Natural and anthropogenic contributions to desertification in Central Asia DOI
Yimin Wei, Hui Tao, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz

et al.

CATENA, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 257, P. 109154 - 109154

Published: May 17, 2025

Language: Английский

Quantifying Uncertainty in Projections of Desertification in Central Asia Using Bayesian Networks DOI Creative Commons
Jinping Liu, Yanqun Ren, Panxing He

et al.

Remote Sensing, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 17(4), P. 665 - 665

Published: Feb. 15, 2025

Desertification presents major environmental challenges in Central Asia, driven by climatic and anthropogenic factors. The present study quantifies desertification risk through an integrated approach using Bayesian networks the ESAS model, offering a holistic perspective on dynamics. Four key variables—vegetation cover, precipitation, land-use intensity, soil quality—were incorporated into model to evaluate their influence desertification. A probabilistic was developed gauge with simulations conducted at 200 geospatial points. Hazard maps for 2030–2050 were produced under climate scenarios SSP245 SSP585, incorporating projected changes. All procedures assessment, mapping, downscaling performed Google Earth Engine platform. findings suggest 4% increase 11% SSP585 2050, greatest threats observed western regions such as Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan. Sensitivity analysis indicated that vegetation quality exerts strongest desertification, reflected Vegetation Quality Index (VQI) ranging from 1.582 (low Turkmenistan) 1.692 (very low Kazakhstan). comparison of models revealed robust alignment, evidenced R2 value 0.82, Pearson correlation coefficient 0.76, RMSE 0.18. These results highlight utility effective tool assessment scenario analysis, underscoring urgency targeted land management proactive adaptation. Although reclaimed opportunities afforestation sustainable agriculture, carefully considering potential trade-offs biodiversity ecosystem services remains essential.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Insights on Common Fungicides: A National Survey on Farmland Soils from Mainland China DOI
Jie Hou,

L. H. Wang,

Jinze Wang

et al.

Journal of Hazardous Materials, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 138177 - 138177

Published: April 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Spatiotemporal patterns of desertification sensitivity and influencing factors across the Western Inner Mongolia Plateau, China DOI Creative Commons
Yang Chen, Long Ma,

Xixi Wang

et al.

Ecological Informatics, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 103190 - 103190

Published: May 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Natural and anthropogenic contributions to desertification in Central Asia DOI
Yimin Wei, Hui Tao, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz

et al.

CATENA, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 257, P. 109154 - 109154

Published: May 17, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0