Predicting the habitat suitability and niche dynamics of two Ziziphus species in response to climate change DOI Open Access

Saeed Behzadi,

Gholamabbas Ghanbarian, Rasoul Khosravi

et al.

Authorea (Authorea), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: March 18, 2024

Climate change, a global threat of utmost significance, has the potential to trigger shifts in biodiversity distribution and emergence novel ecological communities. For species with limited dispersal abilities or geographical barriers within their range, niche conservatism can further constrain ability colonize thrive future suitable habitats, rendering them more vulnerable effects climate change. In this study, an ensemble modeling framework climatic dynamics analysis were employed forecast impact change on dimensions transferability two indicator species, namely, Ziziphus spina-christi nummularia, Iran. Our revealed that, under optimistic pessimistic scenarios, habitat suitability for Z. will expand during 2041-2070 2071-2100, predominantly towards higher latitudes. contrast, nummularia is anticipated experience general decline same periods resulting loss portions its southern range. examination unveiled relatively low observed overlap between species. Randomization tests underscored adherence these historical niches, suggesting challenges adapting changing conditions. The integration predictive models indicates that may encounter difficulties migrating tracked niches distant habitats due preserved niches. Given high sensitivity arid ecosystems environmental disturbances slow recovery rates, repercussions land are indeed profound irrevocable. Conservation management measures, including identifying priority areas creating artificial crucial protect species’ habitats.The study’s conclusions valuable conservation authorities, local stakeholders, individuals dedicated preserving study area.

Language: Английский

Plants maintain climate fidelity in the face of dynamic climate change DOI Creative Commons
Yue Wang, Silvia Pineda‐Munoz, Jenny L. McGuire

et al.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 120(7)

Published: Feb. 6, 2023

Plants will experience considerable changes in climate within their geographic ranges over the next several decades. They may respond by exhibiting niche flexibility and adapting to changing climates. Alternatively, plant taxa exhibit fidelity, shifting distributions track preferred Here, we examine responses of climates past 18,000 y evaluate extent which 16 dominant North America have exhibited fidelity. We find that 75% consistently fidelity y, even during times most extreme change. Of four do not three—elm ( Ulmus ), beech Fagus ash Fraxinus )—experience a long-term shift realized climatic between early Holocene present day. Plant migrate longer distances better maintain consistent niches across transition periods Today, communities with highest are found regions high topographic microclimate heterogeneity expected resilience, allowing plants locally adjust some amount However, once change buffering region is exceeded, these need broader landscapes but be challenged so because low habitat connectivity regions.

Language: Английский

Citations

28

The rise of baobab trees in Madagascar DOI Creative Commons
Jun‐Nan Wan, Shengwei Wang, Andrew R. Leitch

et al.

Nature, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 629(8014), P. 1091 - 1099

Published: May 15, 2024

The baobab trees (genus Adansonia) have attracted tremendous attention because of their striking shape and distinctive relationships with fauna

Language: Английский

Citations

8

The past as a lens for biodiversity conservation on a dynamically changing planet DOI Creative Commons
Jenny L. McGuire, A. Michelle Lawing, Sandra Dı́az

et al.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 120(7)

Published: Feb. 6, 2023

Microbial communities are found throughout the biosphere, from human guts to glaciers, soil activated sludge. Understanding statistical properties of such diverse can pave way elucidate common mechanisms ...Multiple ecological forces act together shape composition microbial communities. Phyloecology approaches—which combine phylogenetic relationships between species with community ecology—have potential disentangle but often ...

Language: Английский

Citations

16

Global research priorities for historical ecology to inform conservation DOI Creative Commons
Loren McClenachan, Torben C. Rick,

RH Thurstan

et al.

Endangered Species Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 54, P. 285 - 310

Published: May 14, 2024

Historical ecology draws on a broad range of information sources and methods to provide insight into ecological social change, especially over the past ∼12000 yr. While its results are often relevant conservation restoration, insights from diverse disciplines, environments, geographies have frequently remained siloed or underrepresented, restricting their full potential. Here, scholars practitioners working in marine, freshwater, terrestrial environments 6 continents various archipelagoes synthesize knowledge fields history, anthropology, paleontology, with goal describing global research priorities for historical influence conservation. We used structured decision-making process identify address questions 4 key priority areas: (1) concepts, (2) co-production community engagement, (3) policy management, (4) climate change impacts. This work highlights ways that has developed matured use novel sources, efforts move beyond extractive practices toward co-production, application management challenges including change. demonstrate this field brought together researchers across connected academics practitioners, engaged communities create apply our shared future.

Language: Английский

Citations

5

Animal-mediated plant niche tracking in a changing climate DOI Creative Commons
Tristan A. Nuñez, Laura R. Prugh,

Janneke Hille Ris Lambers

et al.

Trends in Ecology & Evolution, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 38(7), P. 654 - 665

Published: March 15, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

12

Tropical Trees Will Need to Acclimate to Rising Temperatures—But Can They? DOI Creative Commons
Kenneth J. Feeley, Manuel Bernal‐Escobar, Riley P. Fortier

et al.

Plants, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 12(17), P. 3142 - 3142

Published: Aug. 31, 2023

For tropical forests to survive anthropogenic global warming, trees will need avoid rising temperatures through range shifts and “species migrations” or tolerate the newly emerging conditions adaptation and/or acclimation. In this literature review, we synthesize available knowledge show that although many tree species are shifting their distributions higher, cooler elevations, rates of these migrations too slow offset ongoing changes in temperatures, especially lowland rainforests where thermal gradients shallow nonexistent. We also rapidity severity warming make it unlikely can adapt (with some possible exceptions). argue best hope for becoming “committed extinction” is individual-level Although several new methods being used test acclimation, unfortunately still do not know if acclimate, how acclimation abilities vary between species, what factors may prevent facilitate Until all questions answered, our ability predict fate forests—and services they provide humanity—remains critically impaired.

Language: Английский

Citations

11

Investigating odonates' response to climate change in Great Britain: A tale of two strategies DOI Creative Commons
Daisy O'Neill, Len Shaffrey, Jessica Neumann

et al.

Diversity and Distributions, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 30(4)

Published: Feb. 7, 2024

Abstract Aim Species are largely thought to maintain broadly static niches over time, an assumption underpinning much theoretical ecology including the implementation of ecological models project species' current and future distributions. Here, we assess niche conservatism in odonates Great Britain past six decades by simultaneously quantifying changes species geographic distribution evaluating temporal trends realised climatic niche. Location Britain. Methods Distributional were assessed calculating centres deriving occupancy trends. Changes using a principal component analysis quantify overlap, information on both climate averages extremes. Results We show that dragonflies damselflies displayed distinct responses changing conditions. Dragonflies shifting higher latitudes maintained, average, greater consistency their niches, providing evidence for tracking. Greater flexibility increased other hand, more common damselflies. Main Conclusions unveil divergence national scale, casting doubt relevance predicting impacts change this, potentially other, groups species. More broadly, our results call multi‐species comparisons spatial distributions during recent periods conditions improve ability contrast vulnerability risk ongoing crisis.

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Paleobiogeographic insights gained from ecological niche models: progress and continued challenges DOI Creative Commons
Jessica L. Blois, André M. Bellvé, Marta A. Jarzyna

et al.

Paleobiology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 1 - 21

Published: March 11, 2025

Abstract The spatial distribution of individuals within ecological assemblages and their associated traits behaviors are key determinants ecosystem structure function. Consequently, determining the species, how distributions influence patterns species richness across ecosystems today in past, helps us understand what factors act as fundamental controls on biodiversity. Here, we explore niche modeling has contributed to understanding spatiotemporal past biodiversity evolutionary processes. We first perform a semiquantitative literature review capture studies that applied models (ENMs) identifying 668 studies. coded each study according focal taxonomic group, whether used fossil evidence, it relied evidence or methods addition ENMs, scale study, temporal intervals included ENMs. trends publication categories anchor discussion recent technical advances modeling, focusing paleobiogeographic ENM applications. then explored contributions ENMs paleobiogeography, with particular focus examining drivers range dynamics; phylogeography within-lineage macroevolutionary processes, including change, speciation, extinction; community assembly; conservation paleobiogeography. Overall, powerful tools for elucidating patterns. most commonly Quaternary dynamics, but an increasing number use gain important insight into both processes pre-Quaternary times. Deeper integration phylogenies may further extend those insights.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Decoding endosperm endophytes in Pinus armandi: a crucial indicator for host response to climate change DOI Creative Commons
Wendi Zhang, Yanyan Liu, Manman Li

et al.

BMC Microbiology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 25(1)

Published: April 23, 2025

Plant-associated microorganisms significantly contribute to plant survival in diverse environments. However, limited information is available regarding the involvement of endophytes responding climate change and their potential enhance host plants' adaptation future environmental shifts. Pinus armandi, endemic China widely distributed climate-sensitive regions, serves as an ideal subject for investigating microbiome interactions that assist plants response. Despite this, a comprehensive understanding diversity, community composition, factors influencing endosperm P. well response these change, remains elusive. In this study, transcriptome data from 55 armandi samples 13 populations were analyzed evaluate composition diversity active predict change. The results revealed variations phylogenetic interaction network between northern southern groups. Temperature precipitation correlated with endophytic species richness diversity. Under projected conditions, group exhibits greater genomic vulnerability anticipates increased threats, reflecting corresponding trend endophytes, particularly within Ascomycota community. consistent threat impacting both hosts emphasizes importance host-related fungi crucial indicators predicting impacts. Meanwhile, study establishes initial framework exploring host-microbial context warming provides valuable insights studies related protection.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Deterministic responses of biodiversity to climate change through exotic species invasions DOI Creative Commons
Pengdong Chen, Changchao Shen, Zhibin Tao

et al.

Nature Plants, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Sept. 18, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

3