medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: June 4, 2024
Abstract
Understanding
virus
mutations
is
critical
for
shaping
public
health
interventions.
These
lead
to
complex
multi-strain
dynamics
often
underrepresented
in
models.
Aiming
understand
the
factors
influencing
variants’
fitness
and
evolution,
we
explore
several
scenarios
of
spreading
gain
qualitative
insight
into
dictating
which
variants
ultimately
predominate
at
population
level.
To
this
end,
propose
a
two-strain
stochastic
model
that
accounts
asymptomatic
transmission,
mutations,
possibility
disease
import.
We
find
with
milder
symptoms
are
likely
spread
faster
than
those
severe
symptoms.
This
because
can
prompt
affected
individuals
seek
medical
help
earlier,
potentially
leading
quicker
identification
isolation
cases.
However,
or
cases
may
more
widely,
making
it
harder
control
spread.
Therefore,
increased
transmissibility
still
result
higher
hospitalizations
fatalities
due
widespread
infection.
The
proposed
highlights
interplay
between
viral
evolution
transmission
dynamics.
Offering
nuanced
view
variant
spread,
provides
foundation
further
investigation
mitigating
strategies
Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 1 - 9
Published: Feb. 24, 2025
Abstract
Background:
Restricting
infectious
healthcare
workers
(HCWs)
from
the
workplace
is
an
important
infection
prevention
strategy.
The
duration
of
viral
shedding
or
symptoms
are
often
used
as
proxies
for
period
in
adults
but
may
not
accurately
estimate
it.
Objective:
To
determine
risk
transmission
among
previously
healthy
infected
with
SARS-CoV-2
omicron
variant
(omicron)
influenza
A
(influenza)
by
examining
and
symptoms,
day
symptom
onset
secondary
cases
pairs.
Design:
Rapid
review
Methods:
This
rapid
adhered
to
PRISMA-ScR;
five
databases
were
searched.
cumulative
daily
proportion
participants
outcome
interest
was
calculated
each
study
summarized.
Results:
Forty-three
studies
included.
Shedding
resolved
≥
70%
end
nine
post
omicron,
seven
influenza;
90%
participants,
10
influenza.
Two
suggested
continues
>
24
hours
post-fever
resolution
both
viruses.
Symptom
occurred
80%
post-primary
case
six
Conclusions:
Omicron
consistent
previous
recommendations
exclude
HCWs
work
days;
follows
a
similar
trend.
Earlier
most
pathogens
indicates
that,
despite
persistent
shedding,
occurs
earlier;
serial
interval
might
better
approximate
infectiousness.
Journal of Virology,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: March 21, 2025
ABSTRACT
The
coinfection
of
individual
cells
is
a
requirement
for
exchange
between
two
or
more
virus
genomes,
which
major
mechanism
driving
evolution.
Coinfection
restricted
by
known
as
superinfection
exclusion
(SIE),
prohibits
the
infection
previously
infected
cell
related
after
period
time.
SIE
regulates
many
different
viruses,
but
its
relevance
to
severe
acute
respiratory
syndrome
coronavirus
2
(SARS-CoV-2)
was
unknown.
In
this
study,
we
investigated
using
pair
SARS-CoV-2
variant
viruses
encoding
distinct
fluorescent
reporter
proteins.
We
show
first
time
that
limited
temporally
SIE.
defined
kinetics
onset
in
system,
showing
potential
starts
diminish
within
hour
primary
and
then
falls
exponentially
events
increased.
asked
how
these
would
affect
with
during
spreading
infection.
used
plaque
assays
model
localized
spread
observed
tissue
showed
restrict
coinfection—and
therefore
sites
possible
genetic
exchange—to
small
interface
viral
infections.
This
indicates
SIE,
reducing
likelihood
cells,
likely
reduces
opportunities
strains
an
underappreciated
factor
shaping
IMPORTANCE
Since
emerged
2019,
it
has
continued
evolve,
occasionally
generating
variants
concern.
One
ways
can
evolve
through
recombination,
where
information
swapped
genomes.
Recombination
requires
cells;
therefore,
factors
impacting
are
influence
phenomenon
whereby
becomes
increasingly
resistant
subsequent
Here
report
activated
following
Furthermore,
prevents
at
boundary
expanding
areas
infection,
scenario
most
lead
recombination
lineages.
Our
work
suggests
genomes
shapes
PLoS Pathogens,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
21(4), P. e1013134 - e1013134
Published: April 28, 2025
SARS-CoV-2
has
undergone
repeated
and
rapid
evolution
to
circumvent
host
immunity.
However,
outside
of
prolonged
infections
in
immunocompromised
hosts,
within-host
positive
selection
rarely
been
detected.
Here
we
combine
daily
longitudinal
sampling
individuals
with
replicate
sequencing
increase
the
accuracy
lower
threshold
for
variant
calling.
We
sequenced
577
specimens
from
105
a
household
cohort
during
BA.1/BA.2
period.
Individuals
exhibited
extremely
low
viral
diversity,
estimated
evolutionary
rate.
Within-host
dynamics
were
dominated
by
genetic
drift
purifying
selection.
Positive
was
rare
but
highly
concentrated
spike.
A
Wright
Fisher
Approximate
Bayesian
Computational
model
identified
at
14
loci
7
spike,
including
S:448
S:339.
This
detectable
immune-mediated
is
unusual
acute
respiratory
may
be
caused
relatively
narrow
antibody
repertoire
early
Omicron
phase
pandemic.
Fluids,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
9(3), P. 54 - 54
Published: Feb. 22, 2024
COVID-19
is
an
airborne
disease,
with
the
vast
majority
of
infections
occurring
indoors.
In
comparison,
little
transmission
occurs
outdoors.
Here,
we
investigate
pathways
that
differentiate
indoors
from
outdoors
and
conclude
profound
differences
exist,
which
help
to
explain
why
SARS-CoV-2
much
more
prevalent
Near-
far-field
are
discussed
along
factors
affect
infection
risk,
aerosol
concentration,
air
entrainment,
thermal
plumes,
occupancy
duration
all
identified
as
being
influential.
particular,
present
fundamental
equations
underpin
Wells–Riley
model
show
mathematical
relationship
between
inhaled
virus
particles
quanta
infection.
A
simple
also
presented
for
assessing
risk
in
spaces
incomplete
mixing.
Transmission
assessed
terms
concentration
using
1D
equations,
followed
by
a
description
plume–ceiling
interactions.
With
respect
this,
new
experimental
results
Schlieren
visualisation
computational
fluid
dynamics
(CFD)
based
on
Eulerian–Lagrangian
approach.
Pathways
discussed,
key
contribution
exhalation
plumes
evaluated,
presence
near-field/far-field
feedback
loop
postulated,
absent
medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Aug. 24, 2023
ABSTRACT
Background
Prolonged
SARS-CoV-2
infections
in
immunocompromised
hosts
may
predict
or
source
the
emergence
of
highly
mutated
variants.
The
types
immunosuppression
placing
patients
at
highest
risk
for
prolonged
infection
and
associated
intrahost
viral
evolution
remain
unclear.
Methods
Adults
aged
≥18
years
were
enrolled
5
hospitals
followed
from
4/11/2022
–
2/1/2023.
Eligible
SARS-CoV-2-positive
previous
14
days
had
a
moderate
severely
immunocompromising
condition
treatment.
Nasal
specimens
tested
by
rRT-PCR
every
2–4
weeks
until
negative
consecutive
specimens.
Positive
underwent
culture
whole
genome
sequencing.
A
Cox
proportional
hazards
model
was
used
to
assess
factors
with
duration
infection.
Results
We
150
with:
B
cell
malignancy
anti-B
therapy
(n=18),
solid
organ
hematopoietic
stem
transplant
(SOT/HSCT)
(n=59),
AIDS
(n=5),
non-B
(n=23),
autoimmune/autoinflammatory
conditions
(n=45).
Thirty-eight
(25%)
rRT-PCR-positive
12
(8%)
culture-positive
≥21
after
initial
detection
illness
onset.
Patients
dysfunction
longer
rRT-PCR-
positivity
compared
those
(aHR
0.32,
95%
CI
0.15-0.64).
Consensus
(>50%
frequency)
spike
mutations
identified
individuals
who
>56
days;
61%
receptor-binding
domain
(RBD).
Mutations
shared
multiple
rare
(<5%)
global
circulation.
Conclusions
In
this
cohort,
replication-competent
Omicron
uncommon.
Within-host
evolutionary
rates
similar
across
patients,
but
lasting
accumulated
mutations,
which
distinct
seen
globally.
Molecular Biology and Evolution,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
41(1)
Published: Dec. 30, 2023
Abstract
Sequencing
of
viral
infections
has
become
increasingly
common
over
the
last
decade.
Deep
sequencing
data
in
particular
have
proven
useful
characterizing
roles
that
genetic
drift
and
natural
selection
play
shaping
within-host
populations.
They
also
been
used
to
estimate
transmission
bottleneck
sizes
from
identified
donor–recipient
pairs.
These
quantify
number
particles
establish
lineages
recipient
host
are
important
due
their
impact
on
evolution.
Current
approaches
for
estimating
exclusively
consider
subset
sites
observed
as
polymorphic
donor
individual.
However,
these
potential
substantially
underestimate
true
sizes.
Here,
we
present
a
new
statistical
approach
instead
using
patterns
variation
arise
de
novo
within
Specifically,
our
makes
use
clonal
variants
pair,
defined
monomorphic
both
but
carry
different
alleles.
We
first
test
simulated
dataset
then
apply
it
influenza
A
virus
sequence
SARS-CoV-2
Our
results
confirm
existence
extremely
tight
bottlenecks
2
respiratory
viruses.
Covid-19
is
an
airborne
disease,
with
the
vast
majority
of
infections
occurring
indoors.
By
comparison,
little
transmission
occurs
outdoors.
Here,
we
investigate
pathways
that
differentiate
indoors
from
outdoors,
and
conclude
profound
differences
exist,
which
help
to
explain
why
SARS-CoV-2
much
more
prevalent
Near
far-field
are
discussed
along
factors
affect
infection
risk,
aerosol
concentration,
air
entrainment,
thermal
plumes,
occupancy
duration
all
identified
as
being
influential.
In
particular,
present
fundamental
equations
underpin
Wells-Riley
model,
show
mathematical
relationship
between
inhaled
virus
particles
quanta
infection.
A
simple
model
also
presented
for
assessing
risk
in
spaces
incomplete
mixing.
Transmission
assessed
terms
concentration
using
1D
equations,
followed
by
a
description
plume-ceiling
interactions.
With
respect
this,
new
experimental
results
Schlieren-visualisation
Computational
Fluid
Dynamics
(CFD)
based
on
Eulerian-Lagrangian
approach.
Pathways
discussed,
key
contribution
exhalation
plumes
evaluated,
presence
near-field/far-field
feedback
loop
postulated,
absent
Virus Evolution,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
10(1)
Published: Jan. 1, 2024
Despite
a
relatively
low
mutation
rate,
the
large
number
of
severe
acute
respiratory
syndrome
coronavirus
2
(SARS-CoV-2)
infections
has
allowed
for
substantial
genetic
change,
leading
to
multitude
emerging
variants.
Using
recently
determined
rate
(per
site
replication),
as
well
within-host
parameter
estimates
symptomatic
SARS-CoV-2
infection,
we
apply
stochastic
transmission-bottleneck
model
describe
survival
probability
Genome Biology and Evolution,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
15(11)
Published: Nov. 1, 2023
Abstract
The
global
impact
of
severe
acute
respiratory
syndrome
coronavirus
2
(SARS-CoV-2)
has
led
to
considerable
interest
in
detecting
novel
beneficial
mutations
and
other
genomic
changes
that
may
signal
the
development
variants
concern
(VOCs).
ability
accurately
detect
these
within
individual
patient
samples
is
important
enabling
early
detection
VOCs.
Such
scans
for
rarely
acting
positive
selection
are
best
performed
via
comparison
empirical
data
with
simulated
wherein
commonly
evolutionary
factors,
including
mutation
recombination,
reproductive
infection
dynamics,
purifying
background
selection,
can
be
carefully
accounted
parameterized.
Although
there
been
work
quantify
factors
SARS-CoV-2,
they
have
yet
integrated
into
a
baseline
model
describing
intrahost
dynamics.
To
construct
such
model,
we
develop
simulation
framework
enables
one
establish
expectations
underlying
levels
patterns
patient-level
variation.
By
varying
eight
key
parameters,
evaluated
12,096
different
model–parameter
combinations
compared
them
existing
data.
Of
these,
592
models
(∼5%)
were
plausible
based
on
resulting
mean
expected
number
segregating
variants.
These
shared
several
commonalities
shedding
light
SARS-CoV-2
dynamics:
bottlenecks,
low
skew,
distribution
fitness
effects
skewed
toward
strongly
deleterious
mutations.
We
also
describe
areas
uncertainty
highlight
additional
sequence
help
further
refine
model.
This
study
lays
groundwork
improved
analysis
future
within-patient