
EarthArXiv (California Digital Library), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown
Published: Aug. 2, 2024
Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) can originate from a variety of reasons, including water pollution coming agriculture, effluent treatment plants, sewage system leaks, pH and light levels, the consequences climate change. In recent years, HAB events have become serious environmental problem, paralleling population growth, agricultural development, increasing air temperatures, declining precipitation. Hence, it is crucial to identify mechanisms responsible for formation harmful algal blooms (HABs), accurately assess their short- long-term impacts, quantify variations based on projections developing accurate action plans effectively managing resources. This present study utilizes empirical dynamic modeling (EDM) predict chlorophyll-a (chl-a) concentration Lake Erie. method characterized by its nonlinearity nonparametric nature. EDM has significant benefit in that surpasses constraints conventional statistical through use data-driven attractor reconstruction. Chl-a critical commonly used parameter prediction events. Erie an inland body experiences frequent phenomena as result location. With MAPE 4.31%, RMSE 6.24, coefficient determination 0.98, showed exceptional performance. These findings suggest underlying dynamics chl-a changes be well captured model.
Language: Английский