Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks DOI Creative Commons
Tessa Möller, Annika Högner, Carl‐Friedrich Schleussner

et al.

Nature Communications, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(1)

Published: Aug. 1, 2024

Abstract Under current emission trajectories, temporarily overshooting the Paris global warming limit of 1.5 °C is a distinct possibility. Permanently exceeding this would substantially increase probability triggering climate tipping elements. Here, we investigate risks associated with several policy-relevant future scenarios, using stylised Earth system model four interconnected We show that following policies century commit to 45% risk by 2300 (median, 10–90% range: 23–71%), even if temperatures are brought back below °C. find increases every additional 0.1 overshoot above and strongly accelerates for peak 2.0 Achieving maintaining at least net zero greenhouse gas emissions 2100 paramount minimise in long term. Our results underscore stringent reductions decade critical planetary stability.

Language: Английский

Land use change and carbon emissions of a transformation to timber cities DOI Creative Commons
Abhijeet Mishra, Florian Humpenöder, Galina Churkina

et al.

Nature Communications, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 13(1)

Published: Aug. 30, 2022

Abstract Using engineered wood for construction has been discussed climate change mitigation. It remains unclear where and in which way the additional demand wooden material shall be fulfilled. Here we assess global regional impacts of increased on land use associated CO 2 emissions until 2100 using an open-source system model. We show that if 90% new urban population would housed newly built mid-rise buildings with constructions, 106 Gt could saved by 2100. Forest plantations need to expand up 149 Mha harvests from unprotected natural forests increase. Our results indicate expansion timber is possible without major repercussions agricultural production. Strong governance careful planning are required ensure a sustainable transition cities even frontier biodiversity hotspots protected.

Language: Английский

Citations

177

Global fossil fuel reduction pathways under different climate mitigation strategies and ambitions DOI Creative Commons
Ploy Achakulwisut, Peter Erickson, Céline Guivarch

et al.

Nature Communications, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 14(1)

Published: Sept. 13, 2023

The mitigation scenarios database of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Sixth Assessment Report is an important resource for informing policymaking energy transitions. However, there a large variety models, scenario designs, and resulting outputs. Here we analyse consistent with limiting warming to 2 °C or below regarding speed, trajectory, feasibility different fossil fuel reduction pathways. In 1.5 no limited overshoot, global coal, oil, natural gas supply (intended all uses) decline average by 95%, 62%, 42%, respectively, from 2020 2050, but long-term role highly variable. Higher-gas pathways are enabled higher carbon capture storage (CCS) dioxide removal (CDR), likely associated inadequate model representation regional CO2 capacity technology adoption, diffusion, path-dependencies. If CDR constrained limits derived expert consensus, respective modelled reductions become 99%, 70%, 84%. Our findings suggest need adopt unambiguous near- benchmarks in production use alongside other climate targets.

Language: Английский

Citations

171

Projected environmental benefits of replacing beef with microbial protein DOI
Florian Humpenöder, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Isabelle Weindl

et al.

Nature, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 605(7908), P. 90 - 96

Published: May 4, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

157

Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050 DOI Creative Commons
Detlef P. van Vuuren, Caroline Zimm, Sebastian Busch

et al.

One Earth, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 5(2), P. 142 - 156

Published: Feb. 1, 2022

With the establishment of sustainable development goals (SDGs), countries worldwide agreed to a prosperous, socially inclusive, and environmentally future for all. This ambition, however, exposes critical gap in science-based insights, namely on how achieve 17 SDGs simultaneously. Quantitative goal-seeking scenario studies could help explore needed systems' transformations. requires clear definition "target space." The 169 targets 232 indicators used monitoring SDG implementation cannot be this; they are too many, broad, unstructured, sometimes not formulated quantitatively. Here, we propose streamlined set associated target values that quantifiable actionable make analysis meaningful, relevant, simple enough transparent communicable. 36 based SDGs, existing multilateral agreements, literature, expert assessment. They include 2050 as longer-term reference point. space can guide researchers developing new pathways.

Language: Английский

Citations

114

Adaptation of Agriculture to Climate Change: A Scoping Review DOI Open Access
Elena A. Grigorieva, Alexandra Livenets,

Elena Stelmakh

et al.

Climate, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 11(10), P. 202 - 202

Published: Oct. 6, 2023

Since agricultural productivity is weather and climate-related fundamentally depends on climate stability, change poses many diverse challenges to activities. The objective of this study review adaptation strategies interventions in countries around the world proposed for implementation reduce impact development production at various spatial scales. A literature search was conducted June–August 2023 using electronic databases Google Scholar Scientific Electronic Library eLibrary.RU, seeking key words “climate”, “climate change”, “agriculture adaptation”. Sixty-five studies were identified selected review. negative impacts are expressed terms reduced crop yields area, biotic abiotic factors, economic losses, increased labor, equipment costs. Strategies actions that can be emphasized local regional levels are: varieties management, including land use innovative breeding techniques; water soil agronomic practices; farmer training knowledge transfer; national levels: financial schemes, insurance, migration, culture; meteorological services; R&D, early warning systems. Adaptation depend context, region, or country; limiting discussion options measures only one type approach—"top-down” “bottom-up”—may lead unsatisfactory solutions those areas most affected by but with few resources adapt it. Biodiversity-based, “ecologically intensive” agriculture, climate-smart agriculture low-impact strong ecological modernization aiming sustainably increase incomes while addressing interrelated food security. Some taken response may not sufficient even vulnerability change. Future research should focus explore readiness farmers society adopt new constraints they face, as well main factors affecting them, order detect maladaptation before it occurs.

Language: Английский

Citations

102

Enabling Future Closed‐loop Recycling of Spent Lithium‐ion Batteries: Direct Cathode Regeneration DOI Creative Commons
Tingzhou Yang, Dan Luo, Aiping Yu

et al.

Advanced Materials, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 35(36)

Published: April 4, 2023

The rapid proliferation of electric vehicles equipped with lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) presents serious waste management challenges and environmental hazards for recyclers after scrap. Closed-loop recycling contributes to the sustainable development plays an important role in mitigating raw material shortages supply chain risks. Herein, current direct cathode regeneration methods industrialized are outlined evaluated. Different spent materials summarized, which provide a new perspective realizing closed-loop LIBs. A reference route retrofitting existing production lines is proposed minimizes costs. In addition promoting industrialization recycling, environmental, economic, political benefits battery also highlighted.

Language: Английский

Citations

98

Green hydrogen and sustainable development – A social LCA perspective highlighting social hotspots and geopolitical implications of the future hydrogen economy DOI
Malik Sajawal Akhtar, Hafsa Khan, Jay Liu

et al.

Journal of Cleaner Production, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 395, P. 136438 - 136438

Published: Feb. 13, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

97

Advances in technology and utilization of natural resources for achieving carbon neutrality and a sustainable solution to neutral environment DOI
Saleem Raza, Ehsan Ghasali, Muslim Raza

et al.

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 220, P. 115135 - 115135

Published: Dec. 22, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

89

Energy and sustainable development nexus: A review DOI Creative Commons
Xunzhang Pan,

Tianming Shao,

Xinzhu Zheng

et al.

Energy Strategy Reviews, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 47, P. 101078 - 101078

Published: March 16, 2023

As the global trend toward affordable, clean and efficient energy systems continues to accelerate, there is a real need enhance holistic understanding of nexus between sustainable development. Based on bibliometrics, this review collates connects published evidence development nexus, shows that: 1) has been rapid increase in research recent years; 2) methods mainly include network analysis model, econometric input-output system dynamics integrated assessment model; 3) low-carbon, modern potential synergize with all aspects goals. However, also risk trade-offs three-quarters goals, covering human well-being, material condition, natural environment, partnerships; 4) an evolutionary from duality pluralism, static dynamic, theory practice. Future expected systematically assess impact larger cross-systems how could be synergized comprehensive

Language: Английский

Citations

86

Synergy between pollution control and carbon reduction: China's evidence DOI
Junpeng Zhu,

Shaohui Wu,

Junbing Xu

et al.

Energy Economics, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 119, P. 106541 - 106541

Published: Feb. 1, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

75