Seizure prediction and forecasting: a scoping review
Joshua C. Cheng,
No information about this author
Daniel M. Goldenholz
No information about this author
Current Opinion in Neurology,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
38(2), P. 135 - 139
Published: Jan. 20, 2025
This
scoping
review
summarizes
key
developments
in
the
field
of
seizure
forecasting.
Developments
have
been
made
along
several
modalities
forecasting,
including
long
term
intracranial
and
subcutaneous
encephalogram,
wearable
physiologic
monitoring,
diaries.
However,
clinical
translation
these
tools
is
limited
by
various
factors.
One
lack
validation
on
an
external
dataset.
Moreover,
widespread
practice
comparing
models
to
a
chance
forecaster
may
be
inadequate.
Instead,
model
should
able
at
least
surpass
moving
average
forecaster,
which
serves
as
'napkin
test'
(i.e.,
can
computed
back
napkin).
The
impact
frequency
performance
also
accounted
for
when
across
studies.
Surprisingly,
despite
potential
poor
quality
forecasts,
some
individuals
with
epilepsy
still
want
access
imprecise
forecasts
even
alter
their
behavior
based
upon
them.
Promising
advances
development
but
current
not
yet
overcome
hurdles.
Future
studies
will
need
address
potentially
dangerous
patient
behaviors
well
account
validation,
napkin
test,
dependent
metrics.
Language: Английский
Evaluating the accuracy of monitoring seizure cycles with seizure diaries
Epilepsia,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Feb. 24, 2025
Abstract
Objective
Epileptic
seizures
occurring
in
cyclical
patterns
is
increasingly
recognized
as
a
significant
opportunity
to
advance
epilepsy
management.
Current
methods
for
detecting
seizure
cycles
rely
on
intrusive
techniques
or
specialized
biomarkers,
thereby
limiting
their
accessibility.
This
study
evaluates
non‐invasive
cycle
detection
method
using
diaries
and
compares
its
accuracy
with
identified
from
intracranial
electroencephalography
(iEEG)
interictal
epileptiform
discharges
(IEDs).
Methods
Using
data
previously
published
first
in‐human
iEEG
device
trial
(
n
=
10),
we
analyzed
through
diary
reports,
seizures,
IEDs.
Cycle
similarities
across
IEDs
were
evaluated
at
periods
of
1
45
days
spectral
coherence,
accuracy,
precision,
recall,
the
false‐positive
rate.
Results
A
coherence
analysis
raw
signals
showed
moderately
similar
periodic
components
between
seizures/day
(median
.43,
IQR
.68).
In
contrast,
there
was
low
IEDs/day
.11,
.18)
.12,
.19).
Accuracy,
recall
scores,
rates
significantly
higher
than
chance
all
participants
(accuracy
(mean
±
standard
deviation):
.95
.02;
precision:
.56
.19;
recall:
rate:
.02
.01).
However,
scores
IED
both
did
not
perform
above
chance,
average.
Recall
compared
good
reporters,
under‐reporters,
over‐reporters,
generally
performing
better
reporters
under‐reporters
over‐reporters.
Significance
These
findings
suggest
that
can
be
even
individuals
who
under‐
over‐report
seizures.
approach
offers
an
accessible
alternative
monitoring
more
invasive
methods.
Language: Английский
The value of self-reported variables in epilepsy monitoring and management. A systematic scoping review.
Seizure,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
122, P. 119 - 143
Published: Oct. 9, 2024
Language: Английский
Monitoring seizure cycles with seizure diaries
medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Aug. 30, 2024
Objective:
The
periodicity
of
seizures,
ranging
from
circadian
to
circannual
cycles,
is
increasingly
recognized
as
a
significant
opportunity
advance
epilepsy
management.
Current
methods
for
detecting
seizure
cycles
rely
on
intrusive
techniques
or
specialised
biomarkers,
limiting
their
accessibility.
Approach:
This
study
evaluates
non-invasive
cycle
detection
method
using
diaries
and
compares
its
accuracy
with
identified
intracranial
electroencephalography
(iEEG)
seizures
interictal
epileptiform
discharges
(IEDs).
Using
data
previously
published
first
in-human
iEEG
device
trial
(n=10),
we
analysed
through
diary
reports,
IEDs.
Cycle
similarities
across
iEDs
were
evaluated
at
periods
1
45
days
spectral
coherence,
accuracy,
precision
recall
scores.
Main
results:
Spectral
coherence
the
raw
signals
averaged
over
frequencies
participants
indicated
moderately
similar
frequency
components
between
seizures/day
(Mean=0.62,
SD=0.61,95%
CI
[0.59,
0.95]).
In
contrast,
there
was
low
IEDs/day
(Mean=0.17,
SD=0.17,
95%
[0.18,
0.18])
(Mean=0.18,
SD=0.18,
[0.17,
0.19]).
Mean
significantly
higher
than
chance
all
(Accuracy:
Mean=0.95,
SD=0.02;
Precision:
Mean=0.56,
SD=0.19;
Recall:
SD=0.19).
Accuracy,
scores
compared
IED
did
not
perform
above
chance,
average.
Recall
good
reporters,
under-reporters
over-reporters,
generally
performing
better
in
reporters
over-reporters.
Significance:
These
findings
suggest
that
can
be
accurately
even
both
under-
approach
offers
practical,
accessible
alternative
monitoring
more
invasive
methods.
Language: Английский