Increasing prevalence of hot drought across western North America since the 16th century
Science Advances,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
10(4)
Published: Jan. 24, 2024
Across
western
North
America
(WNA),
20th-21st
century
anthropogenic
warming
has
increased
the
prevalence
and
severity
of
concurrent
drought
heat
events,
also
termed
hot
droughts.
However,
lack
independent
spatial
reconstructions
both
soil
moisture
temperature
limits
potential
to
identify
these
events
in
past
place
them
a
long-term
context.
We
develop
Western
American
Temperature
Atlas
(WNATA),
data-independent
0.5°
gridded
reconstruction
summer
maximum
temperatures
back
16th
century.
Our
evaluation
WNATA
with
existing
hydroclimate
reveals
an
increasing
association
between
recent
decades,
relative
five
centuries.
The
synthesis
paleo-reconstructions
indicates
that
amplification
modern
WNA
megadrought
by
frequency
extent
compound
dry
conditions
21st
are
likely
unprecedented
since
at
least
Language: Английский
Changes in Snow Drought and the Impacts on Streamflow Across Northern Catchments
Water Resources Research,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
61(1)
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
Abstract
Snow
drought,
characterized
by
an
anomalous
reduction
in
snowpack,
exerts
profound
hydrological
and
socioeconomic
impacts
cold
regions.
Despite
its
significance,
the
influence
of
diverse
snow
drought
types,
including
warm,
dry,
warm‐and‐dry
variants,
on
streamflow
remains
inadequately
understood.
Here
we
present
first
hemispheric‐scale,
observation‐based
assessment
patterns
seasonal
annual
(
Q
)
across
3049
northern
catchments
over
1950–2020.
Our
findings
reveal
that
with
a
lower
mean
snowfall
fraction
()
exhibit
heightened
prevalence
severity
warm
droughts,
whereas
high‐
experience
more
prevalent
but
less
severe
dry
drought.
This
disparity
arises
from
distinct
sensitivities
snowpack
to
cold‐season
precipitation
temperature.
In
addition,
droughts
induce
during
both
seasons,
culminating
significant
decrease
.
Conversely,
increases
decreases
,
attributable
trade‐off
between
increased
c
decreased
warm‐season
w
).
With
ongoing
climate
warming,
continued
is
anticipated,
which
expected
further
increase
frequency
warm‐dry
droughts.
These
circumstances,
particularly
impactful
under
low
conditions,
are
poised
formidable
challenges
for
water
resources
management
regions
globally.
Language: Английский
A Watershed Moment for Western U.S. Dams
Water Resources Research,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
59(10)
Published: Oct. 1, 2023
Abstract
The
summer
of
2023
is
a
notable
time
for
water‐resource
management
in
the
western
United
States:
Glen
Canyon
Dam,
on
Colorado
River,
turns
60
years
old
while
largest
dam‐removal
project
history
beginning
Klamath
River.
This
commentary
discusses
these
events
context
changing
paradigm
dam
and
reservoir
this
region.
Since
era
large
building
began
to
wane
six
decades
ago,
new
challenges
have
arisen
owing
climate
change,
population
increase,
sedimentation,
declining
safety
aging
dams,
more
environmentally
focused
objectives.
Today
we
also
better
understand
dams'
benefits,
costs,
environmental
impacts,
including
some
that
were
unforeseen
took
become
apparent.
Where
dams
unsafe,
obsolete
(e.g.,
due
excessive
sedimentation),
uneconomical
beyond
saving,
removal
has
common.
science
practice
are
accelerating
rapidly,
long‐term
physical
biological
response
studies
now
available.
Removal
four
hydroelectric
River
will
be
larger
complex
than
any
previous
removal.
imminency
reflects
very
different
situation
ago.
Looking
forward,
States
worldwide
require
continued
collaboration
innovative
thinking
meet
wide
range
objectives
manage
water
resources
sustainably
future
generations.
Language: Английский
Patterns of Snow Drought Under Climate Change: From Dry to Warm Dominance
Geophysical Research Letters,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
52(8)
Published: April 11, 2025
Abstract
Global
warming
may
trigger
more
frequent
snow
droughts
(SD).
SD
can
result
from
low
total
precipitation
(dry‐SD),
high
temperatures
leading
to
less
solid
(warm‐SD),
or
a
combination
of
both
(dry‐warm
compound
SD).
Those
three
types
threaten
ecosystems
differently.
Nevertheless,
the
regions
dominated
by
types,
transition
patterns,
and
future
risks
under
climate
change
remain
unclear.
We
investigated
dominance
their
patterns
across
historical
periods.
By
2100,
compared
1981,
results
project
global
increases
in
frequency
than
3‐fold
4‐fold
SSP2‐4.5
SSP5‐8.5
scenarios,
respectively.
Moreover,
share
warm
is
increasing
projected
account
for
65%
2050.
Compared
period,
probabilities
dry‐warm
period
expected
increase
3.7
6.6
times,
Language: Английский
Networks of Tree‐Ring Based Streamflow Reconstructions for the Pacific Northwest, U.S.A.
Water Resources Research,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
59(11)
Published: Oct. 31, 2023
Abstract
Water
resources
in
the
Pacific
Northwest
(PNW)
are
characterized
by
significant
interannual
to
interdecadal
variation.
Paleo‐proxy
reconstructions
such
as
those
derived
from
tree‐rings
provide
longer‐term
context
and
supplement
information
on
this
expected
range
of
variability,
which
can
improve
planning,
management,
response
related
extreme
events
hydrologic
change.
However,
existing
paleo‐proxy
have
yet
address
potential
for
pronounced
within‐
among‐basin
variations
PNW
due
a
lack
spatial
coverage.
Here
we
develop
methodologically
consistent
36
gages
PNW,
including
Columbia
Snake
River
drainages,
well
key
coastal
watersheds.
These
extend
back
at
least
1500s
coefficient
efficiency.
Reconstruction
skill
is
relatively
high
(mean
R
2
=
0.63),
snowpack‐
or
winter
precipitation‐sensitive
chronologies
high‐elevation
sites
important
contributions
reconstruction
skill.
At
whole‐region
scale,
reconstructed
variability
indicates
evidence
drier
wetter
years,
more
persistent
decadal
correspondingly
longer
episodes
deficit
surplus
compared
instrumental
records.
Within
region,
expanded
extremes
appears
especially
prevalent
southern
Regionally,
cumulative
deficits
early
mid
1600s
rival
20
th
century,
though
persistence
timing
vary
widely
among
basins.
suggest
that
considering
within‐region
will
be
water
management
planning
under
climate
change,
sub‐regional
adaptation
strategies
likely
advantageous.
Language: Английский
Historical Occurrence of and Shift in Snow Drought Drivers in Global Mountain Ranges
Rebecca Gustine,
No information about this author
Christine Lee,
No information about this author
Yonas Demissie
No information about this author
et al.
Authorea (Authorea),
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Nov. 16, 2023
Snow
droughts
are
a
new
way
to
understand
changes
in
snowpack
and
subsequent
runoff.
Globally,
we
do
not
have
good
understanding
of
the
drivers
snow
or
how
those
changed
historically.
Here,
identify
what
has
been
dominant
driver
global
mountain
ranges,
it
shifted
historically,
similarities
exist
similar
types.
We
explore
this
all
ones
that
highly
dependent
on
winter
precipitation
for
summer
water,
two
regional
case
studies
Cascade
Range
Himalayan
Mountains.
found
both
northern
southern
hemispheres,
dry
(driven
by
precipitation)
most
common.
In
hemisphere,
more
ranges
having
temperature
be
main
historical
record.
tundra,
boreal,
prairie,
ice
type
areas
had
area
with
droughts.
types
except
tundra
as
With
global,
multivariate
methodology,
were
able
common
patterns
across
geographical
(i.e.,
hemisphere
ranges)
areas.
More
research
is
needed
better
droughts,
their
drivers,
risk
they
pose
regionally
food
water
security.
Language: Английский