Prediction and control for the transmission of brucellosis in inner Mongolia, China

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(1)

Published: Jan. 28, 2025

Brucellosis, a zoonotic infectious disease caused by the Brucella genus, remains significant global public health concern, with Inner Mongolia, China, being notable hotspot affecting both human and livestock. In response to this, we developed dynamic SEIVWShIahIch model simulate transmission of brucellosis in Mongolia. We calculated basic reproduction number (R0 = 2.86), indicating severe epidemic trend cases expected increase over coming decades. The was fitted data, key parameters were estimated predict future trends. also evaluated impact various control measures, including vaccination, disinfection, culling, education. While these measures positively influence control, they cannot completely eliminate brucellosis, suggesting that single strategy is insufficient. Combining vaccination culling proved more effective, identified threshold values for R0 keep < 1. Our findings indicate comprehensive integrating education essential effectively curbing providing strong foundation optimizing prevention strategies.

Language: Английский

Research on dynamic modeling and control mechanisms of rumor spread considering high-order interactions and counter-rumor groups

Chaos Solitons & Fractals, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 197, P. 116498 - 116498

Published: April 25, 2025

Language: Английский