Climate change-driven geographical shifts in Aspergillus species habitat and the implications for plant and human health DOI
Norman van Rhijn, Christopher B. Uzzell, Jennifer M. G. Shelton

et al.

Research Square (Research Square), Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: May 2, 2025

Abstract Aspergillus species cause severe infections in humans, livestock, and plants, are widespread environmental saprotrophs. With rising global temperatures, climate change is expected to alter the ecological niches spread of many fungal pathogens. Here, we use metabarcoding data Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) modelling predict current future suitability three pathogenic species: A. fumigatus, flavus, niger. We show that fumigatus more common temperate climates, while flavus niger dominate warmer regions. Future scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585) suggest northward shifts for all species, particularly under warming. combine MaxEnt model with spatial models crop growing areas human population geographical shift will occur on Aspergillus species along different scenarios. A literature review revealed clinical prevalence invasive aspergillosis correlates continents have differential expansion or reduction suitable habitat.

Language: Английский

Climate change-driven geographical shifts in Aspergillus species habitat and the implications for plant and human health DOI
Norman van Rhijn, Christopher B. Uzzell, Jennifer M. G. Shelton

et al.

Research Square (Research Square), Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: May 2, 2025

Abstract Aspergillus species cause severe infections in humans, livestock, and plants, are widespread environmental saprotrophs. With rising global temperatures, climate change is expected to alter the ecological niches spread of many fungal pathogens. Here, we use metabarcoding data Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) modelling predict current future suitability three pathogenic species: A. fumigatus, flavus, niger. We show that fumigatus more common temperate climates, while flavus niger dominate warmer regions. Future scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585) suggest northward shifts for all species, particularly under warming. combine MaxEnt model with spatial models crop growing areas human population geographical shift will occur on Aspergillus species along different scenarios. A literature review revealed clinical prevalence invasive aspergillosis correlates continents have differential expansion or reduction suitable habitat.

Language: Английский

Citations

0