None DOI Open Access

Li Haicong,

Samin,

Wahyuni Nasution

et al.

International Journal of Business Society, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 1(Special)

Published: Dec. 3, 2021

Classifications from the National Research Foundation, national scientific and technological standard, Korean Industrial Technology Classification will all be used to create new health medical academic classification system [1,2].The

Language: Английский

It's not all about drought: What “drought impacts” monitoring can reveal DOI Creative Commons
David W. Walker, Juliana Lima Oliveira, Louise Cavalcante

et al.

International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 103, P. 104338 - 104338

Published: Feb. 23, 2024

Drought impacts monitoring has been called the missing piece in drought assessment. The potential to improve management is high but uncertain due rare analyses of datasets, predominantly because there are few programmes generate datasets. conducted on ground much Brazil by local observers at monthly and municipality scale support Brazilian Monitor. In Ceará state, within drought-prone semiarid northeast Brazil, over 3600 reports were completed agricultural extension officers from 2019 2022. We investigated, through manual coding observer interviews, reported impact drivers. Analysis provided a catalogue experienced showed that still occur, often normalised, during non-drought periods, sometimes as lingering effects previous droughts. drivers non-extreme hydrometeorological conditions or result socio-technical vulnerabilities such insufficient water infrastructure. normalisation "impacts" included, particular: generally accepted level crop losses consistently low reservoir levels around which domestic systems adapted. Conventional indices did not align with severity, highlighting limitations relying solely these for emergency response. Continual could be extremely valuable anywhere world identifying informing proactive measures reduce other hazard risk, addition guiding targeted mitigation efforts.

Language: Английский

Citations

20

A geography of drought indices: mismatch between indicators of drought and its impacts on water and food securities DOI Creative Commons
Sarra Kchouk, Lieke Melsen, David W. Walker

et al.

Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 22(2), P. 323 - 344

Published: Feb. 7, 2022

Abstract. Drought monitoring and early warning systems (DEWSs) are seen as helpful tools to tackle drought at an stage reduce the possibility of harm or loss. They usually include indices attributed meteorological, agricultural and/or hydrological drought: physically based drivers. These used determine onset, end severity a event. impacts, like water food securities, less monitored even not included in DEWSs. Therefore, likelihood experiencing these impacts is often simply linearly linked drivers drought. The aim this study evaluate validity assumed direct linkage between insecurity We reviewed scientific literature on both conducted bibliometric analysis 5000+ studies which selected (drivers) drought-related insecurities (impacts) were mentioned relation geographic area. Our review shows that there tendency focus drought, with preferred use meteorological remotely sensed indices. Studies reporting more localised, relatively many focusing sub-Saharan Africa Australasia for regard security security, respectively. further suggests related dependent physical human processes occurring area, i.e. local context. With increasing relevance utility information provided by DEWSs, we argue favour additional consideration impact oriented towards sustainable development welfare.

Language: Английский

Citations

62

From creeping crisis to policy change: The adoption of drought preparedness policy in Brazil DOI Creative Commons
Louise Cavalcante, Wieke Pot, Pieter van Oel

et al.

Water Policy, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 25(10), P. 949 - 965

Published: Oct. 1, 2023

Abstract This paper aims to understand the national-level policy change that occurred in Brazilian drought management, whereby shifted from reactive crisis management a preparedness approach. We found combination of factors supported change, such as interplay multiple events different regions country, length and timing these events, attention paid issue, role entrepreneurs political connecting solutions problem. The analysis is based on streams framework (MSF), which includes two windows opportunity: an agenda window, account for juncture at issue appeared public agenda; decision when instrument was designed adopted. contribute literature wake disaster by showing how long-duration event sparked shedding light creeping crises focusing events; we MSF analytically distinguishing features window applying theory Latin American context.

Language: Английский

Citations

20

Modeling the influence of small reservoirs on hydrological drought propagation in space and time DOI Creative Commons
Paolo Colombo, Germano Ribeiro Neto, Alexandre Cunha Costa

et al.

Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 629, P. 130640 - 130640

Published: Jan. 14, 2024

To increase drought preparedness in semi-arid regions across the world many small and medium reservoirs have been built recent decades. Together these form a Dense Reservoir Network (DRN) its presence generates numerous challenges for water management. Most of that constitute network are unmonitored unregistered, posing questions on their cumulative effects strategic distribution at watershed scale. Their influence hydrological propagation is thus largely unexplored. The objective this study then to assess DRN droughts both time space. A modeling-analytical framework proposed achieve goal. mesoscale semi-distributed model was utilized simulate large large-scale tropical semiarid watershed. investigate space generated by network's presence, differences between multiple scenarios were analyzed. Results show accelerates transition from meteorological phases 20% average slows down recharge 25%, leading 12% periods conditions highly basin 26% without reservoirs. This because increases dysconnectivity catchment scale, reducing inflow In space, shifts upstream basin's storage capacity 8%, but when present stored volume behavior not straightforward. findings confirm need consider effect developing implementing management policies reservoir-management approaches regional

Language: Английский

Citations

7

Emergent Trends Complicate the Interpretation of the United States Drought Monitor (USDM) DOI Creative Commons
Zhiying Li, Jason E. Smerdon, Richard Seager

et al.

AGU Advances, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 5(2)

Published: April 1, 2024

Abstract Effective drought management must be informed by an understanding of whether and how current monitoring assessment practices represent underlying nonstationary climate conditions, either naturally occurring or forced change. Here we investigate the emerging climatology associated trends in classes defined United States Drought Monitor (USDM), a weekly product that, since 2000, has been used to inform States. The USDM classifies intensity based part on threshold percentiles key hydroclimate quantities. assess those USDM‐defined have changed over last 23 years, examining precipitation, runoff, soil moisture (SM), terrestrial water storage (TWS), vapor pressure deficit (VPD), near‐surface air temperature. We also frequency classifications across U.S. Our analysis suggests that class occurrence is exceeding number regions States, particularly American West, where years emerged as prolonged dry period. These are reflected percentile‐based thresholds SM, TWS, VPD, results emphasize while appears accurately reflecting observed nonstationarity physical climate, such raise critical questions about diagnosis, classification, should address long‐term intervals wet periods trends.

Language: Английский

Citations

6

Mapping and evaluating the impact of flood hazards on tourism in South African national parks DOI Creative Commons
Kaitano Dube, Godwell Nhamo, David Chikodzi

et al.

Journal of Outdoor Recreation and Tourism, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 43, P. 100661 - 100661

Published: July 27, 2023

There is consensus that the risk of flooding increasing in many parts Africa and globally due to climate variability change-induced extreme weather events. Floods are often considered a necessity by conservation community semi-arid regions since they recharge important aquifers wetlands, which critical areas for biodiversity conservation. However, floods threaten tourism infrastructure, given their destructive nature. This study maps evaluates hotspots 19 South African national parks assesses flood occurrence impact on tourism. A mixed methods approach was adopted, utilising primary data collected from interviews, surveys, field observations secondary sources. The found most located Kruger National Park, with more than nine Mapungubwe almost all events linked Flooding incidents these parks, devastatingly impacting infrastructures, such as camps, roads, bridges heritage picnic sites. Other concerned about include Wilderness section Garden Route, Bontebok Park isolated some Kgalagadi, Augrabies Mokala Parks. affected within pathway tropical cyclones. recommends engineering, nature-based solutions development early warning systems manage risks parks. In view increased frequency intensity there need build robust system reduce impacts damage back better greener after ensure resilience. Ensure adequate insurance cater r potential revenue losses where business incurred. hazard zoning avoid infrastructure establishments.

Language: Английский

Citations

14

Drought-impacted communities in social-ecological systems: Exploration of different system states in Northeast Brazil DOI Creative Commons
Sarra Kchouk, Germano Ribeiro Neto, Lieke Melsen

et al.

International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 97, P. 104026 - 104026

Published: Sept. 23, 2023

This study applies 'Social-Ecological Systems (SES)' concepts with the aim of analysing why and how events happening across spatial, jurisdictional, temporal scales influence droughts their impacts in rural communities. To trace evolution on livelihood system, we conducted a drought diagnosis community Riacho da Cruz Banabuiú basin semi-arid Northeast Brazil. We analysed this reacted differently to previous either contributed adaptation system or its collapse. SES theory helped us posit that it is collective capacity stakeholders (nested levels different decisional management) manage resilience drought, determines whether considered adapts, collapses shifts into new stable state, response drought. Monitoring these factors could enable development drought(-impact) indices account for spatial-temporal complexities Such results can aid improving targeting policies toward drought-affected communities ensuring they receive necessary resources. Drought are difficult monitor. One reason affect many areas groups people. It complicated understand all ways which worsen impact groups, effects change over time locations. what investigate using Social-Ecological (SES) theory. help parts society environment interact time. certain happen past still have an current events. applied Brazil affected community's livelihood. Based our findings, developed framework identify some causes believe also be sectors Building case Cruz, discuss monitor more accurately.

Language: Английский

Citations

12

Informal Settlements: A New Understanding for Governance and Vulnerability Study DOI Creative Commons
Christopher L. Atkinson

Urban Science, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 8(4), P. 158 - 158

Published: Sept. 29, 2024

This review examines current knowledge in the literature on informal settlements, specifically those contributions that include emphases governance and role of public administration. Given settlements task sector with specific challenges test limits infrastructure, while also presenting considerable human demands, there is a need to better understand how governments’ capacities respond such phenomena potentially deepen concerns already vulnerable populations. After an introduction concept paper considers approach review, which included initial group 272 papers from peer-reviewed, English-language journals, period 2019 June 2024. Major themes are discussed, opportunities for future research identified. Informal still emerging topic within larger land use urban planning literature, but significance this extends beyond immediate areas themselves critical vulnerability study.

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Mind the gap: misalignment between drought monitoring and community realities DOI Creative Commons
Sarra Kchouk, Louise Cavalcante, Lieke Melsen

et al.

Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 25(2), P. 893 - 912

Published: Feb. 27, 2025

Abstract. Despite recent studies emphasising the dual human and physical nature of droughts, there is a lag in advancing this insight drought monitoring early warning systems (DEWSs). These mainly depend on hydro-climatic indices often overlook experiences affected communities, resulting gap. This study introduces efficacy matrix (MEM) to assess alignment between officially monitored data, relevant impacts, actual rural community northeastern Brazil, which we investigated through interviews. The MEM revealed “drought challenges”, composed mismatches blind spots official data local experiences. Mismatches stem from varying spatial temporal levels; arise diversity resilience strategies, or vulnerabilities, influencing impacts. What define as gap” results tendency prioritise specific pragmatic levels over comprehensive approach. We posit that first step bridging gap can draw inspiration drought-impact-monitoring initiatives, are focused continuous non-extreme events by municipal technical extension officers. However, ultimately remains conditional adaptation DEWS frameworks accommodate integration qualitative representing drought-related context.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

HESS Opinions: Drought impacts as failed prospects DOI Creative Commons
Germano Ribeiro Neto, Sarra Kchouk, Lieke Melsen

et al.

Published: June 8, 2023

Abstract. Human actions induce and modify droughts. Yet, there remain scientific gaps regarding how anthropogenic dynamics hydrological processes are intrinsically entangled in drought evolution. This poses the challenge of developing ways to evaluate human behavior its pattern co-evolution with cycle, mainly related water use landscape modifications. We propose that prospect theory explains emergence impacts, such as crop losses shortage, if they considered failed welfare expectations (“prospects”) due shortage. behavioral economic is dominantly applied explain decision-making under uncertainty. argue it can also contribute explaining socio-hydrological phenomena reservoir effects. new approach bridging natural social sciences perspectives for more integrated management takes into account local context

Language: Английский

Citations

9