Machine learning strengthened prediction of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer deaths due to air pollution DOI
Jagadish Kumar Mogaraju

Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 30(45), P. 100539 - 100551

Published: Aug. 28, 2023

Language: Английский

Epidemiological trends of subarachnoid hemorrhage at global, regional, and national level: a trend analysis study from 1990 to 2021 DOI Creative Commons
Bin Lv,

Jin-Xin Lan,

Yan-Fang Si

et al.

Military Medical Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 11(1)

Published: July 11, 2024

Abstract Background Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a subtype of hemorrhagic stroke characterized by high mortality and low rates full recovery. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiological characteristics SAH between 1990 2021. Methods Data on incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) from 2021 were obtained Global Burden Disease Study (GBD) Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) calculated evaluate in age-standardized rate (ASR) incidence as well trends burden. The relationship disease burden sociodemographic index (SDI) was also analyzed. Results In 2021, found be 37.09% higher than that 1990; however, (ASIRs) showed decreased [EAPC: -1.52; 95% uncertainty interval (UI) -1.66 -1.37]. Furthermore, both number deaths DALYs over time. It observed females had lower compared males. Among all regions, high-income Asia Pacific region exhibited highest ASIR (14.09/100,000; UI 12.30/100,000 − 16.39/100,000) with an EPAC for < 0 indicating decreasing trend time ASIR. Oceania recorded (ASMRs) among regions at values respectively 8.61 (95% 6.03 11.95) 285.62 209.42 379.65). associated primarily affected individuals aged 50 69 years old. Metabolic risks particularly elevated systolic blood pressure identified main risk factors contributing towards increased when against environmental or occupational behavioral evaluated within GBD framework. Conclusions varies gender, age group, geographical region. Although ASRs have shown decline time, remains significant, especially middle low-middle SDI levels. High stands out key factor SAH. More specific supportive measures are necessary alleviate global

Language: Английский

Citations

37

Temporal trends of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer between 2010 and 2019, in Asian countries by geographical region and sociodemographic index, comparison with global data DOI Creative Commons
Fatemeh Rezaei, Afrooz Mazidimoradi,

Ali Rayatinejad

et al.

Thoracic Cancer, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 14(18), P. 1668 - 1706

Published: May 1, 2023

This study aimed to describe the trends in incidence, mortality, and burden of tracheal, bronchial lung (TBL) cancer Asia from 2010 through 2019 compare with global other continental data.We collected TBL data Global Burden Disease (GBD) 49 countries territories Asia. For all locations, annual case age-standardized rates (ASRs) were used investigate prevalence, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) 2019. The relative difference (%) between years was show comparative variations ASRs for indicators studied.In 2019, more than 55% cases deaths occurred Asian countries. A total 57% patients lived almost 60% imposed on From incidences, deaths, prevalence cases, DALYs number increased over 1.34-, 1.31-, 1.26-fold, During this period, incidence rate (ASIR), death (ASDR), (ASPR), (DALYs ASR) decreased by 1, 3, 4, 4%, respectively. While at same time, decreasing trend these globally America Europe happened faster. In age-specific death, DALY peaking 65-74, 70-74, 65-69, 65-69 years, highest ASIR, ASDR, ASR observed East ASPR high-income Pacific Central experienced a ASIR South increasing only Asia, among high sociodemographic index (SDI) countries, Brunei Darussalam had Republic Korea ASPR. Among high-middle SDIs, Turkey Georgia; middle China Armenia; low-middle Mongolia Democratic People's ASPR, cancer. low SDI Pakistan cancer.Most occurs is slower regions. Therefore, implementation necessary measures order reduce process considered urgent.

Language: Английский

Citations

11

The global, regional, and national burden of colorectal cancer attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2021: a population-based study DOI
Shuai Wang, Tao Zhang, Dongming Li

et al.

European Journal of Cancer Prevention, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 21, 2025

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with smoking being a significant risk factor. Understanding temporal and spatial patterns CRC burden attributable to crucial for global public health strategies. Data from Global Burden Diseases, Injuries, Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 were used calculate number deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) per 100 000 population, year (ASDR). The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated 1990 analyze disease trends. Frontier analysis conducted assess efficiency, predictions made next decade. In 2021, death toll DALYs 47 613 1 235 667, respectively. From absolute increased, while ASMR (AAPC: −1.20) ASDR −1.22) showed decline. notably higher in males than females. Analysis by Social Development Index revealed that more developed regions had less areas. China ranked first DALYs, Greenland highest ASDR. decreased globally. However, remains challenge, requiring sustained targeted interventions.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Analysis of the burden of intracerebral hemorrhage in the Asian population aged 45 and older and ARIMA model prediction trends: a systematic study based on the GBD 2021 DOI Creative Commons

Minghong Xu,

Chao Tang, Yingmo Shen

et al.

Frontiers in Neurology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 16

Published: Feb. 13, 2025

Background Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), a severe subtype of hemorrhagic stroke, is associated with significant disability and high mortality rates. Due to population aging the prevalence hypertension in Asian region, intracerebral has become one major causes mortality. This study analyzes epidemiological patterns ICH across Asia from 1990 2021 projects potential trends for period 2022 2041. Methods extracted four key indicators related (ICH) The Global Burden Disease (GBD) database years 2021: prevalence, incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life (DALYs). age-period-cohort model was employed assess impact age, time periods, birth cohorts on trends. Additionally, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) utilized conduct long-term trend analysis forecast changing various Results From 2021, age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), (ASMR), life-year (ASDR) exhibited an overall declining trend, ASIR declined 82.35 per 100,000 (95% UI: 70.73–93.35) 52.35 45.98–58.46). Similarly, ASMR dropped 92.02 83.06–101.24) 53.26 47.61–58.96), while ASDR fell 2,094.51 1,916.68–2,293.61) 1,194.11 1,072.05–1,306.04). age effect demonstrated that relative risk (RR) increases peaking 90–94 group. indicated did not increase over time, cohort suggested later-born cohorts. ARIMA model’s predictions indicate next 20 years, rates Asia, except will generally show trend. Conclusion disease burden varies by gender According predictions, expected decline projected due aging. Given ICH, its remains requires focused attention. Strengthening screening management high-risk elderly populations, along community health education early intervention, recommended reduce ICH.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

The global, regional and national burden of peptic ulcer disease attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2021: A population-based study DOI Creative Commons
Shuai Wang, Tao Zhang, Dongming Li

et al.

Preventive Medicine Reports, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 51, P. 103019 - 103019

Published: Feb. 22, 2025

Peptic ulcer disease (PUD) remains a significant global health challenge, with its prevalence generally declining due to advances in healthcare and reduction key risk factors. However, smoking continues be major contributor the burden of PUD. This study analyzes temporal spatial patterns PUD attributable globally from 1990 2021, providing insights for public interventions. Utilizing data Global Burden Diseases, Injuries, Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 database, we assessed deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), DALY (ASDR). Trends were evaluated using average annual percentage change (AAPC), predictive analyses performed understand past future patterns. In 29,390 deaths 816,999 DALYs caused by worldwide. From DALYs, ASMR (AAPC: -4.05), ASDR -4.18) showed declines globally. Males experienced higher than females across all metrics. At national regional levels, low low-middle socio-demographic index (SDI) areas exhibited high-SDI regions, East Asia, South Southeast Asia contributing highest burden. Future projections indicate continued decline over next decade. Despite smoking, substantial disparities persist, particularly underdeveloped regions. Focused anti-smoking policies targeted resource allocation are necessary reduce address inequalities.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

The global burden of childhood diarrheal diseases attributable to suboptimal breastfeeding from 1990 to 2021: an exploratory analysis of estimates from the global burden of disease study DOI Creative Commons
Shuai Wang, Tao Zhang,

Kaixin Wang

et al.

International Breastfeeding Journal, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 20(1)

Published: March 26, 2025

Understanding the spatial and temporal patterns of disease burden childhood diarrhea attributable to suboptimal breastfeeding (including non-exclusive discontinued breastfeeding) is crucial for global health policy intervention strategies. This study aimed comprehensively assess global, regional, national diarrheal diseases in 204 countries territories from 1990 2021. utilized data Global Burden Diseases, Injuries, Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 estimate deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), DALY (ASDR) breastfeeding. Suboptimal was assessed as a combination And average annual percentage change (AAPC) calculated determine long-term trends. Additionally, frontier analyses were conducted evaluate efficiency different reducing relative their socio-demographic index (SDI) levels. By 2021, number deaths DALYs due 63,133 573,430, respectively. Between DALYs, well ASMR (AAPC: -5.40) ASDR -5.38), declined by approximately 80%. However, significant disparities persist across regions. Low-SDI regions, particularly Western Sub-Saharan Africa, continued bear highest burden. At or level, Nigeria, India, Chad recorded while Chad, South Sudan, Lesotho exhibited values. Similar observed breastfeeding, with greatest concentrated resource-limited settings. While has significantly over past three decades, remains disproportionately high less developed These findings underscore urgent need targeted public policies interventions promote exclusive especially high-burden further reduce preventable morbidity mortality.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Projection of the prevalence of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer incidence using cigarette smoking prevalence in Iran from 1990 to 2018: a comparison of latent period-based models with standard forecasting models DOI Creative Commons
Alireza Mirahmadizadeh, Jafar Hassanzadeh,

Afrooz Mazidi Moradi

et al.

BMC Public Health, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 24(1)

Published: July 15, 2024

Smoking is the major risk factor for tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancers. We investigated feasibility of projecting TBL cancer incidence using smoking rates by incorporating a range latent periods from main exposure to diagnosis.

Language: Английский

Citations

3

Burdens of Tracheal, Bronchus, and Lung Cancer From 1990 to 2021 in China Compared to the Global Projection of 2036: Findings From the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study DOI Creative Commons

Y L Chen,

Qingpeng Zeng, Muyu Li

et al.

Thoracic Cancer, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 16(2)

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

ABSTRACT Background Tracheal, bronchial, and lung cancers (TBL cancers) pose a significant global health challenge, with rising incidence mortality rates, particularly in China. Studies from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD), 2021, can guide screening prevention strategies for TBL cancer. This study aims to provide comprehensive analysis burden China compared data. Methods We conducted an incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability‐adjusted life years (DALYs) 1990 2021. also performed Joinpoint regression Bayesian age‐period‐cohort (BAPC) modeling project future trends. Results From there was substantial increase cancer indicators all sexes China, most rise observed females. The female population showed alarming increases age‐standardized rate (ASIR) prevalence (ASPR). While efforts have managed stabilize these China's figures remain high, suggesting impact persistent risk factors such as smoking air pollution, coupled aging population. Furthermore, we utilized projection model estimate that females will likely follow continuous rapid upward trends, while among males is expected steady trend. Conclusion Although been effective reducing over past three decades, still remains strong regional gender heterogeneity. need more medical attention

Language: Английский

Citations

0

A comparative analysis of the burden, trends and inequalities of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer in India from 2000 to 2021: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease study 2021 DOI Creative Commons
Sruthi Rao, Haijiang Wu, Guibin Zhang

et al.

PLoS ONE, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 20(5), P. e0322646 - e0322646

Published: May 7, 2025

Background Understanding the tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer burden caused by tobacco exposure in India can help local governments implement targeted measures for prevention treatment of disease. Methods The TBL deaths disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to from 2000 2021 were presented age, sex, region. A Joinpoint model was used analyze temporal trends disease, while decomposition analysis conducted quantify contributions population growth, aging, epidemiological changes. In addition, age-period-cohort (APC) implemented assess effects period, cohort on tobacco-related DALYs burden. Finally, age-standardized rates projected through 2035. Results 2021, Mizoram recorded highest exposure, regardless sex. Uttar Pradesh West Bengal consistently exhibited number associated with across three age groups analyzed. Population growth aging are primary drivers behind increasing cancer. Overall, risk death increased age. There differential period between male female populations. future, increase secondhand smoke will be more pronounced among males. Conclusion Despite ongoing efforts control epidemic, related remains high India. Each state should adopt based conditions address health threats posed tobacco.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Current status and temporal trend in incidence, death, and burden of esophageal cancer from 1990−2019 DOI Creative Commons
Afrooz Mazidimoradi,

Niloofar Banakar,

Yousef Khani

et al.

Thoracic Cancer, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 14(24), P. 2408 - 2458

Published: July 13, 2023

Esophageal cancer (EC) is one of the world's most unknown and deadly cancers. This study aimed to provide updated epidemiological indicators recent trend EC by age group, gender, geographical region in world.Annual case data age-standardized rates (ASRs) were collected from 2019 Global Burden Disease (GBD) 1990 204 countries territories based on sociodemographic index (SDI). Relative difference (%), average annual percentage change (AAPC), male/female ratio calculated. Data are reported values 95% confidence interval (CI).EC incidence (ASIR) decreased 19%, death (ASDR) 25%, disability-adjusted life-years ASR (DALYs ASR) 30% 2019. The higher number cases was men aged 50 69 years women over 70. From 2019, Middle SDI experienced a decline ASIR ASDR EC. High had an increasing trend. In World Bank High-Income countries, has remained unchanged other regions. Asia continent highest rate incidence, mortality, burden reduction. East Asia, Southern Sub-Saharan Africa, Eastern Africa respectively have Central greatest decrease EC, Europe steady North America ASDR. shows decreasing worldwide. regions increase EC.Based great variation distribution investigating reasons for this diversity requires more studies be conducted field prevention, risk factors, implementation screening methods with high cost-effectiveness, access treatment methods. provision regional solutions may effective than global strategies.

Language: Английский

Citations

9