Load forecasting of microgrid based on an adaptive cuckoo search optimization improved neural network DOI Creative Commons
Liping Fan,

Pengju Yang

Electronic Research Archive, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 32(11), P. 6364 - 6378

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

<p>Load forecasting is an important part of microgrid control and operation. To improve the accuracy reliability load in microgrid, a method based on adaptive cuckoo search optimization improved neural network (ICS-BP) was proposed. First, model designed. Then, novel step adjustment strategy proposed for optimization, position update law loss fluctuation Finally, weights biases were optimized by algorithm. The results showed that BP enhanced global ability, avoided local optima, quickened convergence speed, presented excellent performance forecasting. mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) ICS-BP 1.13%, which very close to ideal prediction model, 52.3, 32.8, 42.3% lower than conventional BP, particle swarm respectively, root square (RMSE), (MAE), (MSE) reduced 75.6, 70.6, 94.0%, compared BP. significantly reliability, can effectively realize microgrid.</p>

Language: Английский

CNNs-Transformer based day-ahead probabilistic load forecasting for weekends with limited data availability DOI
Zhirui Tian, Weican Liu, Wenqian Jiang

et al.

Energy, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 293, P. 130666 - 130666

Published: Feb. 10, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

37

TDCN: A novel temporal depthwise convolutional network for short-term load forecasting DOI Creative Commons
Mingping Liu,

C. Xia,

Yuxin Xia

et al.

International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 165, P. 110512 - 110512

Published: Feb. 5, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

2

Graph Convolutional Networks based short-term load forecasting: Leveraging spatial information for improved accuracy DOI
Haris Mansoor, Muhammad Shuzub Gull, Huzaifa Rauf

et al.

Electric Power Systems Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 230, P. 110263 - 110263

Published: March 5, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

7

Energy optimization management of microgrid using improved soft actor-critic algorithm DOI Creative Commons

Zhiwen Yu,

Wenjie Zheng, Kaiwen Zeng

et al.

International Journal of Renewable Energy Development, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 13(2), P. 329 - 339

Published: Feb. 20, 2024

To tackle the challenges associated with variability and uncertainty in distributed power generation, as well complexities of solving high-dimensional energy management mathematical models mi-crogrid optimization, a microgrid optimization method is proposed based on an improved soft actor-critic algorithm. In method, algorithm employs entropy-based objective function to encourage target exploration without assigning signifi-cantly higher probabilities any part action space, which can simplify analysis process generation while effectively mitigating convergence fragility issues model management. The effectiveness validated through case study op-timization results revealed increase 51.20%, 52.38%, 13.43%, 16.50%, 58.26%, 36.33% total profits compared Deep Q-network algorithm, state-action-reward-state-action proximal policy ant-colony strategy genetic fuzzy inference system, theoretical retailer stragety, respectively. Additionally, com-pared other methods strategies, learn more optimal behaviors anticipate fluctuations electricity prices demand.

Language: Английский

Citations

6

Day-ahead load forecast based on Conv2D-GRU_SC aimed to adapt to steep changes in load DOI
Yunxiao Chen,

Chaojing Lin,

Yilan Zhang

et al.

Energy, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 302, P. 131814 - 131814

Published: May 26, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

5

Multi-Energy Load Prediction Method for Integrated Energy System Based on Fennec Fox Optimization Algorithm and Hybrid Kernel Extreme Learning Machine DOI Creative Commons
Yang Shen,

Deyi Li,

Wenbo Wang

et al.

Entropy, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 26(8), P. 699 - 699

Published: Aug. 17, 2024

To meet the challenges of energy sustainability, integrated system (IES) has become a key component in promoting development innovative systems. Accurate and reliable multivariate load prediction is prerequisite for IES optimal scheduling steady running, but uncertainty fluctuation many influencing factors increase difficulty forecasting. Therefore, this article puts forward multi-energy approach IES, which combines fennec fox optimization algorithm (FFA) hybrid kernel extreme learning machine. Firstly, comprehensive weight method used to combine entropy Pearson correlation coefficient, fully considering information content correlation, selecting affecting prediction, ensuring that input features can effectively modify results. Secondly, coupling relationship between learned predicted using At same time, FFA parameter optimization, reduces randomness setting. Finally, utilized measured data at Arizona State University verify its effectiveness The results indicate mean absolute error (MAE) proposed 0.0959, 0.3103 0.0443, respectively. root square (RMSE) 0.1378, 0.3848 0.0578, weighted percentage (WMAPE) only 1.915%. Compared other models, model higher accuracy, with maximum reductions on MAE, RMSE WMAPE 0.3833, 0.491 2.8138%,

Language: Английский

Citations

5

Deep convolutional neural networks for short-term multi-energy demand prediction of integrated energy systems DOI Creative Commons
Corneliu Arsene, Alessandra Parisio

International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 160, P. 110111 - 110111

Published: July 10, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

4

The balance issue of the proportion between new energy and traditional thermal power: An important issue under today's low-carbon goal in developing countries DOI
Yunxiao Chen,

Chaojing Lin,

Yilan Zhang

et al.

Renewable Energy, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 231, P. 121018 - 121018

Published: July 19, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

4

A hybrid Monte Carlo quantile EMD-LSTM method for satellite in-orbit temperature prediction and data uncertainty quantification DOI
XU Ying-chun, Wen Yao, Xiaohu Zheng

et al.

Expert Systems with Applications, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 255, P. 124875 - 124875

Published: July 26, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

3

An intelligent model for efficient load forecasting and sustainable energy management in sustainable microgrids DOI Creative Commons

Rupesh Rayalu Onteru,

Sandeep Vuddanti

Discover Sustainability, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 5(1)

Published: July 30, 2024

Abstract Microgrids have emerged as a promising solution for enhancing energy sustainability and resilience in localized distribution systems. Efficient management accurate load forecasting are one of the critical aspects improving operation microgrids. Various approaches prediction using statistical models discussed literature. In this work, novel framework that incorporates machine learning (ML) techniques is presented an solar wind generation. The anticipated approach also emphasizes time series-based microgrids with precise estimation State Charge (SoC) battery. A unique feature proposed utilizes historical data employs series analysis coupled different ML to forecast demand commercial scenario. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Linear Regression (LR) employed experimental study under three cases, such (i) generation, (ii) and, (iii) SoC results show Random Forest (RF) LSTM performs well respectively. On other hand, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model exhibited superior accuracy terms estimation. Further, Graphical User Interface (GUI) developed evaluating efficacy framework.

Language: Английский

Citations

3