Developing an integrated urban growth prediction model: a scenario-based approach for the conservation of protected areas

International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 22(5), P. 2997 - 3008

Published: Jan. 20, 2025

Language: Английский

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Cropland Loss Under Different Urban Expansion Patterns in China (1990–2020): Spatiotemporal Characteristics, Driving Factors, and Policy Implications

Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(2), P. 343 - 343

Published: Feb. 8, 2025

It is well established that China’s rapid urban expansion has led to a substantial loss of cropland. However, few studies have examined how different patterns contribute cropland consumption, which hindered the formulation sustainable development and protection policies. To fill this gap, we analyzed occupation under three (leap-frogging, edge-spreading, interior filling) in China from 1990 2020, using long-term land use data. The dominant driving forces were then explored XGBoost model SHAP values. Our findings indicate 2020 resulted 6.3% reduction cropland, with edge-spreading (4.0%) contributing most, followed by leap-frogging (2.1%) filling (0.2%). Change intensity (CUI) proved be most critical driver loss, values 0.38, 0.28, 0.37 for leap-frogging, filling, respectively. Over time, evolved single demographic-economic dominance more diversified integrated set drivers. Based on these findings, propose tailored planning policies patterns; regions dominated stricter controls boundaries stronger constraints are required. For prominent expansion, efforts should made improve internal efficiency while preserving existing spaces. In characterized further optimization construction allocation needed reduce productive suburban These not only offer new empirical evidence understanding interplay between conservation but also provide transferable insights can inform land-use strategies other rapidly urbanizing facing similar challenges.

Language: Английский

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Exploring trade-offs and synergies between economy development and ecosystem sustainability of the eco-fragile regions in the context of food security

Journal of Cleaner Production, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 145604 - 145604

Published: April 1, 2025

Language: Английский

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Compensating eco-recreation opportunities based on the supply-demand relationship between large-scale urban eco-spaces and communities

Sustainable Cities and Society, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 106423 - 106423

Published: May 1, 2025

Language: Английский

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