The interacting effect of climate change and herbivory can trigger large‐scale transformations of European temperate forests

Global Change Biology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 30(2)

Published: Feb. 1, 2024

In many regions of Europe, large wild herbivores alter forest community composition through their foraging preferences, hinder the forest's natural adaptive responses to climate change, and reduce ecosystem resilience. We investigated a widespread European type, mixed dominated by Picea abies, which has recently experienced an unprecedented level disturbance across continent. Using landscape model iLand, we combined effect change herbivory on structure, composition, carbon identified conditions leading transitions 300-year timescale. Eight scenarios, driven Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 8.5, with three levels regeneration browsing, were tested. found that persistence current browsing pressure impedes changes in sustains presence vulnerable yet less palatable P. abies. These development trajectories tortuous, characterized high intensity. On contrary, reduced initiated transformation towards naturally dominant broadleaved species was associated increased considerably disturbance. The RCP4.5 moderate preserved within its reference range variability, defining actual boundaries remaining combinations led transitions. Under effects excluded, new equilibrium achieved 120 years, whereas stabilization delayed 50-100 years under RCP8.5 higher intensities. conclude forests abies are prone change. However, reducing can set stable predictable trajectory, sustaining lead heightened activity, extended transition times, variability target conditions.

Language: Английский

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Local site conditions reduce interspecific differences in climate sensitivity between native and non-native pines

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 341, P. 109694 - 109694

Published: Sept. 1, 2023

Language: Английский

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Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Northward Range Expansion of Invasive Weeds in South Korea

Plants, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 10(8), P. 1604 - 1604

Published: Aug. 5, 2021

Predicting the distribution of invasive weeds under climate change is important for early identification areas that are susceptible to invasion and adoption best preventive measures. Here, we predicted habitat suitability 16 in response land cover changes South Korea using a maximum entropy modeling approach. Based on predictions model, likely increase suitability. Currently, area moderately suitable highly habitats estimated be 8877.46 km2, 990.29 respectively, these expected up 496.52% by 2050 1439.65% 2070 representative concentration pathways 4.5 scenario across country. Although was highest southern regions (<36° latitude), central northern also have substantial increases areas. Our study revealed would exacerbate threat northward weed invasions shifting climatic barriers from region. Thus, it essential initiate control management strategies region prevent further into new

Language: Английский

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Variability in climate-growth reaction of Robinia pseudoacacia in Eastern Europe indicates potential for acclimatisation to future climate

Forest Ecology and Management, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 492, P. 119194 - 119194

Published: April 29, 2021

Language: Английский

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Potential impact of four invasive alien plants on the provision of ecosystem services in Europe under present and future climatic scenarios

Ecosystem Services, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 56, P. 101459 - 101459

Published: July 4, 2022

Invasive alien species (IAS) are one of the main threats to biodiversity conservation, with significant socio-economic and ecological impacts as they disrupt ecosystem services compromise human well-being. Global change may exacerbate IAS, since rising temperatures activities favour their introduction range expansion. Therefore, anticipating biological invasions is crucial support decision-making for management. In this work, potential four invasive plant species: Ailanthus altissima, Baccharis halimifolia, Impatiens glandulifera Pueraria montana, on provision three in Europe were evaluated under current future climate scenarios. Using a risk analysis protocol, we determined that most affected food provisioning, soil erosion regulation maintenance diversity. To evaluate impacts, distribution models calibrated using bioclimatic, environmental impact variables. We found continental suitable establishment A. B. halimifolia I. glandulifera, while P. montana more limited. Models anticipate shift towards north east Bivariate allowed identification trends by simultaneously visualising services. Our project an increase critical high areas analysed services, Western British Isles regions. comparison, lower projected Mediterranean region, likely consequence northwards expansion invaders. Measures need be taken mitigate our work shows it can jeopardise key Europe.

Language: Английский

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Effects of climate‐change scenarios on the distribution patterns of Castanea henryi

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 12(12)

Published: Dec. 1, 2022

, with edible nuts and timber value, is a key tree species playing essential roles in China's subtropical forest ecosystems. However, natural human perturbations have nearly depleted its wild populations. The study identified the dominant environmental variables enabling limiting distribution predicted suitable habitats distribution. 212 occurrence records covering whole range of

Language: Английский

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Effects of Climate and Drought on Stem Diameter Growth of Urban Tree Species

Forests, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 13(5), P. 641 - 641

Published: April 21, 2022

Urbanization and climate change are two inevitable megatrends of this century. Knowledge about the growth responses urban trees to is utmost importance towards future management green infrastructure with aim a sustainable provision environmental ecosystem services. Using tree-ring records, study analyzed response by stem diameter at breast height (DBH) 1178 in seven large cities worldwide, including Aesculus hippocastanum L. Munich; Platanus × hispanica Münchh. Paris; Quercus nigra Houston; robur Cape Town; Robinia pseudoacacia Santiago de Chile, Munich, Würzburg; Tilia cordata Mill. Berlin, Würzburg. Climate was characterized following Martonne aridity index (DMI). Overall, showed an 8.3% lower DBH under arid than humid age 100. Drought-tolerant tree species were overall not affected climate. However, R. when growing semi-dry In contrast, drought-sensitive negatively Moreover, effect drought years on annual increment assessed. P. appeared as most drought-resistant species. The highest sensitivity detected T. Q. robur. A. during events, followed fast recovery. This study’s findings may contribute better understanding reactions climate, aiming for planning trees.

Language: Английский

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Risks, benefits, and knowledge gaps of non-native tree species in Europe

Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 10

Published: Oct. 28, 2022

Changing ecosystem conditions and diverse socio-economical events have contributed to an ingrained presence of non-native tree species (NNTs) in the natural cultural European landscapes. Recent research endeavors focused on different aspects NNTs such as legislation, benefits, risks for forestry, emphasizing that large knowledge gaps remain. As attempt fulfill part these gaps, within PEN-CAFoRR COST Action (CA19128) network, we established open-access questionnaire allows both academic experts practitioners provide information regarding from 20 countries. Then, integrated data originating questionnaire, related country-based assessment peer-reviewed grey literature, with available datasets (EUFORGEN EU-Forest), which gave main structure study led a mixed approach review. Finally, our provided important insights into current state NNTs. In particular, highlighted shown be less commonly addressed research, raising caution about those characterized by invasive behavior used specific purposes (e.g., wood production, soil recultivation, afforestation, reforestation). were especially explored context resilient adaptive forest management. Moreover, emphasized assisted northward migration another underscored pressing issue, needs joint efforts, hybridization potential. This represents additional effort toward enhancement situation Europe, aiming continuously active common source deriving interprofessional collaboration.

Language: Английский

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Evaluation of climate factors affecting the quality of red huajiao (Zanthoxylum bungeanum maxim.) based on UPLC-MS/MS and MaxEnt model

Food Chemistry X, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 16, P. 100522 - 100522

Published: Nov. 25, 2022

Through field investigation, UPLC-MS/MS technology and MaxEnt model were performed to predict the suitable distribution area for red huajiao (Zanthoxylum bungeanum maxim.) in China from 2021 s 2060 s, evaluate effects of climate factors on quality huajiao. The results demonstrated that mean temperature coldest quarter min month most important environmental variables influencing distribution. Suitable habitats located mainly dry hot valley zone Qinba Mountains semi-humid semi-arid areas Loess Plateau. amides contents higher high suitability areas, while it was decreased medium low temperature, wind speed precipitation played a key role their accumulation. This investigation great significance planting optimization, control, benefit improvement industrial development

Language: Английский

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Forest herb species with similar European geographic ranges may respond differently to climate change

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 905, P. 167303 - 167303

Published: Sept. 22, 2023

Language: Английский

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