Recruitment regime shifts and nonstationarity are widespread phenomena in harvestable stocks experiencing pronounced climate fluctuations
Fish and Fisheries,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
25(2), P. 320 - 348
Published: Dec. 19, 2023
Abstract
Methods
to
reliably
identify
jump
discontinuities
in
biological
time
series
and
assess
the
specific
contribution
of
various
covariates
are
rapidly
progressing.
Here,
we
took
advantage
these
statistical
improvements
as
well
those
seen
complementary,
down‐scaled
climate
biogeochemical
models
investigate
causes
substantial
interannual
variability
observed
recruitment
strength
hindcast
analyses.
This
systematic
meta‐analysis
included
23
data‐rich,
commercially
valuable,
warm‐
cold‐temperate
stocks
North,
Norwegian
Barents
Seas.
Since
this
study
focuses
on
variability,
have
used
term
“recruitment
regime
shift”
distinguish
from
concept
ecosystem
shift.
The
breakpoint
analysis
revealed
that
former
criterion
applied
more
than
half
series,
mainly
with
respect
North
Sea
but
also
Sea.
exploratory
using
vcGAM
indicated
1–3
shifts
per
stock
were
real,
when
five
drivers
spanning
spawning
biomass
large‐scale
climatic
processes.
Thus,
non‐stationary
relationships
extensively
prevalent,
indicating
each
is
uniquely
adapted
its
locally
varying
conditions.
Outputs
stationary
GAM
resembled
not
after
threshold
year.
In‐depth
case
studies
showed
proxy
a
given
driver
for
process
which
was
be
should
critically
considered
spatiotemporal
context.
Furthermore,
stock‐specific
uncertainty
associated
figures
such
an
in‐built
component
model
construct
thereby
evaluation
output.
Language: Английский
Borealization impacts shelf ecosystems across the Arctic
Frontiers in Environmental Science,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
12
Published: Oct. 24, 2024
Climate
change
is
rapidly
modifying
biodiversity
across
the
Arctic,
driving
a
shift
from
Arctic
to
more
boreal
ecosystem
characteristics.
This
phenomenon,
known
as
borealization,
mainly
described
for
certain
functional
groups
along
sub-Arctic
inflow
shelves
(Barents
and
Chukchi
Seas).
In
this
review,
we
evaluate
spatial
extent
of
such
alterations
well
their
effects
on
ecosystem-level
processes
risks.
Along
shelves,
borealization
driven
by
long-term
strengthened
increasingly
warm
waters
south
punctuated
advection
low
sea
ice
extreme
events.
A
growing
body
literature
also
points
an
emerging
other
shelf
ecosystems,
through
“spillover”
effect,
local
changes
in
environmental
conditions
enable
movement
or
transport
new
species
shelves.
These
modifications
are
leading
groups,
although
many
uncertainties
remain
regarding
under-sampled
microbes,
technical
challenges
consistent,
regular
monitoring
regions.
There
clear
consensus
that
affecting
phenology,
composition,
community
traits,
population
structure
essential
habitats,
interactions,
resilience.
Non-dynamic
factors,
depth
photoperiod,
thought
limit
complete
system,
may
lead
intermediate,
“hybrid”
ecosystems
future.
We
expect
current
borders
progress
further
northward
ultimately
reach
equilibrium
state
with
seasonal
borealization.
Risks
system
difficult
estimate,
adaptive
capacities
poorly
understood.
However,
ice-associated
clearly
most
at
risk,
some
might
find
temporary
refuge
areas
slower
rate
change.
discuss
likely
character
future
highlight
uncertainties.
Those
have
implications
communities
potential
support
Blue
Growth
Arctic.
Addressing
these
issues
necessary
assess
full
scale
climate
impacts
human
mitigation
adaptation
strategies.
Language: Английский
Decadal (2010–2019) variability in the marine ecosystems of the North Atlantic
ICES Journal of Marine Science,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
81(3), P. 505 - 511
Published: March 8, 2024
Abstract
The
“Symposium
on
Decadal
Variability
of
the
North
Atlantic
and
its
Marine
Ecosystems:
2010–2019”
took
place
in
Bergen,
Norway,
from
20
to
22
May
2022.
This
event,
hosted
by
Institute
Research,
was
jointly
sponsored
ICES
NAFO
constitutes
fourth
a
series
these
symposia
that
started
1991.
first
symposium’s
aim
review
hydrobiological
variability
decade
1980s,
addressing
physical
environment,
plankton,
invertebrates,
fish.
Subsequent
maintained
classical
structure,
whilst
new
theme
session
covering
social
sciences
added
programme
2022
edition.
Studies
climate
impacts
marine
ecosystems
living
resources,
including
trends
regime
shifts,
emerged
increasingly
longer
ecosystem
time
across
subarctic
regions.
symposium
collection
presents
key
findings
discussed
during
symposium.
Whilst
some
progress
has
been
made
advancing
our
ability
understand
patterns
change
physical,
fish
communities,
more
work
is
needed
integrate
physical-ecological
processes
scales
with
science.
Language: Английский
The combined effects of warming, ocean acidification, and fishing on the northeast Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) in the Barents Sea
ICES Journal of Marine Science,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
81(5), P. 877 - 886
Published: April 12, 2024
Abstract
With
a
biomass
of
∼4
million
tonnes,
and
annual
catches
900
000
the
northeast
Atlantic
(NEA)
cod
stock
in
Barents
Sea
is
world’s
largest.
Scientists
have
been
trying
to
explain
variability
recruitment
this
for
over
100
years,
particular
connecting
it
spawning
environmental
factors
such
as
temperature.
It
has
suggested
that
combination
ocean
acidification
global
warming
will
lead
significant
decrease
an
eventual
(end
century)
collapse
NEA
Sea.
We
show
temperature-
OA-driven
decline
recruits
likely
smaller
stock,
but
not
collapse.
Instead,
level
fishing
pressure
and,
least,
choice
function
applied
simulations
how
relates
temperature,
extremely
important
when
making
forecasts.
Applying
non-linear
relationship
between
temperature
biomass—as
done
studies
predict
stock—does
improve
accuracy
addition,
adds
large
number
biologically
supported.
Language: Английский
Linking Inuit and scientific knowledge in coastal marine research: Advancing our understanding of Greenland cod (Gadus ogac) near Ulukhaktok, Northwest Territories under a changing climate
Published: Jan. 1, 2024
The
Arctic
is
warming
at
an
unprecedented
rate,
with
implications
for
the
marine
ecosystem
and
species
that
are
important
tradition,
culture,
livelihoods
of
Indigenous
people.
Inuit
in
western
Canadian
have
identified
a
need
to
better
understand
impacts
changing
climate
on
coastal
subsistence.
Greenland
cod,
ogac,
(Gadus
ogac)
found
reportedly
experiencing
changes
population
dynamics
recent
years.
In
this
thesis,
I
present
findings
from
scientific
knowledge
cod
as
means
linking
systems
advance
our
understanding
discuss
under
environment.
objectives
research
were
to:
(1)
investigate
adaptation
potential
(2)
document
species,
(3)
examine
cumulative
shifting
resources
Inuvialuit
Settlement
Region.
measured
individual
specialization-generalization
morphological
habitat-trophic
traits
collected
along
coast
near
Ulukhaktok,
Northwest
Territories,
NT,
Arctic.
then
used
information
elicit
discussion
their
morphology,
feeding,
movement
behaviour
key
holders
Ulukhaktok.
Scientific
project
suggest
overall
generalists
but
display
range
feeding
behaviours
two
morphotypes.
These
highlight
importance
maintaining
trait
variation
conserve
biodiversity
while
promoting
resilience
wild
fish
populations.
able
build
rationale
some
phenomena
observed
identify
early
signs
change.
Linking
was
two-way
process
which
built
off
one
another
inform
next
steps
interpret
more
holistically.
baseline
ecology
intend
design
future
using
generate
enriched
findings.
gained
lessons
learned
study
can
serve
tool
establishing
additional
conservation
efforts
may
be
required
ensure
sustained
continue
support
subsistence
livelihoods.
Language: Английский