A Darwinian Survival Guide

The MIT Press eBooks, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Feb. 6, 2024

How humanity brought about the climate crisis by departing from its evolutionary trajectory 15,000 years ago—and how we can use principles to save ourselves worst outcomes. Despite efforts sustain civilization, faces existential threats overpopulation, globalized trade and travel, urbanization, global change. In A Darwinian Survival Guide, Daniel Brooks Salvatore Agosta offer a novel—and hopeful—perspective on meet these tremendous challenges changing discourse sustainability survival. evolution, world's only theory of survival, is means which biosphere has persisted renewed itself following past environmental perturbations, it never failed, they explain. Even in aftermath mass extinctions, enough survivors remain with potential produce new diversified biosphere. Drawing their expertise as field biologists, trace path early days humans through Late Pleistocene beginning Anthropocene all way Great Acceleration technological around 1950, demonstrating our creative capacities have allowed survive. However, constant conflict without resolution made not unsustainable, but unsurvivable. Guided four laws biotics, authors explain should interact rest each other accordance principles. They reveal middle ground between apocalypse utopia, two options: alter behavior now at great expense extend civilization or fail act rebuild those same If take latter, then immediate goal ought focus preserving many humanity's positive achievements—from high technology art—as possible shorten time needed rebuild.

Language: Английский

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Ecological super‐spreaders drive host–range oscillations: Omicron and risk space for emerging infectious disease

Transboundary and Emerging Diseases, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 69(5)

Published: April 12, 2022

The unusual genetic diversity of the Omicron strain has led to speculation about its origin. mathematical modelling platform developed for Stockholm Paradigm (SP) indicates strongly that it retro-colonized humans from an unidentified nonhuman mammal, likely originally infected by humans. relationship between and all other SARS-CoV-2 variants oscillations among hosts, a core part SP. Such result emergence novel following colonization new replenishing expanding risk space disease emergence. SP predicts pathogens colonize hosts using pre-existing capacities. Those events are thus predictable certain extent. Novel emerge after not predictable. This makes imperative take proactive measures anticipating emerging infectious diseases (EID) mitigating their impact. suggests policy protocol, DAMA, accomplish this goal. DAMA comprises: DOCUMENT detect before they in places or hosts; ASSESS determine risk; MONITOR changes pathogen populations increase outbreaks ACT prevent when possible minimize impact occur.

Language: Английский

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Effect of Host-Switching on the Ecological and Evolutionary Patterns of Parasites

Systematic Biology, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 72(4), P. 912 - 924

Published: April 25, 2023

Abstract Speciation via host-switching is a macroevolutionary process that emerges from microevolutionary dynamic where individual parasites switch hosts, establish new association, and reduce reproductive contact with the original parasite lineage. Phylogenetic distance geographic distribution of hosts have been shown to be determinants capacity opportunity change hosts. Although speciation has reported in many host-parasite systems, its on individual, population community levels poorly understood. Here we propose theoretical model simulate evolution considering events scale, taking into account history evaluate how can affect ecological evolutionary patterns empirical communities at regional local scales. In model, individuals under variable intensity their driven by mutation genetic drift. Mating sexual only are sufficiently similar produce offspring. We assumed occurs same time scale as decreases host species differentiate. Ecological were characterized turnover among species, tree imbalance respectively. found range reproduces observed communities. Our results showed decreased increased, low variation replications. On other hand, wide non-monotonic tendency. concluded was sensitive stochastic events, whereas may good indicator host-switching. corresponded higher when compared communities, highlighting spatial limitation for [Dispersal parasites, interaction, phylogenetic conservatism, structure.]

Language: Английский

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Patch biogeography under intermittent barriers: macroevolutionary consequences of microevolutionary processes

Journal of Evolutionary Biology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 37(12), P. 1488 - 1498

Published: March 21, 2024

Abstract The processes that generate biodiversity start on a microevolutionary scale, where each individual’s history can impact the species’ history. This manuscript presents theoretical study examines macroevolutionary patterns emerge from dynamics of populations inhabiting two patches. model is neutral, meaning neither survival nor reproduction depends fixed genotype, yet individuals must have minimal genetic similarity to reproduce. We used historical sea level oscillation over past 800 thousand years hypothesize periods when could migrate one patch another. In our study, we keep track speciation and extinction event, build complete extant phylogenies, characterize regarding phylogeny balance, acceleration speciation, crown age. also evaluate ecological patterns: richness, beta diversity, species distribution symmetry. balance be sign mode, contrasting induced by migration isolation (vicariance). process affected geographical barriers duration period, with high times leading accelerated speciation. report correlation between show it decreases time spent in isolation. discuss, light results, challenge integrating present-time community ecology patterns.

Language: Английский

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The ecosyndemic framework of the global environmental change and the COVID-19 pandemic

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 857, P. 159327 - 159327

Published: Oct. 8, 2022

Language: Английский

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Stepping-stones and Mediators of Pandemic Expansion—A Context for Humans as Ecological Super-spreaders

MANTER Journal of Parasite Biodiversity, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: May 24, 2022

Humans represent ecological super-spreaders in the dissemination and introduction of pathogens. These processes, consistent with dynamics Stockholm paradigm, are exemplified origin globalized distributions SARS-CoV-2 since initial recognition central Asia during 2019 2020. SARS-like viruses not widespread mammals but appear chiropterans. Bats isolated ecologically from most other assemblages terrestrial systems. may be stepping-stone hosts for broad global wider infection (given opportunity) among diverse which host viral capacity compatible. Human globalization mediated insertion ecosystems along primary secondary pathways initially localized to regional circulation across continents. Origins persistence cycles involving variants transmission potential exposure (retrocolonization) people occurs on multidirectional pathways. were responsible breakdown isolation virus that facilitated colonization events chiropterans mammals. In absence these human drivers, environmental or interfaces (boundary zones habitats) limiting distribution unlikely have been crossed, leaving a assemblage (Sarbecovirus) remaining relatively hidden southeast Asia.

Language: Английский

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The DAMA Protocol, an Introduction: Finding Pathogens before They Find Us

MANTER Journal of Parasite Biodiversity, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Nov. 5, 2022

Globally, humanity is coming to recognize the magnitude of interactive crisis for emerging infectious disease (EID). Strategies coping with EID have been largely in form reactive measures response. The DAMA protocol (Document, Assess, Monitor, Act), operational policy extension Stockholm paradigm, constitutes a preventive/proactive dimension those efforts. aimed at focusing and extending human material resources devoted accelerating wave EID. integrative, combining efforts strategically document distribution complex pathogen host assemblages biosphere context dynamic environmental interfaces that provide opportunities exchange emergence. Movement habitats animals (a breakdown ecological isolation) catalyzed by climate change broader anthropogenic trajectories disruption landscape opportunity Evolutionarily ecologically conserved capacities exploitation host-based allow pathogens persist one place or among particular spectrum hosts insights predict outcomes persistence emergence novel conditions across changing interfaces. combine “boots on ground” contributions citizen scientists working field biologists development application sophisticated archival repositories, bioinformatics, molecular biology, satellite surveillance. focus anticipation, mitigation, prevention through knowledge present environment actions necessary diminish risk space their can be an effective strategy buying time arena socioeconomic disturbance expanding linked future change. Information + action = prediction lives saved realm This article has produced support appreciation Gábor Földvári Institute Evolution, Centre Ecological Research, Eco-Epidemiology, National Laboratory Health Security (both located 1121 Budapest, Konkoly-Thege Miklós út 29-33, Hungary). Through his untiring efforts, team building, leadership, he secured first EU-wide research grant. work was supported Development Innovation Office Hungary (RRF-2.3.1-21-2022-00006) COST Action CA21170 “Prevention, anticipation mitigation tick-borne applying (PRAGMATICK),” which represent funded apply principles protocol.

Language: Английский

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The Stockholm Paradigm Explains the Dynamics of Darwin’s Entangled Bank, Including Emerging Infectious Disease

MANTER Journal of Parasite Biodiversity, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Dec. 23, 2022

Pathogens and their hosts are embedded within the larger biosphere, what Darwin called “entangled bank.” Emerging infectious disease occurs when a parasite “switches” to new host. Understanding dynamics of emerging requires understanding host-switching, which more general how biosphere its constituent members cope conditions change. The Stockholm paradigm is an integrative evolutionary framework that describes living systems with change by oscillating between exploiting exploring geographical functional dimensions environments. It combines organismal capacity, ecological opportunity, repeated external perturbations drive interaction capacity catalyzing entangled bank. makes clear expected outcome expression same potential governs response rest

Language: Английский

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Climatic Determinants of Monkeypox Transmission: A Multi-National Analysis Using Generalized Count Mixed Models

Journal of Virological Methods, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 115076 - 115076

Published: Nov. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

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The Stockholm Paradigm: Lessons for the Emerging Infectious Disease Crisis

MANTER Journal of Parasite Biodiversity, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Nov. 5, 2022

The emerging infectious disease (EID) crisis represents an immediate existential threat to modern humanity. Current policies aimed at coping with the EID are ineffective and unsustainably expensive. They have failed because they based on a scientific paradigm that produced parasite paradox. Stockholm (SP) resolves paradox by integrating four elements of evolutionary biology: ecological fitting, sloppy fitness space, coevolution, responses environmental perturbations. It explains why how occurs is expanding what happens after emerges sets stage for future EIDs. SP provides number critical insights changing public policy in manner allows us begin effective manner. hope we can anticipate EIDs prevent them or least mitigate their impacts. This article has been support appreciation efforts Gábor Földvári Institute Evolution, Centre Ecological Research, Eco-Epidemiology, National Laboratory Health Security (both located 1121 Budapest, Konkoly-Thege Miklós út 29-33, Hungary). Through his untiring efforts, team building, leadership, he secured first EU-wide research grant. work was supported Development Innovation Office Hungary (RRF-2.3.1-21-2022-00006) COST Action CA21170 “Prevention, anticipation mitigation tick-borne risk applying DAMA protocol (PRAGMATICK),” which represent funded apply principles protocol.

Language: Английский

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