Understanding how population change is associated with community sociodemographics and economic outcomes across the United States DOI Creative Commons

Jasmina M. Buresch,

Danielle N. Medgyesi,

Jeremy R. Porter

et al.

Frontiers in Human Dynamics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 6

Published: Dec. 11, 2024

This study examines how population change is associated with changes in sociodemographics and economic outcomes across diverse geographic contexts the United States from 2000 to 2020. Using Census Tract-level data generalized additive models (GAMs), we found that communities experiencing growth showed significant improvements socioeconomic indicators: for example, a 50% increase Northeast metropolitan non-coastal areas was $10,062 rise [95% confidence interval (CI) = $9,181, $10,944] median household income. Conversely, decline faced increasing challenges community composition: West coastal saw their age by 2.556 years (95% CI 2.23, 2.89 years), indicating an accelerated aging population. We observed positive relationship between local growth, or slow showing below-average growth. While alone explained 10.1% of variance county-level GDP incorporating sociodemographic shifts alongside using partial least squares regression (PLSR) more than doubled explanatory power 21.4%. Overall, often strength relationships sometimes direction varied context: distinct patterns inland regions, responded differently rural ones. For instance, percentage owner-occupied housing negatively areas, but positively non-metropolitan areas. Our research provides valuable insights policymakers planners working address changes, particularly context anticipated climate-induced migration. The results suggest strategies maintaining vitality need consider not just retention, also demographic profiles opportunities different contexts.

Language: Английский

Flood risk and the built environment: big property data for environmental justice and social vulnerability analysis DOI
Yilei Yu, Aaron B. Flores, Dylan S. Connor

et al.

Population and Environment, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 47(1)

Published: Feb. 26, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Rising Tides, Sinking Approval Rates: Examining SLR Risk and Mortgage Credit Access DOI Open Access
Chengbo Fu,

Qiping Huang,

Meimei Lin

et al.

European Financial Management, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 21, 2025

ABSTRACT We measure sea‐level rise (SLR) risk using two indicators: SLR Impact (whether a census tract would be inundated under 1‐ft SLR) and Exposure (percentage of land SLR). SLR‐impacted areas see 0.36%–1% lower mortgage approval rates, with 10% increase in reducing approvals by 14 basis points. These patterns reflect future expectations rather than past flood or hurricane events. also find higher denial rates regions stronger climate beliefs greater risk. Additionally, SLR‐related denials disproportionately affect minority groups.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Multi-hazard impact assessment of regional rural transport networks for a large eruption of Taranaki Mounga, Aotearoa New Zealand DOI

Jack Lamb,

Heather M. Craig, Kristie-Lee Thomas

et al.

New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 1 - 21

Published: April 6, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Living with and without water: modeling human-infrastructure interactions in disaster preparedness DOI Creative Commons

Utkarsh Gangwal,

Shangjia Dong, Fengyan Shi

et al.

Urban Informatics, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 4(1)

Published: April 8, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Observations reveal changing coastal storm extremes around the United States DOI
Joao Morim, Thomas Wahl, D. J. Rasmussen

et al.

Nature Climate Change, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: April 17, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Capturing cascading consequences is required to reflect risk from climate change and natural hazards DOI Creative Commons

Dixon Thompson,

Diana Glenn,

Laura Trethewey

et al.

Climate Risk Management, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 44, P. 100613 - 100613

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Climate change and natural hazards present a major risk to individuals communities; however, the current quantitative assessment methodologies struggle capture wider consequences that arise from society's complex interconnections. These interconnections exist due number of mutually dependent systems mean impacts on one system can be felt in another. cascading challenge climate assessments. assessments often consider range "wellbeing" or "value" domains; for example, New Zealand five wellbeing domains are Natural Environment, Human, Economic, Built Governance. Existing have sought characterize each domain, but do not quantitatively rigorously interplay between domains. For how does human domain as result built environment? This ensuing could substantially modify assessed risk. The potentially alter prioritization subsequent adaptation plans. In this paper, we show considering only increases magnitude shift prioritization. highlights importance capturing effective change.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Distributional justice and climate risk assessment: An analysis of disparities within direct and indirect risk DOI Creative Commons
Mitchell J. Anderson, Lindsey Conrow, Matthew Hobbs

et al.

Risk Analysis, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Oct. 21, 2024

Abstract Climate change and natural hazard risk assessments often overlook indirect impacts, leading to a limited understanding of the full extent disparities in its distribution across populations. This study investigates distributional justice exploring critical implications for environmental justice, equity, resilience adaptation planning. We employ high‐resolution spatial assessment origin–destination routing analyze coastal flooding sea‐level rise scenarios Aotearoa New Zealand. approach allows both direct impacts (property exposure) (physical isolation from key amenities) on residents. Indirect such as reduced access resources, have significant adverse effects well‐being, social cohesion, community resilience. Including dramatically increases overall population burden, while revealing complex existing inequalities. Our analysis reveals that including but effect inequalities varies. These can be exacerbated or attenuated depending scale location, underscoring need decision‐makers identify these nuanced distributions apply context‐specific frameworks when determining equitable outcomes. findings uncover substantial number previously invisible at‐risk residents—from 61,000 217,000 nationally present‐day event—and expose shift impact toward underserved communities. As risks exacerbate impede climate efforts, adopting an inclusive accounts their [un]equal is imperative effective decision‐making.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Place-Based Conservation in Coastal and Marine Ecosystems: The Importance of Engagement with Underrepresented Communities DOI Open Access
Viniece Jennings, Kelly M. San Antonio, Mike Brown

et al.

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 16(22), P. 9965 - 9965

Published: Nov. 15, 2024

Through the years, research has described importance of community-based approaches in management coastal and marine ecosystems. Coastal issues are multifaceted require place-specific developed partnership with vulnerable communities who impacted by environmental stressors. Place-based conservation, a approach that focuses on unique, characteristics, other similar methods. It considers need to integrate human dimensions location-centered approaches, which often lacking typical natural resource management. Meaningful engagement underrepresented can holistically account for socioeconomic factors cultural knowledge inform best practices. As health ecosystems is linked quality local livelihoods, engaging practitioners these systems support science trust This article discusses research, insight, various examples successful management, culturally relevant advance sustainable place-based conservation.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Observations reveal changing coastal storms around the United States DOI Creative Commons
Joao Morim, Thomas Wahl, D. J. Rasmussen

et al.

Research Square (Research Square), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Nov. 25, 2024

Abstract Understanding extreme storm surge events that threaten low-lying coastal communities is key to effective flood mitigation and adaptation measures. However, estimates of extremes from observations are sparse highly uncertain along most regions owing data limitations. There also lack observational evidence about their long-term (underlying) trends how such contribute overall sea-level changes. Here, we analyze the U.S. tide-gauge network using a spatio-temporal Bayesian hierarchical framework, which provides robust empirical spatially-continuous likelihoods underlying trend since 1950 coastlines. We find have underestimated across over 80% tide gauge locations nationwide. Additionally, contrary prevailing beliefs, show significant within widespread coastlines, providing new changing intensity during historical monitoring period. Regional hotspots exist where comparable to, or even exceed, in mean rise its major individual components. These findings advance traditional design/planning practices rely on obtained discrete assume stationarity extremes.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
FEMA declarations, local risk and cost of borrowing in california DOI
Danielle S. Lazerson, Salman Tahsin

Journal of Economics and Finance, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Dec. 26, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

0