Nature Communications,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
16(1)
Published: May 8, 2025
Aerosol-producing
catastrophes
like
nuclear
war
or
asteroid
strikes,
though
rare,
pose
serious
risks
to
human
survival.
The
injected
aerosols
would
reduce
solar
radiation,
lower
temperatures,
and
alter
precipitation,
impacting
crop
productivity,
including
for
locally
adapted
traditional
varieties,
i.e.
landraces.
We
assess
post-catastrophic
climate
effects
on
crops
with
extensive
landrace
cultivation,
barley,
maize,
rice,
sorghum,
under
scenarios
that
differ
in
the
quantity
of
soot
injection.
Using
a
growth
model,
we
estimate
environmental
stress
gradients
together
genomic
markers
apply
gradient
forest
offset
methods
predict
maladaptation
landraces
over
time.
find
are
most
maladapted
where
soot-induced
shifts
were
strongest.
Validating
our
approach,
models
successfully
capture
signal
maize
adaptation
common
gardens
across
Mexico.
further
use
identify
varieties
best
matched
specific
conditions,
indicating
potential
substitutions
agricultural
resilience.
substituted
require
long
migration
distances,
often
country
borders,
countries
more
climatic
diversity
have
better
within-country
substitutions.
Our
findings
highlight
soot-producing
catastrophe
drive
global
suggest
current
adaptive
is
insufficient
Molecular Ecology,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Jan. 6, 2025
Understanding
the
evolutionary
processes
underlying
range-wide
genomic
variation
is
critical
to
designing
effective
conservation
and
restoration
strategies.
Evaluating
influence
of
connectivity,
demographic
change
environmental
adaptation
for
threatened
species
can
be
invaluable
proactive
potential.
In
this
study,
we
assessed
across
range
Fraxinus
latifolia,
a
foundational
riparian
tree
native
western
North
America
recently
exposed
invasive
emerald
ash
borer
(Agrilus
planipennis;
EAB).
Over
1000
individuals
from
61
populations
were
sequenced
using
reduced
representation
(ddRAD-seq)
species'
range.
Strong
population
structure
was
evident
along
latitudinal
gradient,
with
connectivity
largely
maintained
central
valley
river
systems,
centre
genetic
diversity
coinciding
major
systems
Despite
evidence
estimates
nucleotide
size
low
all
populations,
suggesting
patchy
distribution
F.
latifolia
may
impact
its
long-term
Range-wide
offset,
which
indicate
required
adjust
future
climate
projections,
greatest
in
eastern
lowest
southern
portions
range,
regional
potential
longer-term.
To
preserve
capacity
needed
development
breeding
programmes,
prioritising
will
provide
foundation
management.
Molecular Ecology,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Feb. 6, 2025
ABSTRACT
Assessing
the
evolutionary
potential
of
rare
species
with
limited
migration
amidst
ongoing
climate
change
requires
an
understanding
patterns
genetic
variation
and
local
adaptation.
In
contrast
to
large
distributions
population
sizes
most
pines,
Pinus
muricata
(bishop
pine)
occurs
in
a
few
isolated
populations
along
coastal
western
North
America
is
listed
as
threatened
by
IUCN.
To
quantify
how
current
influenced
distribution
environment,
we
generated
reduced
representation
DNA
sequencing
data
for
extant
P.
(12
locations,
7828
loci).
We
assessed
geographic
differentiation
diversity
used
genetic‐environment
association
(GEA)
analyses
characterise
contribution
environmental
variables
adaptation
structure.
Based
on
these
inferences,
quantified
genomic
offset
relative
estimate
maladaptation
under
mild
(SSP1‐2.6)
severe
(SSP5‐8.5)
scenarios
across
2041–2060
2081–2100.
Despite
occurring
small,
populations,
was
not
low
.
Population
was,
however,
defined
hierarchy
spatial
scales,
stands
generally
forming
genetically
identifiable
groups
latitude
environments.
GEA
implicated
temperature‐
soil‐related
strongly
contributing
Estimates
future
varied
non‐linearly
latitude,
increased
severity
projections
over
time,
were
predicted
increases
annual
temperature.
Our
results
suggest
that
isolation
have
shaped
among
disjunct
factors
may
shape
risk
projected
change.
Molecular Ecology,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Feb. 19, 2025
ABSTRACT
Climate
change
poses
a
significant
threat
to
biodiversity,
particularly
in
alpine
ecosystems
where
species
have
already
undergone
elevational
range
shifts.
Genomics
can
be
used
estimate
the
adaptive
potential
of
species,
as
well
shift
genomic
composition
necessary
for
populations
adjust
climate
(e.g.,
offset).
Here,
we
investigated
patterns
climate‐mediated
genetic
variation
and
predicted
degree
offset
under
multiple
scenarios
sentinel
mammal,
American
pika
(
Ochotona
princeps
).
We
collected
genome‐wide
data
(29,709
SNPs)
from
363
individuals
spanning
entire
western
North
America
employed
genotype‐environment
association
analyses
identify
924
robust
outlier
SNPs,
several
which
were
linked
genes
previously
associated
with
high
elevation
hypoxia
responses
various
(Ochotonidae).
Adaptive
was
most
strongly
influenced
by
mean
warmest
month
temperature,
followed
precipitation
coldest
quarter.
Spatial
heterogeneous,
significantly
levels
variation,
latitude.
Sites
within
Northern
Rocky
Mountains
exhibited
highest
projected
despite
possessing
variation.
As
such,
while
our
study
provides
an
example
how
explore
consequences
change,
it
further
highlights
need
careful
consideration
values
their
proper
ecological
context.
Nature Communications,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
16(1)
Published: May 8, 2025
Aerosol-producing
catastrophes
like
nuclear
war
or
asteroid
strikes,
though
rare,
pose
serious
risks
to
human
survival.
The
injected
aerosols
would
reduce
solar
radiation,
lower
temperatures,
and
alter
precipitation,
impacting
crop
productivity,
including
for
locally
adapted
traditional
varieties,
i.e.
landraces.
We
assess
post-catastrophic
climate
effects
on
crops
with
extensive
landrace
cultivation,
barley,
maize,
rice,
sorghum,
under
scenarios
that
differ
in
the
quantity
of
soot
injection.
Using
a
growth
model,
we
estimate
environmental
stress
gradients
together
genomic
markers
apply
gradient
forest
offset
methods
predict
maladaptation
landraces
over
time.
find
are
most
maladapted
where
soot-induced
shifts
were
strongest.
Validating
our
approach,
models
successfully
capture
signal
maize
adaptation
common
gardens
across
Mexico.
further
use
identify
varieties
best
matched
specific
conditions,
indicating
potential
substitutions
agricultural
resilience.
substituted
require
long
migration
distances,
often
country
borders,
countries
more
climatic
diversity
have
better
within-country
substitutions.
Our
findings
highlight
soot-producing
catastrophe
drive
global
suggest
current
adaptive
is
insufficient