Observational Constraints Suggest a Smaller Effective Radiative Forcing from Aerosol-Cloud Interactions DOI Creative Commons
Chanyoung Park, Brian J. Soden, Ryan J. Kramer

et al.

Published: Sept. 3, 2024

Abstract. The effective radiative forcing due to aerosol-cloud interactions (ERFaci) is difficult quantify, leading large uncertainties in model projections of historical and climate sensitivity. In this study, satellite observations reanalysis data are used examine the low-level cloud responses aerosols. While some studies it assumed that activation rate droplet number concentration (Nd) response variations sulfate aerosols (SO4) or aerosol index (AI) has a one-to-one relationship estimation ERFaci, we find assumption be incorrect, demonstrate explicitly accounting for crucial accurate ERFaci estimation. This corroborated through “perfect-model” cross validation using state-of-the-art models, which compares our estimates with “true” ERFaci. Our results suggest smaller less uncertain value global than previous (-0.39 ± 0.29 W m-2 SO4 -0.24 0.18 AI, 90 % confidence), indicating may impactful previously thought. also consistent observationally constrained total feedback “top-down” models weaker better match observed hemispheric warming asymmetry over period.

Language: Английский

Large‐Scale Tropical Circulation Intensification by Aerosol Effects on Clouds DOI Creative Commons
Guy Dagan

Geophysical Research Letters, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 51(7)

Published: April 9, 2024

Abstract This study addresses a critical gap in understanding anthropogenic influences on tropical climate dynamics by investigating the impact of aerosol‐cloud interactions large‐scale circulation. Despite extensive research greenhouse gas‐induced warming and its effects circulation, aerosols, particularly their with clouds, circulation remains understudied. Utilizing large‐domain radiative convective equilibrium cloud‐resolving simulations, this demonstrates that increasing aerosol concentration intensifies overturning evaluated at mid‐troposphere , strongly correlating domain mean cloud properties. Employing weak temperature gradient approximation, I attribute variations to changes clear‐sky cooling rather than stability. These are linked humidity driven warm rain suppression aerosols. study's findings underscore need take into account microphysical changes, concentrations, when studying

Language: Английский

Citations

2

Improving prediction of marine low clouds using cloud droplet number concentration in a convolutional neural network DOI
Yang Cao, Yannian Zhu, Minghuai Wang

et al.

Authorea (Authorea), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: July 17, 2024

Marine low clouds significantly cool the climate, but predicting these remains challenging: response of to various factors is highly non-linear. Previous studies usually overlook effects cloud droplet number concentration (Nd) and non-local information target grids. To address challenges, we introduce a convolutional neural network model (CNNMet-Nd) that uses both local includes Nd as cloud-controlling factor enhance predictive ability cover, albedo, radiative (CRE) for global marine clouds. CNNMet-Nd demonstrates superior performance, explaining over 70% variance in three variables instantaneous scenes 1°×1°, notable improvement past efforts. also accurately replicates geographical patterns trends from 2003 2022. In contrast, similar without input (CNNMet) fails predict mean properties effectively, underscoring critical role Nd. Further comparisons with an artificial (ANNMet-Nd) model, which same inputs considering spatial dependence, show CNNMet-Nd's performance R2 values CRE being 0.16, 0.11, 0.18 higher, respectively. This highlights importance incorporating into predictions climate parameterizations.

Language: Английский

Citations

2

Pollution slightly enhances atmospheric cooling by low-level clouds in tropical West Africa DOI Creative Commons

Valerian Hahn,

R. Meerkötter, Christiane Voigt

et al.

Atmospheric chemistry and physics, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 23(15), P. 8515 - 8530

Published: Aug. 1, 2023

Abstract. Reflection of solar radiation by tropical low-level clouds has an important cooling effect on climate and leads to decreases in surface temperatures. Still, the pollution ubiquitous continental investigation related impact atmospheric rates are poorly constrained situ observations modeling, particular during West African summer monsoon season. Here, we present comprehensive measurements microphysical properties over Africa, measured with Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR) aircraft Falcon 20 DACCIWA (Dynamics–Aerosol–Chemistry–Cloud Interactions Africa) campaign June July 2016. Clouds below 1800 m altitude, identified as boundary layer clouds, were classified according their carbon monoxide (CO) level into pristine less polluted (CO < 135 ppbv) > 155 confirmed linear CO accumulation aerosol number concentration correlation. Whereas slightly enhanced background levels from biomass burning across entire area, substantially outflow major coastal cities, well rural conurbations hinterlands. Here investigate cloud droplet size Our results show that (CDNC) range 3 50 µm around noon increases 26 % elevated cities loadings median CDNC 240 cm−3 (52 501 interquartile range) 324 (60 740 range). Higher resulted a 17 decrease effective diameter deff 14.8 12.4 clouds. Radiative transfer simulations non-negligible influence higher concentrations smaller particle sizes diurnally averaged (noon) net radiative forcing at top atmosphere −3.9 W m−2 (−16.3 m−2) respect lead change instantaneous heating −22.8 K d−1 (−17.7 d−1) Thus, only case due already concentrations. Additionally, occurrence mid- high-level layers atop buffer this further, so rate turn out be sensitive towards projected future anthropogenic Africa.

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Investigating the sign of stratocumulus adjustments to aerosols in the ICON global storm-resolving model DOI Creative Commons
Emilie Fons, Ann Kristin Naumann, David Neubauer

et al.

Atmospheric chemistry and physics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 24(15), P. 8653 - 8675

Published: Aug. 6, 2024

Abstract. Aerosols can cause brightening of stratocumulus clouds, thereby cooling the climate. Observations and models disagree on magnitude this cooling, partly because aerosol-induced liquid water path (LWP) adjustment, with climate predicting an increase in LWP satellites observing a weak decrease response to increasing aerosols. With higher-resolution global models, which allow simulation mesoscale circulations clouds are embedded, there is hope start bridging gap. In study, we present boreal summertime simulations conducted ICOsahedral Non-hydrostatic (ICON) storm-resolving model (GSRM). Compared geostationary satellite data, ICON produces realistic cloud coverage regions; however, these look cumuliform, sign adjustments disagrees observations. We investigate disagreement causal approach, combines time series knowledge processes, allowing us diagnose sources observation–model discrepancies. The positive adjustment results from superposition overestimated due (1) precipitation suppression, (2) lack wet scavenging, (3) deepening under inversion, despite (4) small negative influences cloud-top entrainment enhancement. also find that suppression enhancement occur at different intensities during day night, implying daytime studies suffer selection bias. This methodology guide modelers how modify parameterizations setups reconcile conflicting concerning across data sources.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Observational Constraints Suggest a Smaller Effective Radiative Forcing from Aerosol-Cloud Interactions DOI Creative Commons
Chanyoung Park, Brian J. Soden, Ryan J. Kramer

et al.

Published: Sept. 3, 2024

Abstract. The effective radiative forcing due to aerosol-cloud interactions (ERFaci) is difficult quantify, leading large uncertainties in model projections of historical and climate sensitivity. In this study, satellite observations reanalysis data are used examine the low-level cloud responses aerosols. While some studies it assumed that activation rate droplet number concentration (Nd) response variations sulfate aerosols (SO4) or aerosol index (AI) has a one-to-one relationship estimation ERFaci, we find assumption be incorrect, demonstrate explicitly accounting for crucial accurate ERFaci estimation. This corroborated through “perfect-model” cross validation using state-of-the-art models, which compares our estimates with “true” ERFaci. Our results suggest smaller less uncertain value global than previous (-0.39 ± 0.29 W m-2 SO4 -0.24 0.18 AI, 90 % confidence), indicating may impactful previously thought. also consistent observationally constrained total feedback “top-down” models weaker better match observed hemispheric warming asymmetry over period.

Language: Английский

Citations

1