Importance of Habitat Context in Modelling Risk Maps for Two Established Invasive Alien Plant Species: The Case of Ailanthus altissima and Phytolacca americana in Slovenia (Europe) DOI Creative Commons
Maarten de Groot, Erika Kozamernik, Janez Kermavnar

et al.

Plants, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 13(6), P. 883 - 883

Published: March 19, 2024

Forests are important ecosystems that face threats from climate change and global environmental shifts, with invasive alien plant species being a significant concern. Some of these have already become established, while others in the process naturalisation. Although forests relatively stable ecosystem, extreme weather events increase their vulnerability to change, clearings left after natural disturbances particularly susceptible invasion by (IAPS). We created risk maps two spread rapidly last decade: American pokeweed (Phytolacca americana) tree heaven (Ailanthus altissima). prepared generalised linear model based on occurrence data collected within LIFE ARTEMIS project. Eleven variables were used determine habitat characteristics. constructed models for each species: one covering entirety Slovenia other specifically forested areas Slovenia, latter incorporating forest-specific (such as forest sanitation felling monocultures). observed presence both at lower altitudes close proximity water sources. tends occur nearer railways, is associated lacking carbonate parent material influenced land use patterns. In areas, characteristics, such caused or prevalence Norway spruce monocultures. contrast, more general variables, altitude railways. Consequently, we generated separately which indicate similar levels risk, heaven. The map highlights numerous vulnerable especially edges, highly invasion. Furthermore, there higher likelihood this occurring undergone felling. This study suggests production IAPS could be improved focussing types taking into account habitat-specific variables. approach enhance early detection management species.

Language: Английский

Predicted range shifts of alien tree species in Europe DOI
Radosław Puchałka, Sonia Paź‐Dyderska, Andrzej M. Jagodziński

et al.

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 341, P. 109650 - 109650

Published: Aug. 6, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

41
Predicting suitable habitat for the endangered tree Ormosia microphylla in China DOI Creative Commons
Lijuan Wei, Guohai Wang, Chunping Xie

et al.

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 14(1)

Published: May 6, 2024

Climate change has significantly influenced the growth and distribution of plant species, particularly those with a narrow ecological niche. Understanding climate impacts on spatial pattern endangered species can improve conservation strategies. The MaxEnt model is widely applied to predict environmental tolerance based occurrence data. This study investigated suitable habitats Ormosia microphylla in China evaluated importance bioclimatic factors shaping its distribution. Occurrence data variables were gleaned construct model, resulting habitat maps for accuracy. results showed that had an excellent simulation quality (AUC = 0.962). major predicting current O. mean diurnal range (bio2) precipitation driest month (bio14). core potential areas concentrated Guangxi, Fujian, Guizhou, Guangdong, Hunan provinces south China, demonstrating significant differences their areas. Our findings contribute developing effective management measures microphylla, addressing critical need reliable prediction unfavorable species.

Language: Английский

Citations

13
Looking for a drought-tolerant tree species among native and introduced mountain conifers DOI
Piotr Wrzesiński, Marcin Klisz, Marzena Niemczyk

et al.

Trees, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 38(2), P. 423 - 440

Published: Feb. 28, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

10
Geographical distribution of As-hyperaccumulator Pteris vittata in China: Environmental factors and climate changes DOI
Wumei Xu,

Qinglian Du,

Shuang Yan

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 803, P. 149864 - 149864

Published: Aug. 25, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

47
Effect of Water Stress on Physiological and Morphological Leaf Traits: A Comparison among the Three Widely-Spread Invasive Alien Species Ailanthus altissima, Phytolacca americana, and Robinia pseudoacacia DOI Creative Commons
Maria Pepe, Maria Fiore Crescente, Laura Varone

et al.

Plants, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 11(7), P. 899 - 899

Published: March 28, 2022

Invasive alien species (IAS) are a problem, especially in drought-prone environments such as the Mediterranean Basin where exacerbation of already severe conditions could constrain native acclimatation degree, creating new opportunities for IAS. Climate change may drive IAS expansions, even if different can vary their response. Thus, it is important to obtain broader insight how face abiotic stress. This research aimed compare effect imposed water stress on physiological and morphological leaf traits Ailanthus altissima (AA), Robinia pseudoacacia (RP), Phytolacca americana (PA), which widely spread Basin. Our results showed species-dependent at level, well an interaction between duration. Despite common strategy characterized by low stomatal control photosynthesis, AA, PA, RP differ sensitivity In particular, AA was more water-spending strategy, resistant than PA RP. this view, key factor its plasticity increase mass per area (LMA) response

Language: Английский

Citations

33
Citizen science helps predictions of climate change impact on flowering phenology: A study on Anemone nemorosa DOI
Radosław Puchałka, Marcin Klisz, Serhii Koniakin

et al.

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 325, P. 109133 - 109133

Published: Aug. 19, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

29
Climate change will cause climatic niche contraction of Vaccinium myrtillus L. and V. vitis-idaea L. in Europe DOI
Radosław Puchałka, Sonia Paź‐Dyderska, Beata Woziwoda

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 892, P. 164483 - 164483

Published: June 1, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

19
Tracing the future of epidemics: Coincident niche distribution of host animals and disease incidence revealed climate‐correlated risk shifts of main zoonotic diseases in China DOI
Bo Cao, Chengke Bai, Kunyi Wu

et al.

Global Change Biology, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 29(13), P. 3723 - 3746

Published: April 7, 2023

Climate has critical roles in the origin, pathogenesis and transmission of infectious zoonotic diseases. However, large-scale epidemiologic trend specific response pattern diseases under future climate scenarios are poorly understood. Here, we projected distribution shifts risks main change China. First, shaped global habitat host animals for three representative (2, 6, 12 hosts dengue, hemorrhagic fever, plague, respectively) with 253,049 occurrence records using maximum entropy (Maxent) modeling. Meanwhile, predicted risk above 197,098 disease incidence from 2004 to 2017 China an integrated Maxent modeling approach. The comparative analysis showed that there exist highly coincident niche distributions between diseases, indicating is accurate effective predicting potential On this basis, further current 11 four concentration pathways (RCPs) (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, RCP8.5) 2050 2070 1,001,416 records. We found Central China, Southeast South concentrated regions high More specifically, had diverse shift patterns including increase, decrease, unstable. Further correlation indicated these were correlated warming precipitation increase. Our results revealed how respond a changing climate, thereby calling administration prevention strategies. Furthermore, will shed light on guiding prediction emerging change.

Language: Английский

Citations

17
Shifts in native tree species distributions in Europe under climate change DOI Creative Commons
Marcin K. Dyderski, Sonia Paź‐Dyderska, Andrzej M. Jagodziński

et al.

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 373, P. 123504 - 123504

Published: Dec. 6, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

8
The interacting effect of climate change and herbivory can trigger large‐scale transformations of European temperate forests DOI Creative Commons
Laura Dobor, Marco Baldo, Lukáš Bílek

et al.

Global Change Biology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 30(2)

Published: Feb. 1, 2024

In many regions of Europe, large wild herbivores alter forest community composition through their foraging preferences, hinder the forest's natural adaptive responses to climate change, and reduce ecosystem resilience. We investigated a widespread European type, mixed dominated by Picea abies, which has recently experienced an unprecedented level disturbance across continent. Using landscape model iLand, we combined effect change herbivory on structure, composition, carbon identified conditions leading transitions 300-year timescale. Eight scenarios, driven Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 8.5, with three levels regeneration browsing, were tested. found that persistence current browsing pressure impedes changes in sustains presence vulnerable yet less palatable P. abies. These development trajectories tortuous, characterized high intensity. On contrary, reduced initiated transformation towards naturally dominant broadleaved species was associated increased considerably disturbance. The RCP4.5 moderate preserved within its reference range variability, defining actual boundaries remaining combinations led transitions. Under effects excluded, new equilibrium achieved 120 years, whereas stabilization delayed 50-100 years under RCP8.5 higher intensities. conclude forests abies are prone change. However, reducing can set stable predictable trajectory, sustaining lead heightened activity, extended transition times, variability target conditions.

Language: Английский

Citations

6