The multi-period reserve design problem under climate change DOI Creative Commons
Charlotte Gerling, Oliver Schöttker, John Hearne

et al.

Sustainability Analytics and Modeling, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 3, P. 100025 - 100025

Published: Jan. 1, 2023

Climate change causes range shifts of species and habitats, thus making existing reserve networks less suitable in the future. Existing optimisation procedures hence need to be adapted order account for changes spatial distribution habitat types as well their relative occurrence. We develop a multi-objective procedure that considers these dynamic changes. demonstrate functioning model by applying it conceptual case study. In this study, we aim gain an understanding consequences not adapting network despite climate optimal adaptation pathways different funding levels. Finally, consider whether larger flexibility terms when adapt providing one-off discounted payment instead regular improves outcome achieved. find is identify improved, especially become increasingly threatened. Initially payments leads higher protection. facilitate future research, provide code on request.

Language: Английский

Protecting alpine biodiversity in the Middle East from climate change: Implications for high‐elevation birds DOI Creative Commons
Mohsen Ahmadi, Muhammad Ali Nawaz, Hamed Asadi

et al.

Diversity and Distributions, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 30(5)

Published: March 1, 2024

Abstract Aims The Middle East, located in the arid belt of Earth, is home to a diverse range biodiversity, with its mountain ecosystems being most important centres species diversity and endemism. In this study, impact climate change on alpine bird East was assessed across five systems: Alborz–Kopet‐Dagh, Caucasus–Pontic, Levant–Taurus, Sarawat–Hijaz Zagros–Central Iran. Location East. Methods Using distribution models (SDMs), 38 native were analysed under different scenarios. We also identified future multispecies situ ex refugia efficiency current protected areas (PAs) system protecting them. Results results indicated that, average, habitat suitability for these projected decline by 36.83% (2050, SSP2‐4.5) 60.10% (2070, SSP5‐8.5) an upward shift. Based stacking species, Iran Alborz–Kopet–Dagh ranges will experience highest amount loss, respectively, Caucasus–Pontic least affected. gap analysis showed that existing PAs covers only 13% 10% climatic refugia, respectively. Conclusions Our findings underscore significance mountainous regions persistence urgent need prioritize transboundary participatory conservation plans. It crucial prevent degradation alteration resulting from human activities ensure their habitats.

Language: Английский

Citations

10
Advancing a climate smart strategy for biodiversity conservation in protected areas on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau DOI Creative Commons
Li Xuan, Yanzheng Yang, Pengxiang Zhao

et al.

Geography and sustainability, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 100264 - 100264

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Climate-driven shifts in suitable areas of Alternaria leaf blotch (Alternaria mali Roberts) on apples: Projections and uncertainty analysis in China DOI
Bin Chen, Gang Zhao, Qi Tian

et al.

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 364, P. 110464 - 110464

Published: Feb. 24, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Metabolic Flexibility and High Food Availability Buffer Energy Expenditure Across Climates in a Widespread Lizard DOI

Matthew R. McTernan,

Michael W. Sears,

Roger A. Anderson

et al.

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Range and elevation predict responses to climate change in frogs and lizards in the Western Ghats biodiversity hotspot of peninsular India DOI Creative Commons
Aniruddha Marathe, S. P. Vijayakumar,

Varun R Torsekar

et al.

bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: April 16, 2025

Abstract Anthropogenic climate change is altering the environment at unprecedented rates with severe consequences for most living organisms. As a result, species may extend, truncate, or shift their ranges in order to adapt changing conditions. Species Distribution Models (SDMs) provide data driven approach predict future distributions under and prioritize areas conservation. Here, using 10-year dataset 4049 occurrence records of frogs from eight families 27 genera as well 733 occurrences lizards two 11 across Western Ghats, we built SDMs assess changes due change. expected, temperature gradient elevation seasonality latitude contribute climatic limits distributions. Latitudinal extents were narrower predictions compared present, but there was little latitudinal positions. On other hand, shifted towards higher elevations, elevational range sizes remained same. A total 75 (55%) 15 (45%) lose more than half suitable area, few exceptions both taxa that show an increase. In cases where increase distribution observed, ability access survive these remains uncertain discontinuous topography presence sister species. Overall, frog lizard fauna Ghats will be severely affected by loss suitability.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Functional responses in a lizard along a 3.5‐km altitudinal gradient DOI Creative Commons
Nina Serén, Rodrigo Megía‐Palma, Tatjana Simčić

et al.

Journal of Biogeography, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 50(12), P. 2042 - 2056

Published: Sept. 9, 2023

Abstract Aim Physiological and metabolic performance are key mediators of the functional response species to environmental change. Few environments offer such a multifaceted array stressors as high‐altitude habitats, which differ markedly in temperature, water availability, UV radiation oxygen pressure compared low‐altitude habitats. Species that inhabit large altitudinal gradients thus excellent models study how organisms respond variation. Location Tenerife island, Canary Islands archipelago (Spain). Taxon lizard ( Gallotia galloti , Lacertidae). Methods We integrated data on age structure, thermal hydric regulatory behaviour four stress‐related biomarkers for an insular inhabits extreme range (sea level 3700 m a.s.l.), understand ectotherms' age, ecophysiology metabolism can be affected by Results found marked differences stress markers associated with altitude (particularly abundance carbonyl metabolites relative telomere length), but without linear pattern along cline. Contrary expectations, longer telomeres lower content were detected at highest altitude, suggesting reduced these populations. Evaporative loss differed between populations did not follow gradient. Lizard structure or physiological change across different altitudes. Mixed signals life‐history ecology suggest complex responses variable conditions this species. Main Conclusions Our integrative multiple traits demonstrated adaptation highly divergent is potentially linked interplay plasticity local variably traits.

Language: Английский

Citations

7
Climate and land-use changes threaten the effectiveness of protected areas for protecting Galliformes in Southeast Asia DOI Creative Commons

Zhengxiao Liu,

Shan Tian,

Shuai Lu

et al.

Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 11

Published: Oct. 3, 2023

Climate and land-use changes their interactions have a profound effect on biodiversity, especially in biodiverse areas such as Southeast Asia (SEA) where aggregations of endemic species are widespread. To increase the effectiveness biodiversity protection, it is crucial to understand climate biodiversity. In present study, we predicted future based Cellular automaton Markov chain model (CA-MARKOV), took Galliformes an example assess impact protected SEA. addition, used ensemble distribution models (SDMs) potential habitats dynamics 62 currently 2070s. Our results showed that would reduce suitable these species. Among them, 22 or 31 migrate upward because decrease habitat suitability at lower elevations caused by changes, while other 40 30 were downward land use under two dispersal scenarios. These expand area with low high diversity, but there be mismatch between current (PAs) diversity. order effectively ensure protection conserve 30% planet 2030, our findings suggest should establish new PAs adjust range changes.

Language: Английский

Citations

5
Analysis of resting status reveals distinct elevational variation in metabolisms of lizards DOI
Zhong‐Wen Jiang, Liang Ma,

Shi‐ang Tao

et al.

Ecology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Sept. 10, 2024

Abstract Animals spend a considerable proportion of their life span at rest. However, resting status has often been overlooked when investigating how species respond to environmental conditions. This may induce large bias in understanding the local adaptation across gradients and vulnerability potential change. Here, we conducted an empirical study on montane agamid lizards, combined with mechanistic modeling, compare elevational variations body temperature metabolisms (cumulative digestion maintenance cost) between active status. Our three populations lizard along gradient revealed trend decreasing toward higher elevations, main contributor which was lizards. Using population‐specific reaction norms, predicted greater variation hourly cumulative for lizards than Climate‐change impacts, estimated as change digestion, also show is factored into analysis. Further, our global analysis 98 that about half distributional range, contribution determining cost made by lizard's highlights importance considering conditions, especially those distributed over tropical subtropical mountain areas.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Sex-dependent shifts in body size and condition along replicated elevational gradients in a montane colonising ectotherm, the common wall lizard (Podarcis muralis) DOI
Constant Perry, Tom Sarraude,

Manon Billet

et al.

Oecologia, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 206(3-4), P. 335 - 346

Published: Nov. 11, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Future Range Shifts Suggest That the Six-Spined Spruce Bark Beetle Might Pose a Greater Threat to Norway Spruce in Europe than the Eight-Spined Spruce Bark Beetle DOI Open Access

Runyao Cao,

Jianmeng Feng

Forests, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 14(10), P. 2048 - 2048

Published: Oct. 12, 2023

Both the eight-spined spruce bark beetle (eight-spined beetle, Ips typographus) and six-spined (six-spined Pityogenes chalcographus) have major deleterious effects on Norway (i.e., Picea abies, host tree) in Europe. However, future potential range shifts of two pests their overlap with not yet been characterized. Through dynamic models, we characterized expansions, as well tree under current–future change scenarios 2100. Host availability was greatest contributor to pests, climatic changes were main drivers expansion host. The range, expanded overlapped larger for than beetle. tree, i.e., spruce, might face increasing threats from future. Future climate will likely indirectly facilitate by promoting increases area capable sustaining tree. pose a greater threat albeit latter has previously considered more spruce.

Language: Английский

Citations

3