Community Wellbeing Mediates Drought Adaptation in South African Rangelands DOI Creative Commons
Matt Clark,

Iacopo Tito Gallizioli,

Olivia Crowe

et al.

Research Square (Research Square), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Nov. 21, 2024

Abstract Climate change is triggering a diverse set of adaptive responses from communities across environmental and socioeconomic contexts. In African rangelands, selling livestock critical for responding to changes in local conditions. As these decisions further affect community wellbeing, identifying where, when, how sales are expected respond particular climatic shifts important delineating the total impact climate accordingly. Scattered evidence suggests that wellbeing mediates use cattle response precipitation. However, this has not been quantified as generalizable trend regional scales or within between years. This study examines relationship (measured through standard deprivation index), precipitation, monthly slaughtering South Africa 2015 2022. We find better-off provinces (-1 deviation deprivation), declined 73,296 (90% CI: 38,430–130,709) under highest observed 57,897 30,431–103,378) lowest contrast, worse-off (+ 1 deviation), increased 10,306 5,916–19,753) high 19,966 11,437–38,245) low investigate dynamic using novel disaggregation regression statistical procedure, showing similar standardized effects sizes at 16-km spatial resolution year 2020 producing high-resolution estimates where was most likely given Our findings show poorer more prone precipitation shortages, practice can erode long-term resilience deepen inequalities. general interventions encouraging strategic destocking during favorable conditions maintaining herd health droughts build disadvantaged pastoral areas. Identifying such archetypal patterns guide deliberate implementation support adaptation many social-ecological settings.

Language: Английский

Globally representative evidence on the actual and perceived support for climate action DOI Creative Commons
Peter Andre, Teodora Boneva, Felix Chopra

et al.

Nature Climate Change, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 14(3), P. 253 - 259

Published: Feb. 9, 2024

Abstract Mitigating climate change necessitates global cooperation, yet data on individuals’ willingness to act remain scarce. In this study, we conducted a representative survey across 125 countries, interviewing nearly 130,000 individuals. Our findings reveal widespread support for action. Notably, 69% of the population expresses contribute 1% their personal income, 86% endorse pro-climate social norms and 89% demand intensified political Countries facing heightened vulnerability show particularly high contribute. Despite these encouraging statistics, document that world is in state pluralistic ignorance, wherein individuals around globe systematically underestimate fellow citizens act. This perception gap, combined with showing conditionally cooperative behaviour, poses challenges further Therefore, raising awareness about broad action becomes critically important promoting unified response change.

Language: Английский

Citations

93
Planetary Boundaries guide humanity’s future on Earth DOI Creative Commons
Johan Rockström, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer

et al.

Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 5(11), P. 773 - 788

Published: Nov. 8, 2024

Human pressures have pushed the Earth system deep into Anthropocene, threatening its stability, resilience and functioning. The Planetary Boundaries (PB) framework emerged against these threats, setting safe levels to biophysical systems processes that, with high likelihood, ensure life-supporting Holocene-like conditions. In this Review, we synthesize PB advancements, detailing emergence mainstreaming across scientific disciplines society. nine PBs capture key functions regulating system. operating space has been transgressed for six of these. science is essential prevent further risks sparked new research on precision boundaries. development within planetary boundaries defines sustainable development, informing advances in social sciences. Each translates a finite budget that world must operate within, requiring strengthened global governance. adopted by businesses informed policy world, thinking about fundamental justice concerns, inspired, among other concepts, commons, health doughnut economics. Future work increase frequency analyses, and, together observation data analytics, produce high-resolution real-time state health. Boundary — which provides guardrails maintain humanity received widespread societal interest. This Review outlines thinking, including relevance science, justice, governance, economics sustainability.

Language: Английский

Citations

19
Toward quantification of the feasible potential of land-based carbon dioxide removal DOI Creative Commons
Oliver Perkins, Peter Alexander, Almut Arneth

et al.

One Earth, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 6(12), P. 1638 - 1651

Published: Dec. 1, 2023

Global climate-change overshoot scenarios, where warming exceeds Paris Agreement limits before being brought back down, are highly dependent on land-based carbon dioxide removal (CDR). In the Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), such scenarios supported by optimistic global assessments of technical and economic potential for CDR. However, a further type potential—the "feasible" potential, which includes socio-cultural, environmental, institutional factors—is noted in AR6 but not quantified. Here, we set out research frameworks to work toward quantification this feasible potential. We first argue that quantifying will substantially reduce current assessed CDR Second, demonstrate how transdisciplinary methods improving understanding feasibility constraints Third, explore synthesizing these advances during next IPCC assessment process. conclude community should carefully consider use techno-economic evidence policymakers.

Language: Английский

Citations

18
The mediating role of pro-environmental attitude and intention on the translation from climate change health risk perception to pro-environmental behavior DOI Creative Commons
Tao Shen, Irniza Rasdi,

Nor Eliani Binti Ezani

et al.

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 14(1)

Published: April 29, 2024

Abstract Climate change is a serious environmental issue appearing in China. As public service institution operating around the clock, negative impact of hospitals on environment evident, promoting their workers’ pro-environmental behavior (PEB) through increasing climate health risk perception (CHRP) an effective method to protect and achieve sustainable development. This study investigates how CHRP shapes attitude (PEA), intention (PEI), among hospital workers. Using structural equation modeling (SEM) determine chain causation from PEB The result shows that positively affects PEA PEI, PEI PEB. In addition, although has no significant direct effect PEB, it can play crucial indirect mediating role PEI. Moreover, multiple regression there are differences regarding PEA,

Language: Английский

Citations

7
Harnessing human and machine intelligence for planetary-level climate action DOI Creative Commons
Ramit Debnath, Felix Creutzig, Benjamin K. Sovacool

et al.

npj Climate Action, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 2(1)

Published: Aug. 17, 2023

Abstract The ongoing global race for bigger and better artificial intelligence (AI) systems is expected to have a profound societal environmental impact by altering job markets, disrupting business models, enabling new governance welfare structures that can affect consensus climate action pathways. However, the current AI are trained on biased datasets could destabilize political agencies impacting change mitigation adaptation decisions compromise social stability, potentially leading tipping events. Thus, appropriate design of less system reflects both direct indirect effects societies planetary challenges question paramount importance. In this paper, we tackle data-centric knowledge generation in ways minimize AI. We argue need co-align with an epistemic web health more trustworthy decision-making. A human-in-the-loop be designed align three goals. First, it contribute supports action. Second, directly enable interventions through elements. Finally, reduce data injustices associated pretraining datasets.

Language: Английский

Citations

16
New Potential to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Projections by Combining Physical and Socio‐Economic Constraints DOI Creative Commons
Flavio Lehner, Ed Hawkins, Rowan Sutton

et al.

AGU Advances, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 4(4)

Published: July 18, 2023

Abstract Combining new constraints on future socio‐economic trajectories and the climate system's response to emissions can substantially reduce projection uncertainty currently clouding regional adaptation decisions—more than either constraint individually.

Language: Английский

Citations

15
A Dynamic Network Model of Societal Complexity and Resilience Inspired by Tainter’s Theory of Collapse DOI Creative Commons
Florian Schunck, Marc Wiedermann, Jobst Heitzig

et al.

Entropy, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 26(2), P. 98 - 98

Published: Jan. 23, 2024

In recent years, several global events have severely disrupted economies and social structures, undermining confidence in the resilience of modern societies. Examples include COVID-19 pandemic, which brought unprecedented health challenges economic disruptions, emergence geopolitical tensions conflicts that further strained international relations stability. While empirical evidence on dynamics drivers past societal collapse is mounting, a process-based understanding these still its infancy. Here, we aim to identify illustrate underlying such instability or even collapse. The inspiration for this work Joseph Tainter’s theory “collapse complex societies”, postulates complexity societies increases as they solve problems, leading diminishing returns investments ultimately work, abstract into low-dimensional stylized model two classes networked agents, hereafter referred “laborers” “administrators”. We numerically complexity, measured fraction “administrators”, was assumed affect productivity connected energy-producing “laborers”. show becomes increasingly likely society continuously response external stresses emulate notion problems must solve. also provide an analytical approximation system’s dominant dynamics, matches well with numerical experiments, use it study influence network link density, mobility productivity. Our advances social-ecological illustrates potentially direct ever-increasing shocks via self-reinforcing feedback.

Language: Английский

Citations

5
Determining sustainability using the Environmental Performance Index and Human Development Index – An alternative approach to the Environmental Human Index through a holistic quantitative dynamic framework DOI
Jason Phillips

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 884, P. 163752 - 163752

Published: April 28, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

11
Climate-denying rumor propagation in a coupled socio-climate model: Impact on average global temperature DOI Creative Commons

Athira Satheesh Kumar,

Chris T. Bauch,

Madhur Anand

et al.

PLoS ONE, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 20(1), P. e0317338 - e0317338

Published: Jan. 16, 2025

Individual attitudes vastly affect the transformations we are experiencing and vital in mitigating or intensifying climate change. A socio-climate model by coupling a of rumor dynamics heterogeneous networks to simple Earth System is developed, order analyze how rumors about change impact individuals' opinions when they may choose either believe reject come across over time. Our assumes that individuals experience an increase global temperature, tend not across. The rejectors limit their CO2 emissions reduce temperature. numerical analysis indicates that, time, temperature anomaly becomes less affected variations propagation parameters, having larger groups (having more members) efficient reducing (by efficiently propagating rumors) than numerous small groups. It observed decreasing number individual connections does size rejector population there large numbers messages sent through Mitigation strategies considered highly influential. absence mitigative behavior can cause average 0.5°C. has upper hand controlling change, compared climate-denying propagation.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Enabling people-centric climate action using human-in-the-loop artificial intelligence: a review DOI Creative Commons
Ramit Debnath, Nataliya Tkachenko, Malay Bhattacharyya

et al.

Current Opinion in Behavioral Sciences, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 61, P. 101482 - 101482

Published: Jan. 24, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0