Forests, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 16(1), P. 42 - 42
Published: Dec. 29, 2024
(1) Objective: To improve forest fire prevention, this study provides a reference for risk assessment in Sichuan Province. (2) Methods: This research focuses on various vegetation types Given data from 6848 sample plots, five machine learning models—random forest, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), k-nearest neighbors, support vector machine, and stacking ensemble (Stacking)—were employed. Bayesian optimization was utilized hyperparameter tuning, resulting models predicting fuel loads (FLs) across different types. (3) Results: The FL model incorporates not only characteristics but also site conditions climate data. Feature importance analysis indicated that structural factors (e.g., canopy closure, diameter at breast height, tree height) dominated cold broadleaf, subtropical mixed forests, while mean annual temperature seasonality) were more influential coniferous forests. Machine learning-based outperform the multiple stepwise regression both fitting ability prediction accuracy. XGBoost performed best coniferous, with coefficient of determination (R2) values 0.79, 0.85, 0.81, 0.83, respectively. Stacking excelled achieving an R2 value 0.82. (4) Conclusions: establishes theoretical foundation capacity It is recommended be applied to predict broadleaf suggested FLs Furthermore, offers management, assessment, prevention control
Language: Английский