TROVA: TRansport Of water VApor DOI Creative Commons
José C. Fernández‐Alvarez, Albenis Pérez–Alarcón, Raquel Nieto

et al.

SoftwareX, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 20, P. 101228 - 101228

Published: Nov. 4, 2022

The TRansport Of water VApor (TROVA) software, developed in Python and Fortran for the study of moisture sources sinks, is presented here. TROVA includes main Lagrangian methodologies established literature, using outputs from global FLEXible PARTicle dispersion model regional FLEXPART-WRF at different spatial resolutions. will benefit users investigating physics atmosphere fields associated with this branch current future changes source–sink relationships their link mean extreme precipitation.

Language: Английский

Evapotranspiration on a greening Earth DOI
Yuting Yang, Michael L. Roderick, Hui Guo

et al.

Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 4(9), P. 626 - 641

Published: Aug. 22, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

223

Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change DOI Creative Commons
Anjana Devanand, Georgina Falster, Zoe E. Gillett

et al.

Science Advances, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 10(10)

Published: March 6, 2024

We examine the characteristics and causes of southeast Australia's Tinderbox Drought (2017 to 2019) that preceded Black Summer fire disaster. The was characterized by cool season rainfall deficits around -50% in three consecutive years, which exceptionally unlikely context natural variability alone. precipitation were initiated sustained an anomalous atmospheric circulation diverted oceanic moisture away from region, despite traditional indicators drought risk Australia generally being neutral states. Moisture intensified unusually high temperatures, vapor pressure deficits, reductions terrestrial water availability. Anthropogenic forcing 18% with interquartile range 34.9 -13.3% highlighting considerable uncertainty attributing droughts this kind human activity. Skillful predictability possible incorporating multiple remote local predictors through machine learning, providing prospects for improving forecasting droughts.

Language: Английский

Citations

26

Global estimates of the storage and transit time of water through vegetation DOI
Andrew J. Felton, Joshua B. Fisher, Koen Hufkens

et al.

Nature Water, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 9, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

2

The global potential of forest restoration for drought mitigation DOI Creative Commons
Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Joyce Bosmans, Arie Staal

et al.

Environmental Research Letters, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 17(3), P. 034045 - 034045

Published: Feb. 16, 2022

Abstract Forest restoration is increasingly applied as a climate change mitigation measure. Apart from sequestering carbon, the large-scale addition of trees on Earth may enhance global precipitation levels. Here we estimate effects forest potential by estimating its evaporation and simulating downwind effect moisture added to atmosphere. We find that maximum forestation would average increase 0.6 mm d −1 two-thirds additional rain out over land, especially during growing season. Next, excluding natural grasslands prioritizing enhancement above areas are projected become drier due change, establish where have greatest benefits. Our results thus provide first step towards programs double climate-change efforts.

Language: Английский

Citations

46

Targeted rainfall enhancement as an objective of forestation DOI Open Access
Arie Staal, Jolanda Theeuwen, Lan Wang‐Erlandsson

et al.

Global Change Biology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 30(1)

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Abstract Forestation efforts are accelerating across the globe in fight against global climate change, order to restore biodiversity, and improve local livelihoods. Yet, so far non‐local effects of forestation on rainfall have largely remained a blind spot. Here we build upon emerging work propose that targeted enhancement may also be considered prioritization forestation. We show tools achieve this rapidly becoming available, but identify drawbacks discuss which further developments still needed realize robust assessments face change. programs then mitigate not only change itself its adverse form drying.

Language: Английский

Citations

14

Unravelling the origin of the atmospheric moisture deficit that leads to droughts DOI Creative Commons
Luis Gimeno‐Sotelo, Rogert Sorí, Raquel Nieto

et al.

Nature Water, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 2(3), P. 242 - 253

Published: Feb. 6, 2024

Abstract Drought is one of the most catastrophic natural hazards, and precipitation plays a major role in development intensification drought events. The amount resulting from humidity transported given moisture source can be key revealing origin atmospheric deficit underlying occurrence. Here this study demonstrates, for first time, predominant transport genesis. In land areas, estimated conditional probability an equivalent received either ocean or continents higher than 10%. This over 15% regions where main mechanisms are active 20% some hotspot regions, such as central-east North America, south-east South America east Europe, lower incoming almost synonymous with Our results indicated that contribution dominant to region could improve predictability droughts, enormous hydrological, socioeconomic environmental implications.

Language: Английский

Citations

14

Process‐Based Intercomparison of Water Isotope‐Enabled Models and Reanalysis Nudging Effects DOI Creative Commons
Hayoung Bong, Alexandre Cauquoin, Atsushi Okazaki

et al.

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 129(1)

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Abstract The products from the Stable Water Isotope Intercomparison Group, Phase 2, are currently used for numerous studies, allowing water isotope model‐data comparisons with various isotope‐enabled atmospheric general circulation model (AGCMs) outputs. However, simulations under this framework were performed using different parameterizations and forcings. Therefore, a uniform experimental design state‐of‐the‐art AGCMs is required to interpret observations rigorously. Here, we evaluate outputs three numerical models nudged by reanalysis investigate ability of reproduce spatial temporal patterns isotopic composition observed at surface in airborne water. Through correlation analyses scales, found that model's performance depends on or use, compare, vertical levels select. Moreover, employed stable mass balance method conduct decomposition ratio changes atmosphere. Our goal was elucidate spread simulated column δ 18 O, which influenced factors such as evaporation, precipitation, horizontal moisture flux. Satisfying law conservation isotopes, budget expected explain fractionation phenomena meteorological climatic events. It also aims highlight spreads modeled results among experiments multiple reanalyses, primarily dominated uncertainties flux respectively.

Language: Английский

Citations

11

Regional differences in the effects of atmospheric moisture residence time on precipitation isotopes over Eurasia DOI

Qinqin Wang,

Yuwei Liu, Guofeng Zhu

et al.

Atmospheric Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 107813 - 107813

Published: Nov. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

11

Projected changes in moisture sources and sinks affecting the US East Coast and the Caribbean Sea DOI Open Access
Jorge Eiras‐Barca, José C. Fernández‐Alvarez,

Gleisis Alvarez‐Socorro

et al.

Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 29, 2025

Abstract This study uses a combination of the FLEXPART Lagrangian dispersion model with Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale Eulerian (FLEXPART‐WRF) to analyze expected mid‐ late‐century changes in moisture sources sinks North American East Coast (ENA) Gulf Mexico (GM), as well their most relevant abrupt transport events–atmospheric rivers (ARs) low‐level jets Great Plains (GPLLJ) Caribbean (CLLJ). Both ENA GM are increase importance source regions over century, both overall contributions ARs LLJs. A notable intensity GPLLJ CLLJ is also observed. All these behaviors neither spatially nor temporally homogeneous need be analyzed seasonal context. Likewise, signs change practically all observed by end century. Other noteworthy observed, including an humidity associated landfalling atmospheric river events winter months, or latitudinal shift CLLJ's area influence. These findings best understood within context continental precipitation sea surface temperature.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Global terrestrial moisture recycling in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways DOI Creative Commons
Arie Staal,

Pim Meijer,

Maganizo Kruger Nyasulu

et al.

Earth System Dynamics, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 16(1), P. 215 - 238

Published: Jan. 30, 2025

Abstract. Many areas across the globe rely for their precipitation supply on terrestrial recycling, which is amount of that has evaporated from upwind land areas. Global warming and land-use changes may affect future patterns but where to extent remains unclear. To study how global recycling change until end 21st century, we present a new forward-tracking version three-dimensional atmospheric moisture-tracking model UTrack forced by output Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM2). We simulate in four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) are internally consistent combinations climate scenarios used sixth phase Coupled Intercomparison Project. The range mild severe, namely SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5. compare results middle century (2050–2059) (2090–2099) with 2015–2024 baseline. also calculate basin 26 major river basins world. find ratio decreases severity SSPs estimate decrease this 1.5 % every degree warming. However, differences among regions trends whether projected drying or wetting mainly contributed ocean. Our give critical insight into relative contributions over course century. In addition, our paves way more detailed regional studies moisture recycling.

Language: Английский

Citations

1