Global Change Biology,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
30(1)
Published: Jan. 1, 2024
Abstract
Understanding
the
determinants
of
range
expansion
invasive
alien
species
is
crucial
for
developing
effective
prevention
and
control
strategies.
Nevertheless,
we
still
lack
a
global
picture
potential
factors
influencing
invaded
across
taxonomic
groups,
especially
world's
worst
invaders
with
high
ecological
economic
impacts.
Here,
by
extensively
collecting
data
on
363
distributional
ranges
19
terrestrial
vertebrates
135
administrative
jurisdictions,
observed
remarkable
variations
in
groups.
After
controlling
geographic
pseudoreplicates,
model
averaging
analyses
based
generalized
additive
mixed‐effect
models
showed
that
regions
having
climates
more
similar
to
those
their
native
tended
undergo
larger
expansion.
In
addition,
as
proxies
propagule
pressure
human‐assisted
transportation,
number
introduction
events
road
network
density
were
also
important
predictors
facilitating
Further
variance
partitioning
validated
predominant
role
climate
match
explaining
Our
study
demonstrated
could
be
prioritized
prevent
spread
under
sustained
change.
Annual Review of Plant Biology,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
74(1), P. 635 - 670
Published: Feb. 8, 2023
Plant
invasions,
a
byproduct
of
globalization,
are
increasing
worldwide.
Because
their
ecological
and
economic
impacts,
considerable
efforts
have
been
made
to
understand
predict
the
success
non-native
plants.
Numerous
frameworks,
hypotheses,
theories
advanced
conceptualize
interactions
multiple
drivers
context
dependence
invasion
with
aim
achieving
robust
explanations
predictive
power.
We
review
these
from
community-level
perspective
rather
than
biogeographical
one,
focusing
on
terrestrial
systems,
explore
roles
intrinsic
plant
properties
in
determining
species
invasiveness,
as
well
effects
biotic
abiotic
conditions
mediating
ecosystem
invasibility
(or
resistance)
evolutionary
processes.
also
consider
fundamental
influences
human-induced
changes
at
scales
ranging
local
global
triggering,
promoting,
sustaining
invasions
discuss
how
could
alter
future
trajectories.
Global Change Biology,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
30(1)
Published: Jan. 1, 2024
Abstract
Climate
change
may
be
an
important
threat
to
global
biodiversity,
potentially
leading
the
extinction
of
numerous
species.
But
how
many?
There
have
been
various
attempts
answer
this
question,
sometimes
yielding
strikingly
different
estimates.
Here,
we
review
these
estimates,
assess
their
disagreements
and
methodology,
explore
might
reach
better
Large‐scale
studies
estimated
~1%
sampled
species
up
~70%,
even
when
using
same
approach
(species
distribution
models;
SDMs).
Nevertheless,
worst‐case
estimates
often
converge
near
20%–30%
loss,
many
differences
shrink
similar
assumptions.
We
perform
a
new
recent
SDM
studies,
which
show
~17%
loss
climate
under
scenarios.
However,
shows
that
are
biased
by
excluding
most
vulnerable
(those
known
from
few
localities),
lead
underestimating
loss.
Conversely,
our
analyses
responses
fundamental
assumption
species'
climatic
niches
do
not
over
time,
frequently
violated.
For
example,
find
mean
rates
positive
thermal
niche
across
~0.02°C/year.
Yet,
still
slower
than
projected
~3–4
fold.
Finally,
levels
can
combining
group‐specific
with
projections
richness
(including
cryptic
insect
species).
These
preliminary
tentatively
forecast
climate‐related
14%–32%
macroscopic
in
next
~50
years,
including
3–6
million
(or
more)
animal
plant
species,
intermediate
Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
55(1), P. 23 - 40
Published: June 17, 2024
There
is
broad
concern
that
the
range
shifts
of
global
flora
and
fauna
will
not
keep
up
with
climate
change,
increasing
likelihood
population
declines
extinctions.
Many
populations
nonnative
species
already
have
advantages
over
native
species,
including
widespread
human-aided
dispersal
release
from
natural
enemies.
But
do
also
an
advantage
change?
Here,
we
review
observed
potential
for
globally.
We
show
are
expanding
their
ranges
orders
magnitude
faster
than
reflecting
both
traits
enable
rapid
spread
ongoing
human-mediated
introduction.
further
large
expansions
likely
due
to
a
combination
introduction
broader
climatic
tolerances.
With
rates
larger
persist
or
expand,
decided
in
changing
climate.
Frontiers in Agronomy,
Journal Year:
2021,
Volume and Issue:
3
Published: April 7, 2021
Although
evolution
has
been
often
seen
as
a
gradual
process
through
Darwinian
lens,
far
more
rapid
evolutionary
change
observed
in
recent
times.
Recent
examples
documenting
the
potential
speed
of
invasive
plant
have
included:
latitudinal
flowering
clines,
life
history
shifts,
or
abrupt
changes
morphology.
The
timescales
for
such
observations
range
from
centuries
down
to
<5
years.
Invasive
weeds
provide
good
models
changes,
partly
because
exhibit
unique
mechanisms
integral
their
success.
For
example,
purging
genetic
load
may
enable
plants
adapt
rapidly.
Other
include
plasticity
an
evolved
trait,
hybridization,
polyploidy,
epigenetics,
and
clonal
division
labor.
It
is
well-demonstrated
that
anthropogenic
stressors
habitat
disturbance
herbicide
use
work
synergistically
with
climate
fostering
weed
evolution.
Changing
temperatures,
moisture
regimes
extreme
events
operate
universally,
but
species
are
generally
better
equipped
than
native
adapt.
Research
on
this
critical
developing
proactive
management
approaches
anticipate
new
ecotypes
adapted
changing
climatic
conditions.
Ecology,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
103(8)
Published: April 7, 2022
Species
distribution
models
(SDMs)
have
been
widely
applied
to
predict
geographic
ranges
of
species
across
space
and
time
under
the
assumption
niche
conservatism
(i.e.,
niches
change
very
slowly).
However,
an
increasing
number
studies
reported
evidence
rapid
changes
time,
which
has
sparked
a
widespread
debate
on
whether
SDMs
can
be
transferred
new
areas
or
periods.
Understanding
how
affect
SDM
transferability
is
thus
crucial
for
future
application
improvement
SDMs.
Biological
invasions
provide
opportunity
address
this
question
due
geographically
independent
distributions
diverse
patterns
between
species'
native
introduced
ranges.
Here,
we
synthesized
findings
217
from
50
elucidate
effects
spatial
When
was
considered
as
categorical
classification
(conserved
vs.
shifted
niches)
in
tests
hypothesis,
markedly
lower
with
their
range.
measured
numerical
dynamics
niches,
high
occupying
similar
environmental
conditions
both
low
more
remaining
unoccupied
Surprisingly,
presence
points
used
developing
turned
out
even
stronger
effect
transferability.
Our
results
reveal
detrimental
lack
It
necessary
consider
data
quality
improving
SDMs,
so
that
they
better
support
conservation
management
policy
decisions.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
120(7)
Published: Feb. 6, 2023
Plants
will
experience
considerable
changes
in
climate
within
their
geographic
ranges
over
the
next
several
decades.
They
may
respond
by
exhibiting
niche
flexibility
and
adapting
to
changing
climates.
Alternatively,
plant
taxa
exhibit
fidelity,
shifting
distributions
track
preferred
Here,
we
examine
responses
of
climates
past
18,000
y
evaluate
extent
which
16
dominant
North
America
have
exhibited
fidelity.
We
find
that
75%
consistently
fidelity
y,
even
during
times
most
extreme
change.
Of
four
do
not
three—elm
(
Ulmus
),
beech
Fagus
ash
Fraxinus
)—experience
a
long-term
shift
realized
climatic
between
early
Holocene
present
day.
Plant
migrate
longer
distances
better
maintain
consistent
niches
across
transition
periods
Today,
communities
with
highest
are
found
regions
high
topographic
microclimate
heterogeneity
expected
resilience,
allowing
plants
locally
adjust
some
amount
However,
once
change
buffering
region
is
exceeded,
these
need
broader
landscapes
but
be
challenged
so
because
low
habitat
connectivity
regions.
NeoBiota,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
82, P. 23 - 56
Published: Feb. 2, 2023
Northern
Eurasia
is
extensive
and
includes
terrestrial
aquatic
ecosystems
that
cover
several
natural
zones
access
to
the
seas
of
three
oceans.
As
a
result,
it
has
been
invaded
by
numerous
invasive
alien
species
(IAS)
over
large
temporal
spatial
scales.
The
purpose
this
research
was
assess
invasion
trends
construct
distribution
models
for
Russian
TOP-100
most
dangerous
IAS.
Environmentally
suitable
regions
IAS
were
established
based
on
attribute
databases,
datasets
169,709
occurrence
records
(SOR)
raster
layers
environmental
variables
using
modelling
(MaxEnt).
objectives
(1)
create
databases
SOR
in
Russia;
2)
determine
pathways,
residence
time,
donor
invasions;
(3)
main
types
distributions
their
relation
time;
(4)
distinguish
with
highest
richness
have
strong
impact
Russia.
We
found
although
invasions
date
back
400
years,
number
naturalized
increased
non-linearly
past
76
years.
list
mainly
represented
unintentionally
introduced
(62%)
which
are
characterized
different
introduction
pathways.
Species
revealed
56
distributed
locally,
26
regionally
18
widespread
local,
regional
or
times
55,
126
190
respectively.
local
can
expand
range
into
more
extensively
(expected
increase
32%)
than
only
7%).
procedure
identifying
hot/cold
spots
locations
allowed
us
identify
Our
results
integrated
database
we
created
provide
framework
studying
scales
be
used
development
management
plans