Accurate
prediction
of
chlorophyll-a
(Chl-a)
concentrations,
a
key
indicator
eutrophication,
is
essential
for
the
sustainable
management
lake
ecosystems.
This
study
evaluated
performance
Kolmogorov-Arnold
Networks
(KANs)
along
with
three
neural
network
models
(MLP-NN,
LSTM,
and
GRU)
traditional
machine
learning
tools
(RF,
SVR,
GPR)
predicting
time-series
Chl-a
concentrations
in
large
lakes.
Monthly
remote-sensed
data
derived
from
Aqua-MODIS
spanning
September
2002
to
April
2024
were
used.
The
based
on
their
forecasting
capabilities
March
August
2024.
KAN
consistently
outperformed
others
both
test
forecast
(unseen
data)
phases
demonstrated
superior
accuracy
capturing
trends,
dynamic
fluctuations,
peak
concentrations.
Statistical
evaluation
using
ranking
metrics
critical
difference
diagrams
confirmed
KAN's
robust
across
diverse
sites,
further
emphasizing
its
predictive
power.
Our
findings
suggest
that
KAN,
which
leverages
KA
representation
theorem,
offers
improved
handling
nonlinearity
long-term
dependencies
data,
outperforming
grounded
universal
approximation
theorem
algorithms.
Water Resources Research,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
58(9)
Published: Aug. 30, 2022
Abstract
This
study
examines
whether
deep
learning
models
can
produce
reliable
future
projections
of
streamflow
under
warming.
We
train
a
regional
long
short‐term
memory
network
(LSTM)
to
daily
in
15
watersheds
California
and
develop
three
process
(HYMOD,
SAC‐SMA,
VIC)
as
benchmarks.
force
all
with
scenarios
warming
assess
their
hydrologic
response,
including
shifts
the
hydrograph
total
runoff
ratio.
All
show
shift
more
winter
runoff,
reduced
summer
decline
ratio
due
increased
evapotranspiration.
The
LSTM
predicts
similar
but
some
an
unrealistic
increase
then
test
two
alternative
versions
which
model
outputs
are
used
either
additional
training
targets
(i.e.,
multi‐output
LSTM)
or
input
features.
Results
indicate
that
does
not
correct
hybrid
using
estimates
evapotranspiration
from
SAC‐SMA
feature
produces
realistic
projections,
this
hold
for
VIC
HYMOD.
suggests
method
depends
on
fidelity
model.
Finally,
we
climate
change
responses
trained
over
500
across
United
States
find
Ultimately,
work
modeling
may
support
use
LSTMs
change,
so
large,
diverse
set
watersheds.
Geophysical Research Letters,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
49(7)
Published: March 15, 2022
Abstract
Deep
learning
(DL)
models
trained
on
hydrologic
observations
can
perform
extraordinarily
well,
but
they
inherit
deficiencies
of
the
training
data,
such
as
limited
coverage
in
situ
data
or
low
resolution/accuracy
satellite
data.
Here
we
propose
a
novel
multiscale
DL
scheme
simultaneously
from
and
to
predict
9
km
daily
soil
moisture
(5
cm
depth).
Based
spatial
cross‐validation
over
sites
conterminous
United
States,
obtained
median
correlation
0.901
root‐mean‐square
error
0.034
m
3
/m
.
It
outperformed
Soil
Moisture
Active
Passive
mission's
product,
alone,
land
surface
models.
Our
product
showed
better
accuracy
than
previous
1
downscaling
products,
highlighting
impacts
improving
resolution.
Not
only
is
our
useful
for
planning
against
floods,
droughts,
pests,
generically
applicable
geoscientific
domains
with
multiple
scales,
breaking
confines
individual
sets.
Ecological Indicators,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
146, P. 109845 - 109845
Published: Jan. 2, 2023
Dissolved
oxygen
(DO)
is
an
essential
indicator
for
assessing
water
quality
and
managing
aquatic
environments,
but
it
still
a
challenging
topic
to
accurately
understand
predict
the
spatiotemporal
variation
of
DO
concentrations
under
complex
effects
different
environmental
factors.
In
this
study,
practical
prediction
framework
was
proposed
based
on
support
vector
regression
(SVR)
model
coupling
multiple
intelligence
techniques
(i.e.,
four
data
denoising
techniques,
three
feature
selection
rules,
hyperparameter
optimization
methods).
The
holistic
tested
using
matrix
(17,532
observation
in
total)
12
indicators
from
vital
monitoring
stations
longest
inter-basin
diversion
project
world
Middle-Route
South-to-North
Water
Diversion
Project
China),
during
year
2017
2020
period.
results
showed
that
we
advocated
could
successfully
concentration
variations
geographical
locations.
used
"wavelet
analysis–LASSO
regression–random
search–SVR"
combination
Waihuanhe
station
has
best
performance,
with
Root
Mean
Square
Error
(RMSE),
(MSE),
Absolute
(MAE),
coefficient
determination
(R2)
values
0.251,
0.063,
0.190,
0.911,
respectively.
combined
methods
can
significantly
promote
robustness
accuracy
provide
new
universal
way
investigating
understanding
drivers
variations.
For
management
department,
comprehensive
also
identify
reveal
key
parameters
should
be
concerned
monitored
factors
change.
More
studies
terms
potential
integrated
risk
multi-indicators
mega
projects
and/or
similar
bodies
are
required
future.
Hydrology and earth system sciences,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
27(12), P. 2357 - 2373
Published: June 30, 2023
Abstract.
As
a
genre
of
physics-informed
machine
learning,
differentiable
process-based
hydrologic
models
(abbreviated
as
δ
or
delta
models)
with
regionalized
deep-network-based
parameterization
pipelines
were
recently
shown
to
provide
daily
streamflow
prediction
performance
closely
approaching
that
state-of-the-art
long
short-term
memory
(LSTM)
deep
networks.
Meanwhile,
full
suite
diagnostic
physical
variables
and
guaranteed
mass
conservation.
Here,
we
ran
experiments
test
(1)
their
ability
extrapolate
regions
far
from
gauges
(2)
make
credible
predictions
long-term
(decadal-scale)
change
trends.
We
evaluated
the
based
on
hydrograph
metrics
(Nash–Sutcliffe
model
efficiency
coefficient,
etc.)
predicted
decadal
For
in
ungauged
basins
(PUB;
randomly
sampled
representing
spatial
interpolation),
either
approached
surpassed
LSTM
metrics,
depending
meteorological
forcing
data
used.
They
presented
comparable
trend
for
annual
mean
flow
high
but
worse
trends
low
flow.
(PUR;
regional
holdout
extrapolation
highly
data-sparse
scenario),
advantages
became
prominent.
In
addition,
an
untrained
variable,
evapotranspiration,
retained
good
seasonality
even
extrapolated
cases.
The
models'
pipeline
produced
parameter
fields
maintain
remarkably
stable
patterns
data-scarce
scenarios,
which
explains
robustness.
Combined
interpretability
assimilate
multi-source
observations,
are
strong
candidates
global-scale
simulations
climate
impact
assessment.
Water Resources Research,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
60(1)
Published: Jan. 1, 2024
Abstract
Recently,
rainfall‐runoff
simulations
in
small
headwater
basins
have
been
improved
by
methodological
advances
such
as
deep
neural
networks
(NNs)
and
hybrid
physics‐NN
models—particularly,
a
genre
called
differentiable
modeling
that
intermingles
NNs
with
physics
to
learn
relationships
between
variables.
However,
hydrologic
routing
simulations,
necessary
for
simulating
floods
stem
rivers
downstream
of
large
heterogeneous
basins,
had
not
yet
benefited
from
these
it
was
unclear
if
the
process
could
be
via
coupled
NNs.
We
present
novel
method
(
δ
MC‐Juniata‐hydroDL2)
mimics
classical
Muskingum‐Cunge
model
over
river
network
but
embeds
an
NN
infer
parameterizations
Manning's
roughness
n
)
channel
geometries
raw
reach‐scale
attributes
like
catchment
areas
sinuosity.
The
trained
solely
on
hydrographs.
Synthetic
experiments
show
while
geometry
parameter
unidentifiable,
can
identified
moderate
precision.
With
real‐world
data,
produced
more
accurate
long‐term
results
both
training
gage
untrained
inner
gages
larger
subbasins
(>2,000
km
2
than
either
machine
learning
assuming
homogeneity,
or
simply
using
sum
runoff
subbasins.
parameterization
short
periods
gave
high
performance
other
periods,
despite
significant
errors
inputs.
learned
pattern
consistent
literature
expectations,
demonstrating
framework's
potential
knowledge
discovery,
absolute
values
vary
depending
periods.
traditional
models
improve
national‐scale
flood
simulations.