on Hainan Island from 1985 to 2022: Insights from long-term annual assessments and spatial econometric models DOI
Jie Zhang, Chong Jiang,

Jianjun Qu

et al.

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 382, P. 125450 - 125450

Published: April 18, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0