
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 8(1)
Published: April 23, 2025
Language: Английский
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 8(1)
Published: April 23, 2025
Language: Английский
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 105396 - 105396
Published: March 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
0Fire, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 8(3), P. 113 - 113
Published: March 15, 2025
Wildfires pose severe threats to terrestrial ecosystems by causing loss of biodiversity, altering landscapes, compromising ecosystem services, and endangering human lives infrastructure. Chile, with its diverse geography climate, faces escalating wildfire frequency intensity due climate change. This study employs a spatial machine learning approach using Random Forest algorithm predict risk in Central Southern Chile under current future climatic scenarios. The model was trained on time series dataset incorporating climatic, land use, physiographic variables, burned-area scars as the response variable. By applying this three projected scenarios, forecasts distribution probabilities for multiple periods. model’s performance high, achieving an Area Under Curve (AUC) 0.91 testing 0.87 validation. accuracy, True Positive Rate (TPR), Negative (TNR) values were 0.80, 0.87, 0.73, respectively. Currently, prediction Mediterranean-type areas central Araucanía are most at risk, particularly agricultural zones rural–urban interfaces. However, projections indicate southward expansion overall increase scenarios become more pessimistic. These findings offer framework policymakers, facilitating evidence-based strategies adaptive management effective mitigation risk.
Language: Английский
Citations
0Communications Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 6(1)
Published: March 21, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
0Environmental Science Processes & Impacts, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
Wildfire pyrolysis generates pyrogenic carbon having different physicochemical properties than commercial pyrolysis.
Language: Английский
Citations
0npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 8(1)
Published: April 23, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
0