地球系统视角下的多圈层复合极端事件研究进展与展望 DOI Open Access

增超 郝,

阳 陈

SCIENTIA SINICA Terrae, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Oct. 9, 2023

复合极端事件对社会、经济和生态所造成的影响相较于各事件独立发生时更为严重, 这类事件已成为近10年来地球科学领域的研究热点之一. 气候变化背景下许多复合极端事件频发、强发, 极端事件间的组合形式也呈现出新特点, 对科学研究和防灾应对提出了更高的要求和更严峻的挑战. 本文在地球系统多圈层相互作用的视角下系统梳理了多类高影响复合极端事件的定义、机理、变化、归因、预估等方面的研究现状; 探讨了复合极端事件研究在数据需求、机理分析、模型模拟、归因预估、风险评估和适应应对等方面的挑战及可能的解决方案; 进一步展望了该领域未来可能的发展趋势和急需多学科、多部门联合攻关的重点研究内容. 在气候变化重塑极端事件类型的背景下, 科学研究、防灾减灾和应对气候变化工作均需从传统单一极端事件视角向复合极端事件视角转变, 对研究对象、思路和方法进行全方位的革新. 本文对复合极端事件研究领域的发展和多学科领域的交叉合作将起到一定的促进作用.

The multidimensional impacts of heatwaves on human ecosystems: A systematic literature review and future research direction DOI Creative Commons
Matthew Abunyewah, Thayaparan Gajendran, Michael Odei Erdiaw‐Kwasie

et al.

Environmental Science & Policy, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 165, P. 104024 - 104024

Published: Feb. 28, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Increasing probability of extreme rainfall preconditioned by humid heatwaves in global coastal megacities DOI Creative Commons
Poulomi Ganguli, Bruno Merz

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 8(1)

Published: April 16, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Remote Sensing Improves Multi‐Hazard Flooding and Extreme Heat Detection by Fivefold Over Current Estimates DOI Creative Commons
Matthew Preisser, Paola Passalacqua

AGU Advances, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 6(2)

Published: April 1, 2025

Abstract The co‐occurrence of multiple hazards is growing concern globally as the frequency and magnitude extreme climate events increases. Despite studies examining spatial distribution such events, there has been little work in if all relevant life threatening damaging are captured existing hazard databases by common metrics. For example, local/regional flash flooding seldom optical satellite instruments subsequently excluded from global databases. Similarly, heat definitions most frequently used multi‐hazard inherently fail to capture that life‐threatening but climatologically within an expected range. Our goal determine potential for increasing event detection capabilities inferring additional footprints widely accessible data. We use daily precipitation temperature data develop open‐source framework infers not included traditional methods. With state Texas our study area, we detected 2.5 times many flood hazards, equivalent $320 million property crop damages. Furthermore, expanded definition increases impacted area 56.6%, 91.5 over 18 year period. Increasing expanding using temporal resolutions at which detected. Having more complete sets extents improves ability track trends accurately exposure inequities.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Identification of compound flood-heatwave extremes in the Yangtze River Basin and their socio-economic exposure DOI
Ching‐I. Meng, Keying Liu, Yue Li

et al.

Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 132387 - 132387

Published: Nov. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

3

Compounding Heatwave‐Extreme Rainfall Events Driven by Fronts, High Moisture, and Atmospheric Instability DOI Creative Commons
Christoph Sauter, Jennifer L. Catto, Hayley J. Fowler

et al.

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 128(21)

Published: Oct. 28, 2023

Abstract Heatwaves have been shown to increase the likelihood and intensity of extreme rainfall occurring immediately afterward, potentially leading increased flood risk. However, exact mechanisms connecting heatwaves remain poorly understood. In this study, we use weather type data sets for Australia Europe identify patterns, including fronts, cyclones, thunderstorm conditions, associated with heatwave terminations following events. We further analyze, using reanalysis data, how atmospheric instability moisture availability change before after termination depending on whether is followed by rainfall, as well location heatwave. find that most terminate during and/or frontal conditions. Additionally, several days termination; but only if are rainfall. also a significantly higher than expected from climatology same time year, highest values post‐heatwave intensities. conclude joint presence high instability, moisture, systems likely explain why generally more heatwaves, compound hazard mainly found in non‐arid mid latitudes. An improved understanding drivers these events will help assess potential changing impacts future.

Language: Английский

Citations

6

Investigating Spatial Variations of Compound Heat–Precipitation Events in Guangdong, China through a Convection-Permitting Model DOI Creative Commons

Tingan Zhu,

Wei Zhang, Jun Wang

et al.

Remote Sensing, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 15(19), P. 4745 - 4745

Published: Sept. 28, 2023

Compound heat–precipitation events exert significant impacts on severe weather occurrences. Intense vertical air movement, driving vigorous convection, primarily contributes to the formation of extreme precipitation. Nevertheless, such compound events’ temporal and spatial variation patterns at convection-permitting resolutions remain inadequately explored. This study assesses performance Convection-Permitting Model (CPM) against a model convection parameterization while investigating dynamics in Guangdong, China. Our findings indicate that CPM exhibits heightened reliability precision simulating temperature precipitation patterns, especially simulation, which would be highly underestimated without process. Projections from reveal that, across historical future periods, occurrence frequency fraction T-P (instances heat followed by precipitation) surpass those P-T (occurrences heat). For events, better capability capturing high-frequency areas, whereas results relatively low-resolution show less distinct variations. Both types exhibit noticeable upward trends yearly within each period. By close this century, provincial average is anticipated decrease 20.32 times 14.55 times. In contrast, projected increase 87.7 101.38 These changes underscore shifting region.

Language: Английский

Citations

5

Evaluating the effects of heatwave events on hydrological processes in the contiguous United States (2003–2022) DOI
Yuefeng Hao, Jiafu Mao, Mingzhou Jin

et al.

Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 637, P. 131368 - 131368

Published: May 20, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Understanding compound extreme precipitations preconditioned by heatwaves over China under climate change DOI Creative Commons
Jiahe Liu, Jie Chen, Jiabo Yin

et al.

Environmental Research Letters, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 19(6), P. 064077 - 064077

Published: May 28, 2024

Abstract Compared with individual heatwaves or storm events, the compound extreme precipitations preconditioned by (CHEPs) usually amplify their adverse repercussions on both ecosystems and society. However, little is known about physical mechanisms of generations, especially considering precipitation types triggered various factors synoptic patterns. By classifying based duration, we conduct an event-based analysis comprehensively assess CHEPs using machine learning-constrained framework binning scaling methods over China. We find fraction to total short-duration/long-duration (ESDPs/ELDPs) has substantially increased 18%/15% from 1979 2021, when dry-bulb temperature identify heatwaves. More notably, hotspots are generally consistent those ESDPs. The ESDPs play a dominant role in shaping episodes, which governed enhancing atmospheric instability due horizontal moisture advection transient vertical dynamic motion moisture, paramount LDPs, not significantly enhanced overheating atmosphere, leading small LDPs CHEPs. In addition, intensity tends increase air at higher rates than that ELDPs. As short-duration storms may trigger severe flash floods, ample attention should be paid escalating risks under climate change.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

A New Method to Identify the Maximum Time Interval between Individual Events in Compound Rainstorm and Heatwave Events DOI Creative Commons
Junlin Zhang, Wei Xu, Yu Qiao

et al.

International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(3), P. 453 - 466

Published: June 1, 2024

Abstract Growing evidence indicates that extreme heat and rain may occur in succession within short time periods cause greater impacts than individual events separated space. Therefore, many studies have examined the of compound hazard on social-ecological system at various scales. The definition is fundamental for such research. However, there are no existing support determination interval between a rainstorm heatwave (CRH) event, which consists two or more potentially qualifying component events. To address deficiency defining what can constitute CRH this study proposed novel method to determine maximum through change event frequency with increasing events, using southern China as case study. results show threshold identified by reasonable. For 90% meteorological stations, has reached when less equal threshold. This aid selection, an important step subsequent

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Impact of the tibetan plateau heat source on heatwaves in China DOI

Ziyuan Tan,

Yuzhi Liu,

Weiqi Tang

et al.

Climate Dynamics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 63(1)

Published: Nov. 26, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

1