Rarest rainfall events will see the greatest relative increase in magnitude under future climate change

Communications Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 3(1)

Published: Oct. 10, 2022

Abstract Future rainfall extremes are projected to increase with global warming according theory and climate models, but common (annual) rare (decennial or centennial) could be affected differently. Here, using 25 models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 driven by a range of plausible scenarios future greenhouse gas emissions, we show that rarer event, more likely it is in climate. By end this century, daily land magnitude between 10.5% 28.2% for annual events, 13.5% 38.3% centennial low high emission respectively. The results consistent across though regional variation, underlying mechanisms remain determined.

Language: Английский

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Europe

Cambridge University Press eBooks, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 1817 - 1928

Published: June 22, 2023

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Language: Английский

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Projection of precipitation extremes over South Asia from CMIP6 GCMs

Journal of Arid Land, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 15(3), P. 274 - 296

Published: March 1, 2023

Language: Английский

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Adapting cities to the surge: A comprehensive review of climate-induced urban flooding

Results in Engineering, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 22, P. 102123 - 102123

Published: April 9, 2024

Climate change is a serious global issue causing more extreme weather patterns, resulting in frequent and severe events like urban flooding. This review explores the connection between climate flooding, offering statistical, scientific, advanced perspectives. Analyses of precipitation patterns show clear changes, establishing strong link heightened intensity rainfall events. Hydrological modeling case studies provide compelling scientific evidence attributing flooding to climate-induced changes. Urban infrastructure, including transportation networks critical facilities, increasingly vulnerable, worsening impact on people's lives businesses. Examining adaptation strategies, highlights need for resilient planning integration green infrastructure. Additionally, it delves into role technologies, such as artificial intelligence, remote sensing, predictive modeling, improving flood prediction, monitoring, management. The socio-economic implications are discussed, emphasizing unequal vulnerability importance inclusive policies. In conclusion, stresses urgency addressing through holistic analysis statistical trends, evidence, infrastructure vulnerabilities, adaptive measures. technologies comprehensive understanding essential developing effective, strategies. serves valuable resource, insights policymakers, researchers, practitioners striving climate-resilient futures amid escalating impacts.

Language: Английский

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Geomorphic and Sedimentary Effects of Modern Climate Change: Current and Anticipated Future Conditions in the Western United States

Reviews of Geophysics, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 58(4)

Published: Oct. 24, 2020

Abstract Hydroclimatic changes associated with global warming over the past 50 years have been documented widely, but physical landscape responses are poorly understood thus far. Detecting sedimentary and geomorphic signals of modern climate change presents challenges owing to short record lengths, difficulty resolving in stochastic natural systems, influences land use tectonic activity, long‐lasting effects individual extreme events, variable connectivity sediment‐routing systems. We review existing literature investigate nature extent change, focusing on western United States, a region generally high relief sediment yield likely be sensitive climatic forcing. Based fundamental theory empirical evidence from other regions, we anticipate climate‐driven slope stability, watershed yields, fluvial morphology, aeolian mobilization States. find for recent stability increased dune dust whereas yields morphology linked more commonly nonclimatic drivers will require better understanding how response scales disturbance, lag times hysteresis operate within distinguish relative influence feedbacks superimposed disturbances. The ability constrain rapidly progressing has widespread implications human health safety, infrastructure, water security, economics, ecosystem resilience.

Language: Английский

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